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Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc (APLS)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: APLS (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 49.67% | Avg. Invested days 54 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.85B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 43.2 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 43.2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1943325 | Beta 0.92 | 52 Weeks Range 21.70 - 58.12 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 21.70 - 58.12 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.6 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -25.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) -12.31% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) -93.55% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2803524830 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.64 |
Enterprise Value 2803524830 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.64 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -12.12 | Shares Outstanding 125516000 | Shares Floating 84226131 |
Shares Outstanding 125516000 | Shares Floating 84226131 | ||
Percent Insiders 13.86 | Percent Institutions 103.02 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.14 | Target Price 45.85 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 11 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 11 | ||
Hold 8 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 2009. It is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutic compounds through targeting the complement system, a part of the human bodyu2019s immune system.
Core Business Areas
- Complement-Targeted Therapies: Developing drugs that inhibit the complement system to treat a wide range of diseases, particularly in ophthalmology, hematology, and nephrology.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes Cedric Francois, M.D., Ph.D. (CEO). Apellis has a typical biopharmaceutical organizational structure with departments focusing on research, development, clinical trials, manufacturing, and commercialization.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Syfovre (pegcetacoplan injection): Syfovre is approved for the treatment of geographic atrophy (GA) secondary to age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Competitors include Iveric Bio (acquired by Astellas Pharma, ALPMY) with Izervay. Initial market share data is still evolving, but analysts expect Syfovre to capture a significant portion of the GA treatment market. Revenue information is tracked quarterly; a full year's data is not yet fully available since its initial launch in early 2023. Some reports suggest a potential peak market share of ~50% in the GA market. Revenue data is best obtained from Apellis's quarterly financial reports.
- Empaveli (pegcetacoplan): Empaveli is a C3-targeted therapy approved for paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH). Competitors are mainly Alexion (acquired by AstraZeneca, AZN) with Soliris and Ultomiris. Empaveli aims to carve out market share by offering improved convenience (subcutaneous administration vs. intravenous). Market share in PNH is continuously evolving. Check Apellis's quarterly and annual reports for specific sales figures and market share data. Empaveli is trying to take market share from AZN
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry is highly competitive and research-intensive. It involves the discovery, development, and commercialization of drugs to treat various diseases. The complement therapeutics market is a growing segment, driven by advancements in understanding the complement system's role in disease and the unmet medical needs of patients with complement-mediated disorders.
Positioning
Apellis positions itself as a leader in complement-targeted therapies. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary pegcetacoplan molecule, which targets C3, a central component of the complement cascade. The company is initially focused on diseases with high unmet needs, such as GA and PNH.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for GA is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, given the high prevalence of AMD. The TAM for PNH is smaller, but Empaveli aims to capture a substantial share of the market currently dominated by Alexion's products. Apellis is positioned to capture a significant portion of both TAMs, particularly in GA where Syfovre is a first-in-class treatment.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary C3-targeted therapy (pegcetacoplan)
- First approved treatment for geographic atrophy (Syfovre)
- Subcutaneous administration of Empaveli offers convenience
- Strong intellectual property portfolio
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a limited number of products
- Potential for safety concerns with complement inhibition
- Competition from established players with significant resources
- Manufacturing and supply chain risks
Opportunities
- Expanding indications for pegcetacoplan
- Partnering with other companies to broaden reach
- Developing next-generation complement inhibitors
- Acquisition of smaller companies to get additional products in the portfolio
Threats
- Regulatory hurdles and potential delays
- Clinical trial failures
- Competition from biosimilars and generic drugs
- Adverse events impacting product adoption
- Reimbursement challenges from payers
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ALPMY
- AZN
Competitive Landscape
Apellis faces strong competition from established players like AstraZeneca (Alexion). However, its first-mover advantage in GA with Syfovre provides a significant competitive edge. The launch and the public perception of its treatments are very important and can affect market share quickly.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven primarily by Empaveli sales, but future growth will depend heavily on the success of Syfovre.
Future Projections: Analysts project significant revenue growth for Apellis, driven by Syfovre's market penetration in the GA market. However, profitability may take time to achieve due to continued R&D investments. Check analyst reports from firms like Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, and SVB Securities for specific projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the commercial launch of Syfovre, expanding manufacturing capacity, and conducting clinical trials for additional indications of pegcetacoplan.
Summary
Apellis Pharmaceuticals shows promise in the complement-targeted therapy space, particularly with Syfovre's potential in treating GA. However, its long-term success hinges on executing a successful commercial launch, managing competition, and avoiding any further safety issues that may arise. It will need to grow revenues significantly to reach profitability. The company's financial health and ability to fund ongoing R&D and commercialization are things investors should keep in mind.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Analyst Reports (Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, SVB Securities)
- Yahoo Finance, Google Finance
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data are estimates and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Waltham, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-11-09 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Cedric Francois M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 705 | Website https://apellis.com |
Full time employees 705 | Website https://apellis.com |
Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutic compounds to treat diseases with high unmet needs. It offers EMPAVELI for the treatment of paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria; and SYFOVRE for treating geographic atrophy secondary to age-related macular degeneration and geographic atrophy (GA). The company also develops EMPAVELI to treat C3 glomerulopathy and immune complex membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis, hematopoietic stem cell transplantation-associated thrombotic microangiopathy, focal segmental glomerulosclerosis, and delayed graft function; and APL-3007, a small interfering RNA, or siRNA for the treatment of GA. It has a collaboration and license agreement with Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) for development and commercialization of pegcetacoplan; and a collaboration with Beam Therapeutics Inc. focused on the use of Beam's base editing technology to discover new treatments for complement-driven diseases. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Waltham, Massachusetts.
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