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Smith AO Corporation (AOS)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: AOS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -7.09% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.42B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.07 | 1Y Target Price 76.01 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.07 | 1Y Target Price 76.01 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1393921 | Beta 1.18 | 52 Weeks Range 64.55 - 91.22 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 64.55 - 91.22 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.08% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.63 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 13.98% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.17% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 13.53% | Return on Equity (TTM) 28.63% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.07 | Forward PE 17.15 | Enterprise Value 9356106532 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.47 |
Enterprise Value 9356106532 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.47 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.9 | Shares Outstanding 117659000 | Shares Floating 115881370 |
Shares Outstanding 117659000 | Shares Floating 115881370 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.76 | Percent Institutions 97.78 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.36 | Target Price 81.89 | Buy - | Strong Buy 3 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 3 | ||
Hold 10 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Smith AO Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
A. O. Smith was founded in 1874 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin as a machine shop. Initially producing metal parts for baby carriages and bicycles, it evolved to become a leading manufacturer of water heaters and water treatment solutions globally.
Core Business Areas
- North America Water Heating: Manufactures and markets residential and commercial water heaters, including gas, electric, and tankless models, along with related parts and accessories in North America.
- Rest of World: Includes water heating operations outside of North America, as well as water treatment products in China and India.
- Water Treatment: Offers residential and commercial water filtration, softening, and purification systems.
Leadership and Structure
Kevin J. Wheeler serves as the Chairman and CEO. The company operates with a decentralized structure, with business units focused on specific geographies and product lines.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Residential Water Heaters: A. O. Smith offers a comprehensive range of residential water heaters, including tank, tankless, and heat pump models. They hold a significant market share in North America, estimated to be around 40-50%. Competitors include Rheem and Bradford White. A. O. Smith generated approximately $2.7 billion in revenue from its North American residential water heating segment in 2023.
- Commercial Water Heaters: Provides commercial water heating solutions for various applications, including restaurants, hotels, and office buildings. Market share is approximately 35-45%. Competitors include Rheem and Bradford White.
- Water Treatment Systems: A. O. Smith sells water softeners, filters and purifiers to homes and businesses. The market share for this is very small and competitors include Culligan, Pentair and GE.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The water heating industry is characterized by steady demand, driven by new construction, replacement needs, and regulatory changes. The water treatment industry is experiencing growth due to increasing awareness of water quality and health concerns.
Positioning
A. O. Smith is a market leader in the water heating industry, known for its quality products, strong distribution network, and innovation. They are also gaining prominence in the water treatment market.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global water heater market is estimated at over $30 billion. The water treatment market is over $20 billion. A. O. Smith is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of both TAMs with its broad product portfolio and established market presence.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation
- Extensive distribution network
- Product innovation
- Financial stability
- Large market share in North America
Weaknesses
- Dependence on North American market
- Exposure to raw material price fluctuations
- Slower growth in mature markets
- Relatively small market share in water treatment outside China and India
Opportunities
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Growth in water treatment market
- Increased demand for energy-efficient products
- Strategic acquisitions
- Leveraging digital channels for sales and service
Threats
- Increased competition
- Economic downturns
- Fluctuations in raw material costs
- Changing regulations
- Technological disruptions (e.g., alternative heating technologies)
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Rheem Manufacturing
- Bradford White
- Watts Water Technologies (WTS)
Competitive Landscape
A. O. Smith benefits from its strong brand reputation and extensive distribution network, giving it a competitive edge over smaller players. However, Rheem is a formidable competitor with a similar scale and product portfolio. Bradford White is known for its focus on quality and reliability.
Major Acquisitions
Giant Factories, Inc
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 192
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded A. O. Smith's water heater offerings and manufacturing capacity in Canada.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: A. O. Smith has experienced steady growth in revenue and earnings over the past decade, driven by both organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for A. O. Smith, driven by expansion in emerging markets and increasing demand for water treatment solutions. Revenue is expected to grow at a mid-single-digit rate over the next 3-5 years.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in new product development, expansion of the water treatment business, and strategic acquisitions in key markets.
Summary
A.O. Smith is a strong company that dominates the North American water heater market. Its global expansion efforts, especially in water treatment, present significant growth opportunities. Maintaining a strong balance sheet and consistently increasing dividends are positives. The company faces risks from economic cycles, raw material price fluctuations and increased competition, particularly in emerging markets and water treatment segments, which can hinder future growth.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- A. O. Smith Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change. Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Smith AO Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Milwaukee, WI, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1984-09-07 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Kevin J. Wheeler | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Specialty Industrial Machinery | Full time employees 12700 | Website https://www.aosmith.com |
Full time employees 12700 | Website https://www.aosmith.com |
A. O. Smith Corporation manufactures and markets residential and commercial gas and electric water heaters, boilers, heat pumps, tanks, and water treatment products in North America, China, Europe, and India. The company offers water heaters for residences, restaurants, hotels, office buildings, laundries, car washes, and small businesses; boilers for hospitals, schools, hotels, and other large commercial buildings, as well as homes, apartments, and condominiums; and water treatment products comprising point-of-entry water softeners, well water solutions, and whole-home water filtration products, and point-of-use carbon and reverse osmosis products for residences, restaurants, hotels, and offices. It also provides commercial water treatment and filtration products; expansion tanks, commercial solar water heating systems, swimming pool and spa heaters, and related products and parts; and electric wall-hung, gas tankless, combi-boiler, and heat pump and solar water heaters. The company offers its products under the A. O. Smith, State, Lochinvar, Hague, Water-Right, Master Water, Atlantic Filter, and Water Tec brands. It distributes its products through independent wholesale plumbing distributors, as well as to retail channels consisting of hardware and home center chains, and manufacturer representative firms; and offers Aquasana branded products directly to consumers through e-commerce channels. A. O. Smith Corporation was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
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