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Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc (ARCT)ARCT
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: ARCT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -64.79% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 22 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -64.79% | Avg. Invested days: 22 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 489.20M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 79.47 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.33 |
Volume (30-day avg) 407790 | Beta 2.64 |
52 Weeks Range 14.93 - 45.00 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 489.20M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 79.47 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.33 | Volume (30-day avg) 407790 | Beta 2.64 |
52 Weeks Range 14.93 - 45.00 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -1.22 | Actual -0.26 |
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -1.22 | Actual -0.26 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -39.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) -25.77% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) -23.12% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 2.48 |
Enterprise Value 232955330 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.05 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -25.67 |
Shares Outstanding 27087400 | Shares Floating 24801186 |
Percent Insiders 8.46 | Percent Institutions 90.21 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 2.48 | Enterprise Value 232955330 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.05 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -25.67 | Shares Outstanding 27087400 | Shares Floating 24801186 |
Percent Insiders 8.46 | Percent Institutions 90.21 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.7 | Target Price 54.5 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 7 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.7 | Target Price 54.5 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 7 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.: A Deep Dive
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 2013, Arcturus Therapeutics (ARCT) is a leading clinical-stage mRNA medicines and vaccines company.
- It focuses on developing novel RNA therapeutics utilizing lipid-mediated delivery to treat infectious diseases, rare diseases, and other areas.
Core Business Areas:
- Development of mRNA medicines and vaccines
- Utilizing proprietary Lipid Nanoparticle (LNP) technology for drug delivery
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Joseph Payne
- President and Chief Medical Officer: Ben-Hagai Levy
- Board of Directors with diverse expertise in pharmaceutical research, development, and finance
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- ARCT-021 (LUNAR-COV19): mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine candidate, in phase 2/3 trials
- ARCT-810: RNAi therapeutic for the treatment of ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency (OTCD), in phase 2b/3 trial
- Other mRNA therapeutic candidates for various diseases, including rare diseases
Market Share:
- Early development stage products: No current market share for lead product candidates
- Potential market: Represents a significant potential market in infectious diseases, rare diseases, and other areas
Comparison:
- ARCT's LNP technology differentiates itself from competitors who primarily utilize modified nucleosides
- ARCT focuses on broader applications beyond mRNA vaccines compared to other mRNA players
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
- Global mRNA market projected to reach USD 45.9 billion by 2029
- Represents significant growth opportunities for ARCT, particularly with their diversified pipeline
Financial Performance
Revenue:
- Minimal commercial revenue, primarily through collaboration partnerships
- Focused on developing clinical-stage programs
Profitability:
- Currently operating at a loss due to development stage
- Investing heavily in R&D for future commercialization
Financial Analysis:
- Track record of raising capital through various financing activities
- Focus on building cash runway to execute clinical programs
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
- No current dividend payout due to growth-stage focus
Growth Trajectory
- Strong historical growth in research & development investment and clinical program advancement
- Future growth dependent on successful product development and commercialization
- New collaborations and strategic partnerships may contribute to growth
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
- mRNA technology gaining significant traction across various therapeutic areas
- Increasing R&D investments from established and emerging pharmaceutical players
Adaptations to Market Changes:
- ARCT's diversified pipeline with a focus on both vaccines and therapeutics positions it favorably to navigate evolving market demands
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Moderna (MRNA)
- BioNTech (BNTX)
- CureVac (CVAC)
- Pfizer (PFE)
Comparison:
- ARCT is a smaller competitor compared to established players like Moderna and Pfizer
- Differentiates with proprietary LNP technology and a broader therapeutic focus beyond vaccines
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges:
- Navigating regulatory pathways for approval of mRNA-based therapeutics
- Demonstrating safety and efficacy of its pipeline candidates in clinical trials
- Intense competition within the mRNA landscape
Opportunities:
- Growing global mRNA market offers significant revenue potential
- Successful product commercialization could drive significant financial growth
- Strategic collaborations with larger pharma companies can accelerate development and market access
Recent Acquisitions:
No significant acquisitions recorded within the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 5/10
Justification:
- Positives: Promising pipeline with a differentiated LNP technology, large addressable market potential, strong partnerships.
- Negatives: No marketed products yet, high competition in the mRNA field, significant risk associated with clinical development.
Future outlook: Rating could be revised upwards upon product approvals, successful market entry, and sustained financial performance.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Data sources: Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. website, SEC filings, Zacks Research, MarketWatch.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered investment advice. It is recommended to conduct independent research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2020-04-16 | Founder, President, CEO & Director | Mr. Joseph E. Payne M.Sc. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://arcturusrx.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 180 |
Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States | ||
Founder, President, CEO & Director | Mr. Joseph E. Payne M.Sc. | ||
Website | https://arcturusrx.com | ||
Website | https://arcturusrx.com | ||
Full time employees | 180 |
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc., a late-stage clinical messenger RNA medicines and vaccine company, focuses on the development of infectious disease vaccines and other products within liver and respiratory rare diseases. Its technology platforms include LUNAR lipid-mediated delivery and STARR mRNA. The company is developing ARCT-810 (LUNAR-OTC), a mRNA-based therapeutic candidate, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial for treating ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency; and ARCT-154 (LUNAR-COV19), a mRNA vaccine candidate that is in Phase 3 arm of a Phase 1/2/3 study in Vietnam for the treatment of COVID-19, as well as ARCT-032 (LUNAR-CF), a mRNA therapeutic candidate for cystic fibrosis. Its product pipeline includes, ARCT-2301 for bivalent: ancestral/omicron which is in Phase 3; ARCT-2303 for monovalent that is in Phase 3; ARCT-2138 for quadrivalent which is in Phase 1; and LUNAR-FLU which is in pre-clinical trial. Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
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