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ARLP logo ARLP
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ARLP logo

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$26.93
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: ARLP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 37.05%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.46B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.72
1Y Target Price 30.5
Price to earnings Ratio 9.72
1Y Target Price 30.5
Volume (30-day avg) 302210
Beta 1.09
52 Weeks Range 18.42 - 29.80
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 18.42 - 29.80
Updated Date 04/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 10.40%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.77

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 14.74%
Operating Margin (TTM) 7.52%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 9.14%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.7%

Valuation

Trailing PE 9.72
Forward PE 9.25
Enterprise Value 3808402686
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.41
Enterprise Value 3808402686
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.41
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.56
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.42
Shares Outstanding 128428000
Shares Floating 90064005
Shares Outstanding 128428000
Shares Floating 90064005
Percent Insiders 29.32
Percent Institutions 19.28

Analyst Ratings

Rating 5
Target Price 27.5
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Alliance Resource Partners LP

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) was founded in 1999. It grew through acquisitions and organic expansion, becoming a major coal producer in the Illinois Basin and Appalachia.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Coal Production and Sales: ARLP mines and markets coal to utilities and industrial users. This includes thermal coal for power generation and metallurgical coal for steelmaking.
  • Oil and Gas Mineral Interests: ARLP owns oil and gas mineral interests, generating royalty income from energy production on its properties.
  • Midstream Services: ARLP provides midstream services, including coal handling and transportation, mainly for its coal production activities.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

ARLP is led by a management team headed by Joseph W. Craft III as the Chairman, President and CEO. It operates as a limited partnership.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Thermal Coal: ARLP's primary product is thermal coal used for power generation. Market share data varies, but ARLP is a major producer in the Illinois Basin and competes with companies like Peabody Energy (BTU) and CONSOL Energy (CEIX). Revenue from Thermal coal is the bulk of ARLP revenue.
  • Metallurgical Coal: ARLP also produces metallurgical coal used in steelmaking. Market share is smaller than thermal coal, but still significant. Competitors include Alpha Metallurgical Resources (ARM) and Arch Resources (ARCH).
  • Oil and Gas Royalties: ARLP generates revenue through royalties from oil and gas production on its mineral interests. This revenue stream is more diversified and less dependent on coal markets. Competitors are mostly private firms holding mineral rights.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The coal industry is facing declining demand due to the rise of renewable energy sources and stricter environmental regulations. The oil and gas industry experiences volatile price fluctuations. However, coal use remains relevant in certain regions and sectors.

Positioning

ARLP is positioned as a low-cost coal producer with a diversified business model, including oil and gas mineral interests, which offers some protection against coal market volatility. It benefits from its strategic location in the Illinois Basin.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global coal market size was valued at $878.97 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $1.35 trillion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.4% from 2023 to 2032. While the TAM is large, ARLP's positioning is largely as a low-cost regional supplier in the US.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Low-cost producer
  • Strategic location in the Illinois Basin
  • Diversified business model
  • Strong operational efficiency
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on coal markets
  • Exposure to environmental regulations
  • Limited diversification outside of energy
  • Reliance on a single CEO.

Opportunities

  • Increased demand for coal in emerging markets
  • Expansion of oil and gas mineral interests
  • Development of carbon capture technologies
  • Growth in demand for metallurgical coal

Threats

  • Declining demand for coal in developed countries
  • Stricter environmental regulations
  • Competition from renewable energy sources
  • Volatile commodity prices

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Peabody Energy (BTU)
  • CONSOL Energy (CEIX)
  • Arch Resources (ARCH)

Competitive Landscape

ARLP competes with larger coal producers like Peabody and Arch Resources. ARLP's low-cost structure and diversified business model provide a competitive advantage.

Major Acquisitions

Viper Energy Partners' Mineral and Royalty Interests in the Permian Basin

  • Year: 2024
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 303
  • Strategic Rationale: Increase oil and gas royalty interests for better long term earnings.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: ARLP's growth has been driven by acquisitions, organic expansion, and improvements in operational efficiency.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth in revenue and earnings, supported by stable coal demand and expansion of oil and gas mineral interests.

Recent Initiatives: ARLP has been focused on expanding its oil and gas mineral interests and investing in carbon capture technologies. They have also been focused on shareholder returns.

Summary

Alliance Resource Partners LP is a strong regional coal producer benefiting from low costs and diversified operations. While facing headwinds from declining coal demand, its oil and gas mineral interests offer some insulation. The company's recent performance and dividend payouts are positive. ARLP needs to monitor environmental regulations and commodity price volatility closely.

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CNXratingrating

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor Relations Materials
  • Market Research Reports
  • Financial News Outlets

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alliance Resource Partners LP

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Tulsa, OK, United States
IPO Launch date 1999-08-17
Chairman, President & CEO of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC Mr. Joseph W. Craft III, J.D.
Sector Energy
Industry Thermal Coal
Full time employees 3653
Full time employees 3653

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P., a diversified natural resource company, engages in the production and marketing of coal to utilities and industrial users in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties. It produces produce bituminous coal from its underground mines sold to electric power generation and the steel production customers. The company operates seven underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. In addition, it owns and leases oil and gas mineral interests and equity interests; and leases its coal mineral reserves and resources to its mining complexes; and leases land and operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mt. Vernon, Indiana. Further, the company offers various mining technology products and services, including data network, communication and tracking systems, mining proximity detection systems, industrial collision avoidance systems, and data and analytics software. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

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