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Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc (ARCT)ARCT

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
$16.17
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: ARCT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -64.79%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 22
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -64.79%
Avg. Invested days: 22
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 489.20M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 79.47
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.33
Volume (30-day avg) 407790
Beta 2.64
52 Weeks Range 14.93 - 45.00
Updated Date 11/19/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 489.20M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 79.47
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.33
Volume (30-day avg) 407790
Beta 2.64
52 Weeks Range 14.93 - 45.00
Updated Date 11/19/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-07
When AfterMarket
Estimate -1.22
Actual -0.26
Report Date 2024-11-07
When AfterMarket
Estimate -1.22
Actual -0.26

Profitability

Profit Margin -39.05%
Operating Margin (TTM) -25.77%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -12.15%
Return on Equity (TTM) -23.12%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 2.48
Enterprise Value 232955330
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.64
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -25.67
Shares Outstanding 27087400
Shares Floating 24801186
Percent Insiders 8.46
Percent Institutions 90.21
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 2.48
Enterprise Value 232955330
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.64
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -25.67
Shares Outstanding 27087400
Shares Floating 24801186
Percent Insiders 8.46
Percent Institutions 90.21

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.7
Target Price 54.5
Buy 3
Strong Buy 7
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.7
Target Price 54.5
Buy 3
Strong Buy 7
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.: A Deep Dive

Company Profile

History and Background:

  • Founded in 2013, Arcturus Therapeutics (ARCT) is a leading clinical-stage mRNA medicines and vaccines company.
  • It focuses on developing novel RNA therapeutics utilizing lipid-mediated delivery to treat infectious diseases, rare diseases, and other areas.

Core Business Areas:

  • Development of mRNA medicines and vaccines
  • Utilizing proprietary Lipid Nanoparticle (LNP) technology for drug delivery

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Joseph Payne
  • President and Chief Medical Officer: Ben-Hagai Levy
  • Board of Directors with diverse expertise in pharmaceutical research, development, and finance

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products:

  • ARCT-021 (LUNAR-COV19): mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine candidate, in phase 2/3 trials
  • ARCT-810: RNAi therapeutic for the treatment of ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency (OTCD), in phase 2b/3 trial
  • Other mRNA therapeutic candidates for various diseases, including rare diseases

Market Share:

  • Early development stage products: No current market share for lead product candidates
  • Potential market: Represents a significant potential market in infectious diseases, rare diseases, and other areas

Comparison:

  • ARCT's LNP technology differentiates itself from competitors who primarily utilize modified nucleosides
  • ARCT focuses on broader applications beyond mRNA vaccines compared to other mRNA players

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

  • Global mRNA market projected to reach USD 45.9 billion by 2029
  • Represents significant growth opportunities for ARCT, particularly with their diversified pipeline

Financial Performance

Revenue:

  • Minimal commercial revenue, primarily through collaboration partnerships
  • Focused on developing clinical-stage programs

Profitability:

  • Currently operating at a loss due to development stage
  • Investing heavily in R&D for future commercialization

Financial Analysis:

  • Track record of raising capital through various financing activities
  • Focus on building cash runway to execute clinical programs

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

  • No current dividend payout due to growth-stage focus

Growth Trajectory

  • Strong historical growth in research & development investment and clinical program advancement
  • Future growth dependent on successful product development and commercialization
  • New collaborations and strategic partnerships may contribute to growth

Market Dynamics

Industry Trends:

  • mRNA technology gaining significant traction across various therapeutic areas
  • Increasing R&D investments from established and emerging pharmaceutical players

Adaptations to Market Changes:

  • ARCT's diversified pipeline with a focus on both vaccines and therapeutics positions it favorably to navigate evolving market demands

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • Moderna (MRNA)
  • BioNTech (BNTX)
  • CureVac (CVAC)
  • Pfizer (PFE)

Comparison:

  • ARCT is a smaller competitor compared to established players like Moderna and Pfizer
  • Differentiates with proprietary LNP technology and a broader therapeutic focus beyond vaccines

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges:

  • Navigating regulatory pathways for approval of mRNA-based therapeutics
  • Demonstrating safety and efficacy of its pipeline candidates in clinical trials
  • Intense competition within the mRNA landscape

Opportunities:

  • Growing global mRNA market offers significant revenue potential
  • Successful product commercialization could drive significant financial growth
  • Strategic collaborations with larger pharma companies can accelerate development and market access

Recent Acquisitions:

No significant acquisitions recorded within the past 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Rating: 5/10

Justification:

  • Positives: Promising pipeline with a differentiated LNP technology, large addressable market potential, strong partnerships.
  • Negatives: No marketed products yet, high competition in the mRNA field, significant risk associated with clinical development.

Future outlook: Rating could be revised upwards upon product approvals, successful market entry, and sustained financial performance.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Data sources: Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. website, SEC filings, Zacks Research, MarketWatch.

Disclaimer:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered investment advice. It is recommended to conduct independent research before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters San Diego, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-04-16 Founder, President, CEO & Director Mr. Joseph E. Payne M.Sc.
Sector Healthcare Website https://arcturusrx.com
Industry Biotechnology Full time employees 180
Headquaters San Diego, CA, United States
Founder, President, CEO & Director Mr. Joseph E. Payne M.Sc.
Website https://arcturusrx.com
Website https://arcturusrx.com
Full time employees 180

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc., a late-stage clinical messenger RNA medicines and vaccine company, focuses on the development of infectious disease vaccines and other products within liver and respiratory rare diseases. Its technology platforms include LUNAR lipid-mediated delivery and STARR mRNA. The company is developing ARCT-810 (LUNAR-OTC), a mRNA-based therapeutic candidate, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial for treating ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency; and ARCT-154 (LUNAR-COV19), a mRNA vaccine candidate that is in Phase 3 arm of a Phase 1/2/3 study in Vietnam for the treatment of COVID-19, as well as ARCT-032 (LUNAR-CF), a mRNA therapeutic candidate for cystic fibrosis. Its product pipeline includes, ARCT-2301 for bivalent: ancestral/omicron which is in Phase 3; ARCT-2303 for monovalent that is in Phase 3; ARCT-2138 for quadrivalent which is in Phase 1; and LUNAR-FLU which is in pre-clinical trial. Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

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