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Upturn AI SWOT - About
AMTX 
Aemetis Inc (AMTX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/27/2025: AMTX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -35.97% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 02/27/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 92.78M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.19 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 863042 | Beta 1.48 | 52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 5.53 | Updated Date 03/31/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 5.53 | Updated Date 03/31/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.91 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-05 | When Before Market | Estimate -0.4052 | Actual -0.3544 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -32.71% | Operating Margin (TTM) -28.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 429405458 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 |
Enterprise Value 429405458 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.77 | Shares Outstanding 53319300 | Shares Floating 48913563 |
Shares Outstanding 53319300 | Shares Floating 48913563 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.46 | Percent Institutions 23.23 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.67 | Target Price 11.75 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Aemetis Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Aemetis, Inc. was founded in 2006. It focuses on renewable fuels and chemicals production, evolving from traditional ethanol production to advanced biofuels and sustainable aviation fuel.
Core Business Areas
- Renewable Fuels: Production of renewable fuels like ethanol and biodiesel from renewable resources.
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Development and production of SAF from renewable feedstocks.
- Renewable Natural Gas (RNG): Production of RNG from agricultural waste.
- Carbon Capture and Sequestration: Capturing and storing carbon emissions from production processes
Leadership and Structure
Eric McAfee serves as Chairman and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments for operations, finance, and R&D.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ethanol: Aemetis produces ethanol from corn and other renewable resources. Market share is fragmented across numerous producers; specific Aemetis market share data is variable. Competitors include Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) and Green Plains (GPRE).
- Renewable Diesel/SAF: Aemetis is developing and producing SAF. Market share is nascent but growing rapidly; specific market share data is still evolving, however, demand for SAF is high. Competitors include Neste and World Energy.
- Renewable Natural Gas: Aemetis produces RNG from dairy waste. They expect to be one of the largest RNG producers. Competitors include Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE) and numerous smaller RNG producers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The renewable fuels industry is growing due to government mandates and increasing demand for sustainable energy sources. Factors influencing the industry include feedstock costs, regulatory changes, and technological advancements.
Positioning
Aemetis is positioned as an innovator in advanced biofuels, focusing on SAF and RNG production. Their competitive advantage lies in their ability to utilize diverse feedstocks and produce high-value renewable fuels.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for renewable fuels is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Aemetis is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its focus on SAF and RNG.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Innovative technology for advanced biofuels
- Focus on high-value renewable fuels (SAF, RNG)
- Access to diverse feedstocks
- Government support and incentives
Weaknesses
- High capital expenditure requirements
- Reliance on government regulations and subsidies
- Negative Cash Flow
- Relatively small scale compared to major oil companies
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for SAF and RNG
- Expansion into new markets and geographies
- Technological advancements in biofuel production
- Partnerships with airlines and other end-users
Threats
- Fluctuations in feedstock prices
- Competition from other renewable energy sources
- Changes in government regulations and subsidies
- Technological obsolescence
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ADM
- GPRE
- REGI
- CLNE
- NESTE
- ALSN
Competitive Landscape
Aemetis competes with larger, more established companies in the renewable fuels industry. Its competitive advantage lies in its focus on advanced biofuels and its ability to utilize diverse feedstocks.
Major Acquisitions
Freedom Pines Biorefining
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 14.5
- Strategic Rationale: Expands Aemetisu2019 renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel production capacity.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Aemetis has experienced growth in revenues, particularly with the ramp-up of its Keyes plant and increased demand for renewable fuels.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued revenue growth, driven by SAF and RNG production.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include securing agreements for SAF supply and expanding RNG production capacity.
Summary
Aemetis shows great promise as it carves out a position in the renewable energy market, with particular focus on aviation fuel. Its success depends on continuous capital availability and the navigating of risks in regulatory changes in the renewable energy market. Continued growth requires strong partnerships and efficient operations. Though innovative, Aemetis must manage its cash flow to overcome challenges and make good on its ambitious goals. Aemetis must scale up production and reduce costs while meeting quality standards.
Similar Companies
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp
GPRE
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
GPRE
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Aemetis Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Cupertino, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-05-15 | Co-Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Eric A. McAfee | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 223 | Website https://www.aemetis.com |
Full time employees 223 | Website https://www.aemetis.com | ||
Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company. It operates through three segments: California Ethanol, California Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel. The company engages in the operation, acquisition, development, and commercialization of low and negative carbon intensity products and technologies that replace fossil fuel products. It also produces and sells ethanol; wet distillers grains, distillers corn oil, and condensed distillers solubles to dairies and feedlots as animal feed; and distilled biodiesel and refined glycerin products. In addition, the company produces renewable natural gas; and USP alcohol and hand sanitizer. Aemetis, Inc. is headquartered in Cupertino, California.
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