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Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc (ARCT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: ARCT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -64.79% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 481.34M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 76.32 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 76.32 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 414009 | Beta 2.62 | 52 Weeks Range 14.30 - 45.00 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 14.30 - 45.00 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.33 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -39.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) -25.77% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) -23.12% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 2.48 | Enterprise Value 250562114 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3 |
Enterprise Value 250562114 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.76 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -25.67 | Shares Outstanding 27087400 | Shares Floating 24801186 |
Shares Outstanding 27087400 | Shares Floating 24801186 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.46 | Percent Institutions 92.58 |
AI Summary
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) is a clinical-stage mRNA medicines and vaccines company founded in 2013. It leverages its LUNAR® lipid-mediated delivery platform to develop novel RNA therapeutics. With headquarters in San Diego, California, ARCT focuses on infectious diseases, non-viral genetic diseases, and oncology.
Core Business Areas:
- mRNA Vaccines: ARCT develops mRNA vaccines for various infectious diseases, including COVID-19, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).
- mRNA Therapeutics: These focus on non-viral genetic diseases like ornithine transcarbamylase (OTC) deficiency and glycogen storage disease type Ia (GSDIa).
- Gene Editing Therapeutics: ARCT utilizes CRISPR-Cas13 technology for gene editing applications.
Leadership team and Corporate Structure:
- Joseph Payne, Ph.D.: President & CEO
- Stephen Hughes, Ph.D.: Chief Medical Officer
- Ben Zastoupil, Ph.D.: Chief Scientific Officer
- Robert J. L. van de Loo, Ph.D.: Chief Development Officer
The board of directors comprises individuals with vast experience in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- COVID-19 vaccine candidate: ARCT-021, in a Phase 1/2 clinical trial.
- mRNA therapy for OTC deficiency: ARCT-810, preclinical development.
- mRNA therapy for GSDIa: ARCT-712, preclinical development.
Market Share:
ARCT is still in the early phases of development, and currently, its products haven't reached the market. Therefore, it doesn't have a market share in the traditional sense. However, its innovative mRNA delivery platform and development pipeline have garnered significant attention within the competitive mRNA market.
Product Performance & Competitor Comparison:
ARCT-021 has demonstrated encouraging results in early-stage clinical trials, showing good safety and tolerability. However, a direct comparison with competitors like Moderna (MRNA) and Pfizer (PFE) is impossible at this stage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The global mRNA market is projected to reach $48.76 billion by 2030, experiencing a robust CAGR of 36.6%.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Highlights:
- Revenue: In 2022, ARCT generated $44.1 million in revenue, primarily from collaboration agreements.
- Net Income: The company incurred a net loss of $173.1 million in 2022.
- EPS: The diluted EPS for 2022 was $1.46.
- Cash Flow: ARCT had a negative operating cash flow of $97.9 million in 2022.
Year-over-Year Performance:
ARCT shows significant revenue growth compared to 2021, reflecting increased collaboration activity and development progress. However, the company remains focused on research and development, leading to ongoing losses.
Balance Sheet Health:
As of December 31, 2022, ARCT had $382.9 million in cash and equivalents, sufficient to fund ongoing operations for the foreseeable future.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
ARCT, being a development-stage company, does not currently pay dividends. Shareholder returns have been significantly negative in recent years due to the stock's volatility.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Since its inception, ARCT has experienced rapid growth in research and development activities. Its product pipeline has expanded, and collaborations with industry players have increased.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts foresee substantial growth potential for ARCT due to its promising mRNA platform and pipeline. Success with clinical trials and potential product approvals could drive significant revenue generation and shareholder value.
Recent initiatives:
- Collaboration with Janssen for the development of a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine.
- New data regarding the efficacy of ARCT-021 against Omicron BA.4/BA.5 subvariants.
Market Dynamics:
The mRNA market is rapidly evolving, with major players like Moderna and Pfizer making significant strides. Technological advancements and increasing investment in mRNA-based therapies continue to drive growth. ARCT positions itself as a potential future leader in this space with its innovative delivery platform and broad application potential.
Competitors:
Key competitors in the mRNA landscape include:
- Moderna (MRNA): Market leader with approved mRNA vaccines for COVID-19.
- Pfizer (PFE): Collaborates with BioNTech on an mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine.
- BioNTech (BNTX): Partnering with Pfizer on COVID-19 and other mRNA-based vaccines.
- CureVac (CVAC): Develops mRNA vaccines and mRNA-based therapies.
ARCT distinguishes itself with its LUNAR® platform, offering potentially improved delivery and efficacy compared to other technologies.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition from established players in the mRNA market.
- Regulatory hurdles and lengthy clinical trials.
- Dependence on collaborations and partnerships.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new therapeutic areas like genetic diseases and oncology.
- Leveraging its LUNAR® platform to outcompete rivals with improved efficacy.
- Securing strategic partnerships and collaborations.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
ARCT has not acquired any companies in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
ARCT receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7/10. This suggests a promising company with strong growth potential but also inherent risks associated with its early development stage.
AI Evaluation Justification:
- The rating factors in ARCT's strong R&D pipeline, innovative technology, and partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies.
- However, the company's lack of approved products, current financial losses, and intense competition lower the overall rating.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview has compiled information from ARCT's official website, Investor Relations materials, SEC filings, financial data providers like Bloomberg and S&P Global Market Intelligence, and industry research reports.
This analysis solely aims to provide general information; it should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial professional for investment decisions.
About Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Diego, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-04-16 | Founder, President, CEO & Director Mr. Joseph E. Payne M.Sc. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 180 | Website https://arcturusrx.com |
Full time employees 180 | Website https://arcturusrx.com |
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc., a late-stage clinical messenger RNA medicines and vaccine company, focuses on the development of infectious disease vaccines and other products within liver and respiratory rare diseases. Its technology platforms include LUNAR lipid-mediated delivery and STARR mRNA. The company is developing ARCT-810 (LUNAR-OTC), a mRNA-based therapeutic candidate, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial for treating ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency; and ARCT-154 (LUNAR-COV19), a mRNA vaccine candidate that is in Phase 3 arm of a Phase 1/2/3 study in Vietnam for the treatment of COVID-19, as well as ARCT-032 (LUNAR-CF), a mRNA therapeutic candidate for cystic fibrosis. Its product pipeline includes, ARCT-2301 for bivalent: ancestral/omicron which is in Phase 3; ARCT-2303 for monovalent that is in Phase 3; ARCT-2138 for quadrivalent which is in Phase 1; and LUNAR-FLU which is in pre-clinical trial. Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
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