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ARR
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$17.58
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-4.61%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 1 day
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

03/27/2025: ARR (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 1 days. Profits (-4.61%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -15.13%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.36B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 20
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 20
Volume (30-day avg) 3098542
Beta 1.53
52 Weeks Range 15.14 - 19.84
Updated Date 03/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 15.14 - 19.84
Updated Date 03/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 16.89%
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.51

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -36.67%
Operating Margin (TTM) 132.87%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -0.11%
Return on Equity (TTM) -1.09%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 5.5
Enterprise Value -1397450368
Price to Sales(TTM) 34.73
Enterprise Value -1397450368
Price to Sales(TTM) 34.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.29
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.31
Shares Outstanding 79968000
Shares Floating 76196385
Shares Outstanding 79968000
Shares Floating 76196385
Percent Insiders 0.36
Percent Institutions 42.54

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 20
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 6
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc

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Company Overview

History and Background

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. was founded in 2009 and is a real estate investment trust that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities.

Core Business Areas

  • Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS): ARMOUR invests primarily in U.S. Agency RMBS, which are guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These securities are backed by residential mortgages.

Leadership and Structure

The company is led by Scott J. Ulm as CEO. The organizational structure consists of investment management and operational teams focused on asset selection, risk management, and portfolio administration.

Top Products and Market Share

Key Offerings

  • Agency RMBS Investments: ARMOUR invests in RMBS guaranteed by U.S. government agencies or GSEs. Market share data specific to ARMOUR's RMBS holdings isn't publicly available at a granular level. Competitors include other REITs and institutional investors. Competitors: Annaly Capital Management (NLY), AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC).

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The mortgage REIT industry is sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and changes in the housing market. The current environment includes uncertainty surrounding the future direction of interest rates.

Positioning

ARMOUR positions itself as a specialist in agency RMBS. Its competitive advantage lies in its expertise in managing and hedging interest rate risk associated with these securities.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM is the total value of outstanding RMBS. Due to the large and liquid nature of the RMBS market, it's hard to quantify. ARMOUR's positioning involves capturing a percentage of this TAM.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Expertise in agency RMBS investments
  • Active risk management strategy
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Sensitivity to interest rate changes
  • Reliance on external financing
  • High volatility in earnings

Opportunities

  • Potential for increased returns in a stable interest rate environment
  • Expansion into other types of mortgage-related assets
  • Strategic partnerships with mortgage originators

Threats

  • Rising interest rates
  • Increased competition from other mortgage REITs
  • Changes in government regulations

Competitors and Market Share

Key Competitors

  • NLY
  • AGNC
  • IVR

Competitive Landscape

ARMOUR faces stiff competition from larger, well-established mortgage REITs. ARMOUR has a smaller portfolio and market capitalization, making it more vulnerable to market shocks.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth is tied to changes in the RMBS market and company management decisions.

Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on interest rate environments and management's investment strategy.

Recent Initiatives: Company initiatives need to be monitored through press releases and investor presentations.

Summary

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. focuses on agency RMBS and is sensitive to interest rate movements. It distributes a monthly dividend stream with variability. Its financial performance is closely tied to interest rate conditions and the housing market. Investors should closely monitor these market dynamics and ARMOUR's performance when investing and make sure it is a company that provides a high rating of dividend safety.

Similar Companies

  • NLY
  • AGNC
  • IVR

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • SEC Filings
  • Company Press Releases
  • Analyst Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market data and analyst opinions are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Vero Beach, FL, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-12-03
CEO and Vice Chairman Mr. Scott Jeffrey Ulm J.D.
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. Its securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans; and unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.

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