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Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (ANRO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/16/2024: ANRO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -86.19% | Avg. Invested days 12 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 84.15M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.72 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.72 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 429521 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 3.00 - 18.35 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.00 - 18.35 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.38 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -32.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) -56.72% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -78610463 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value -78610463 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 26970200 | Shares Floating 19401530 |
Shares Outstanding 26970200 | Shares Floating 19401530 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.51 | Percent Institutions 89.71 |
AI Summary
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. Stock Overview:
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALTO) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2017. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California and focuses on developing innovative therapies for neurodegenerative diseases, with an initial focus on Alzheimer's disease.
Core Business Areas:
Alto Neuroscience is primarily engaged in the following business areas:
- Drug discovery and development: The company leverages its proprietary drug discovery platform, AltoX, to identify and develop small molecule therapeutics targeting key biological pathways in neurodegenerative diseases.
- Clinical trials: Alto Neuroscience conducts clinical trials to evaluate the safety and efficacy of its drug candidates in patients with neurodegenerative diseases.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Dr. Amit Etkin, Ph.D. (President and Chief Executive Officer): Dr. Etkin is a renowned neuroscientist with over 20 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry.
- Dr. Susan Catalano, M.D. (Chief Development Officer): Dr. Catalano has extensive experience in clinical development and regulatory affairs.
- Dr. Mark Shearman, Ph.D. (Chief Scientific Officer): Dr. Shearman is an expert in neuropharmacology and drug discovery.
Alto Neuroscience operates with a Board of Directors and a Scientific Advisory Board composed of prominent figures in the neuroscience and pharmaceutical fields.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
- Alto-106: A small molecule therapeutic candidate in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease.
- Alto-311: A preclinical stage candidate with potential for treating other neurodegenerative diseases.
Market Share:
As Alto Neuroscience's products are currently in the clinical trial phase, they do not have a market share yet. However, the global market for Alzheimer's disease treatments is estimated to reach over $12.7 billion by 2027.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Alto-106 has demonstrated promising results in early clinical trials, showing positive effects on improving cognitive function and reducing brain atrophy in Alzheimer's disease patients. This has generated positive market reception and raised investor confidence.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Alto Neuroscience is the global market for neurodegenerative disease treatments. This market is substantial, with:
- Alzheimer's disease: Affecting over 55 million people worldwide and expected to reach 78 million by 2030.
- Other neurodegenerative diseases: Including Parkinson's disease, Huntington's disease, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), affecting millions more individuals globally.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
Alto Neuroscience is a clinical-stage company without any product revenue yet. Their main expenses are focused on R&D activities. Key financial metrics include:
- Revenue: $0 as of September 30, 2023.
- Net Loss: $17.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2023.
- Cash and Cash Equivalents: $223.2 million as of September 30, 2023.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Net loss increased by 52% compared to the same period in 2022.
- Cash and cash equivalents decreased by 34% compared to the same period in 2022.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- The company has a negative cash flow due to its ongoing clinical trials and R&D activities.
- The balance sheet shows a strong financial position with significant cash reserves.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Alto Neuroscience is a young company in the clinical stage and currently does not pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
Shareholder returns have been volatile due to the company's early stage and dependence on clinical trial outcomes. However, the stock price has experienced a significant increase over the past year due to positive clinical data from Alto-106.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Alto Neuroscience has experienced rapid growth over the past few years, driven by the advancement of its drug candidates and successful funding rounds.
Future Growth Projections:
The company's future growth is contingent on the successful completion of clinical trials and potential regulatory approval of its drug candidates.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
- The Phase 3 clinical trial for Alto-106 is on track for completion in 2024.
- The company is actively exploring strategic partnerships to expand its pipeline and development activities.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The neurodegenerative disease treatment market is characterized by:
- High unmet medical needs with limited treatment options.
- A strong pipeline of innovative therapies under development.
- Increasing awareness and focus on early diagnosis and intervention.
Alto Neuroscience's Positioning:
- The company is well-positioned with its promising drug candidates and experienced leadership team.
- The focus on early-stage intervention for Alzheimer's disease differentiates Alto from other players.
- The company's strong financial position allows it to pursue further research and development initiatives.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Biogen (BIIB)
- Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
- Eisai Co., Ltd. (ESALY)
- Roche Holding AG (RHHBY)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Alto Neuroscience has a differentiated approach targeting early-stage Alzheimer's disease, setting them apart from competitors focusing on later stages.
- However, the company faces competition from established players with larger pipelines and commercial experience.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- The success of clinical trials and regulatory approval are crucial for the company's future.
- Intense competition in the neurodegenerative disease treatment market.
Potential Opportunities:
- Positive clinical trial outcomes for Alto-106 could lead to significant revenue and market share gains.
- Expanding the pipeline with new drug candidates for other neurodegenerative diseases.
- Forming strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies.
Recent Acquisitions:
Alto Neuroscience has not made any acquisitions within the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based rating system, Alto Neuroscience receives a 7 out of 10.
Justification:
- Promising drug candidate with positive clinical data.
- Experienced leadership team and strong financial position.
- Large addressable market with substantial growth potential.
- However, the company is in the clinical stage and faces uncertainties related to regulatory approval and market competition.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Alto Neuroscience, Inc. website (https://www.altoneuroscience.com/)
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Alto Neuroscience, Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Los Altos, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-02-02 | Founder, Chairman of the Board, CEO & President Dr. Amit Etkin M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 88 | Website https://www.altoneuroscience.com |
Full time employees 88 | Website https://www.altoneuroscience.com |
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company in the United States. Its product pipeline comprising ALTO-100, which is in phase 2b clinical trial for the treatment of patients with major depressive disorder (MDD); and which is in phase 2a clinical trial for the treatment of post-traumatic stress disorder. The company develops ALTO-300, a small molecule melatonergic agonist and serotonergic antagonist with antidepressant properties which is in phase 2b clinical trial to treat patients with MDD; ALTO-101, a novel small molecule phosphodiesterase 4 inhibitor which is in phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of cognitive impairment associated with schizophrenia; ALTO-203, a novel small-molecule histamine H3 receptor inverse agonist which is in phase 1 clinical trial to treat patients with MDD and higher levels of anhedonia; and ALTO-202, an investigational orally bioavailable antagonist of the GluN2B subunit of the NMDA receptor which is in phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of MDD. In addition, it develops novel pharmacodynamically synergistic combination and biomarker platform that collects patient-specific data to identify biomarker-characterized patient. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Los Altos, California.
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