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Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: ARLP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 37.05% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.46B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.72 | 1Y Target Price 30.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.72 | 1Y Target Price 30.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 302210 | Beta 1.09 | 52 Weeks Range 18.42 - 29.80 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 18.42 - 29.80 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 10.40% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.77 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 14.74% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7.52% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.14% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.7% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.72 | Forward PE 9.25 | Enterprise Value 3808402686 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.41 |
Enterprise Value 3808402686 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.41 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.42 | Shares Outstanding 128428000 | Shares Floating 90064005 |
Shares Outstanding 128428000 | Shares Floating 90064005 | ||
Percent Insiders 29.32 | Percent Institutions 19.28 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 27.5 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 2 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alliance Resource Partners LP

Company Overview
History and Background
Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) was founded in 1999. It grew through acquisitions and organic expansion, becoming a major coal producer in the Illinois Basin and Appalachia.
Core Business Areas
- Coal Production and Sales: ARLP mines and markets coal to utilities and industrial users. This includes thermal coal for power generation and metallurgical coal for steelmaking.
- Oil and Gas Mineral Interests: ARLP owns oil and gas mineral interests, generating royalty income from energy production on its properties.
- Midstream Services: ARLP provides midstream services, including coal handling and transportation, mainly for its coal production activities.
Leadership and Structure
ARLP is led by a management team headed by Joseph W. Craft III as the Chairman, President and CEO. It operates as a limited partnership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Thermal Coal: ARLP's primary product is thermal coal used for power generation. Market share data varies, but ARLP is a major producer in the Illinois Basin and competes with companies like Peabody Energy (BTU) and CONSOL Energy (CEIX). Revenue from Thermal coal is the bulk of ARLP revenue.
- Metallurgical Coal: ARLP also produces metallurgical coal used in steelmaking. Market share is smaller than thermal coal, but still significant. Competitors include Alpha Metallurgical Resources (ARM) and Arch Resources (ARCH).
- Oil and Gas Royalties: ARLP generates revenue through royalties from oil and gas production on its mineral interests. This revenue stream is more diversified and less dependent on coal markets. Competitors are mostly private firms holding mineral rights.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The coal industry is facing declining demand due to the rise of renewable energy sources and stricter environmental regulations. The oil and gas industry experiences volatile price fluctuations. However, coal use remains relevant in certain regions and sectors.
Positioning
ARLP is positioned as a low-cost coal producer with a diversified business model, including oil and gas mineral interests, which offers some protection against coal market volatility. It benefits from its strategic location in the Illinois Basin.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global coal market size was valued at $878.97 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $1.35 trillion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.4% from 2023 to 2032. While the TAM is large, ARLP's positioning is largely as a low-cost regional supplier in the US.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Low-cost producer
- Strategic location in the Illinois Basin
- Diversified business model
- Strong operational efficiency
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Dependence on coal markets
- Exposure to environmental regulations
- Limited diversification outside of energy
- Reliance on a single CEO.
Opportunities
- Increased demand for coal in emerging markets
- Expansion of oil and gas mineral interests
- Development of carbon capture technologies
- Growth in demand for metallurgical coal
Threats
- Declining demand for coal in developed countries
- Stricter environmental regulations
- Competition from renewable energy sources
- Volatile commodity prices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Peabody Energy (BTU)
- CONSOL Energy (CEIX)
- Arch Resources (ARCH)
Competitive Landscape
ARLP competes with larger coal producers like Peabody and Arch Resources. ARLP's low-cost structure and diversified business model provide a competitive advantage.
Major Acquisitions
Viper Energy Partners' Mineral and Royalty Interests in the Permian Basin
- Year: 2024
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 303
- Strategic Rationale: Increase oil and gas royalty interests for better long term earnings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: ARLP's growth has been driven by acquisitions, organic expansion, and improvements in operational efficiency.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth in revenue and earnings, supported by stable coal demand and expansion of oil and gas mineral interests.
Recent Initiatives: ARLP has been focused on expanding its oil and gas mineral interests and investing in carbon capture technologies. They have also been focused on shareholder returns.
Summary
Alliance Resource Partners LP is a strong regional coal producer benefiting from low costs and diversified operations. While facing headwinds from declining coal demand, its oil and gas mineral interests offer some insulation. The company's recent performance and dividend payouts are positive. ARLP needs to monitor environmental regulations and commodity price volatility closely.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Relations Materials
- Market Research Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alliance Resource Partners LP
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Tulsa, OK, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-08-17 | Chairman, President & CEO of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC Mr. Joseph W. Craft III, J.D. | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Thermal Coal | Full time employees 3653 | Website https://www.arlp.com |
Full time employees 3653 | Website https://www.arlp.com |
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P., a diversified natural resource company, engages in the production and marketing of coal to utilities and industrial users in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties. It produces produce bituminous coal from its underground mines sold to electric power generation and the steel production customers. The company operates seven underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. In addition, it owns and leases oil and gas mineral interests and equity interests; and leases its coal mineral reserves and resources to its mining complexes; and leases land and operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mt. Vernon, Indiana. Further, the company offers various mining technology products and services, including data network, communication and tracking systems, mining proximity detection systems, industrial collision avoidance systems, and data and analytics software. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
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