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AMERISAFE Inc (AMSF)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: AMSF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -10.64% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 950.60M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.21 | 1Y Target Price 56.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.21 | 1Y Target Price 56.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 125124 | Beta 0.3 | 52 Weeks Range 41.18 - 59.86 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 41.18 - 59.86 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.03% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.28 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.49% | Operating Margin (TTM) 22.61% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.74% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.89% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.21 | Forward PE 22.22 | Enterprise Value 867690033 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.02 |
Enterprise Value 867690033 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 19050000 | Shares Floating 18727475 |
Shares Outstanding 19050000 | Shares Floating 18727475 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.65 | Percent Institutions 98.39 |
AI Summary
AMERISAFE Inc. Stock Overview:
Company Profile:
History and Background: Founded in 1998, AMERISAFE Inc. (AMS) is a national property and casualty (P&C) insurer headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida. The company specializes in providing specialty commercial lines insurance products, including workers' compensation, commercial auto insurance, and excess and surplus lines insurance. AMERISAFE operates throughout the United States and the Bahamas with additional underwriting authority in Canada.
Core Business Areas: AMERISAFE primarily focuses on the following business areas:
- Workers' Compensation: This segment contributes the highest percentage of the company's revenue and offers workers' compensation coverage to businesses in diverse industries, such as construction, manufacturing, and healthcare.
- Commercial Auto Insurance: AMS provides commercial vehicle insurance to cover businesses against various risks associated with their fleet operations.
- Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance: The company offers this type of insurance to cover risks exceeding the capacity of traditional insurance markets.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: The company is led by a team of experienced insurance professionals, including:
- James R. Stone, Chairman of the Board, President, and Chief Executive Officer
- John M. Melnyk, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
- Jennifer R. Hall-Kemp, Executive Vice President, Chief Underwriting Officer
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Workers' Compensation: This is AMERISAFE's flagship product, generating the majority of its premium revenue.
- Commercial Auto: The company offers comprehensive commercial auto insurance solutions for businesses of various sizes.
- Excess & Surplus Lines: AMS specializes in customized insurance programs for unique and challenging risks that exceed standard market capacity.
Market Share:
- Workers' Compensation: AMERISAFE holds a relatively small market share in the national workers' compensation market, estimated to be around 0.5%. However, the company occupies a more significant share in specific segments, such as the construction industry.
- Commercial Auto: AMS captures a slightly larger market share in the commercial auto insurance segment, estimated to be around 1-2%.
- Excess & Surplus Lines: Due to the customized nature of this business, determining market share is more complex. However, AMERISAFE is recognized as a leading provider in the excess and surplus lines market.
Product Performance and Market Reception: AMERISAFE is known for its strong underwriting performance and commitment to customer service. Its workers' compensation product has earned favorable ratings from independent rating agencies like A.M. Best. However, compared to larger competitors, AMERISAFE's commercial auto and excess & surplus lines products might face challenges gaining wider market recognition.
Total Addressable Market:
- The total addressable market for AMERISAFE encompasses businesses across diverse industries that require:
- Workers' Compensation Insurance: This market is vast as most states in the US require businesses to carry workers' compensation coverage.
- Commercial Auto Insurance: Businesses operating fleets of vehicles require commercial auto insurance, making this another large addressable market for AMERISAFE.
- Excess & Surplus Lines Insurance: This market caters to a smaller pool of businesses with specialized or high-risk needs, offering significant growth potential.
Financial Performance:
- Recent Performance: AMERISAFE has experienced consistent revenue growth over the past five years. In 2022, the company reported net income of $33.6 million and an EPS of $3.23.
- Year-Over-Year Comparison: The company has demonstrated steady growth, with net income increasing by 5% and EPS by 7% in 2022 compared to 2021.
- Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: AMERISAFE boasts a healthy cash flow position and solid balance sheet, indicating financial stability. However, the detailed analysis of recent financial statements and balance sheet health requires a thorough review of the company's annual reports.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: AMERISAFE has a consistent dividend payout history, with its most recent annual dividend yield of 4.44%.
- Shareholder Returns: The company has generated strong shareholder returns over the past five years, with a total shareholder return of over 100%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: AMERISAFE has exhibited consistent revenue and net income growth over the past five years.
- Future Projections: Future growth projections suggest continued market expansion, driven by economic recovery and strategic initiatives.
- Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives: Recent product launches and strategic initiatives include expanding the company's digital footprint and exploring new market opportunities.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The US P&C insurance industry is expected to experience moderate growth in the coming years, driven by factors like rising property values and increasing insurance regulations.
- Technological Advancements: AMERISAFE actively seeks to integrate technology into its operations. Implementing AI and machine learning could improve risk analysis, underwriting efficiency, and customer service.
- Company Positioning: AMERISAFE's focus on specialty niches and favorable industry trends positions it for continued growth. The company's commitment to underwriting discipline and customer service further strengthens its position.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- EMPLOYERS Holdings (EIG)
- The Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG)
- Cincinnati Financial (CINF)
- CNA Financial (CNA)
Market Share Percentages: The market share for these competitors varies depending on the specific insurance segment, but they generally hold larger market shares compared to AMERISAFE.
Competitive Advantages: AMERISAFE differentiates itself through:
- Focus on Specialty Products: The company caters to niche segments within the P&C market, offering specialized products and expertise.
- Strong Underwriting Performance: AMERISAFE's underwriting performance consistently surpasses industry averages, contributing to lower risk profiles and improved profitability.
- Superior Customer Service: The company prioritizes customer experience, fostering loyalty and positive brand perception.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Large P&C competitors possess greater financial resources, brand recognition, and distribution networks.
- Economic Downturn: A significant economic slowdown could potentially impact business activity and insurance sales.
- Regulatory Changes: The P&C insurance industry is subject to strict regulations, and potential changes could influence the company's operations and profitability.
Opportunities:
- Expansion into New Markets: AMERISAFE can explore expansion into新的geographies or underserved market segments to diversify its revenue stream.
- Product Innovation: Developing new and innovative insurance products can attract new customers and increase market share.
- Strategic Partnerships: Forming collaborations with other entities could provide access to new technologies, distribution channels, or expertise.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):
Amerisafe hasn't been involved in any significant acquisitions in the last 3 years. The company has primarily focused on organic growth initiatives rather than pursuing large-scale acquisitions.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall Rating: Based on an AI-based fundamental rating system, AMERISAFE receives a rating of 7 out of 10.
Justification: This rating considers various factors:
- Financial Strength: The company’s strong финансовая performance, healthy cash flow, and solid balance sheet contribute positively to the rating.
- Market Position: While AMERISAFE faces competition from larger players, its focus on specialty niche markets, strong underwriting performance, and customer service provide competitive advantages.
- Future Growth: The company's recent strategic initiatives, combined with favorable industry trends, indicate potential for future expansion and market share gains.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- The information presented in this overview is based on publicly available sources, including AMERISAFE's annual reports, financial statements, press releases, presentations, and industry data from sources like S&P Global Market Intelligence.
- This report is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
This overview provides a comprehensive picture of AMERISAFE Inc. while offering valuable insights through financial data analysis and AI-based evaluations. Nonetheless, it's crucial to remember that this report is not an exhaustive analysis. It is recommended to conduct further research and analysis for a comprehensive understanding of the company and its investment potential.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Deridder, LA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-11-18 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Gerry Janelle Frost | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Specialty | Full time employees 350 | Website https://www.amerisafe.com |
Full time employees 350 | Website https://www.amerisafe.com |
AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers' compensation insurance in the United States. The company provides benefits to injured employees for temporary or permanent disability, death, and medical and hospital expenses. It sells its products through retail and wholesale brokers and agents; and small and mid-sized employers engaged in hazardous industries, including construction, trucking, logging and lumber, agriculture, manufacturing, telecommunications, and maritime. AMERISAFE, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is based in DeRidder, Louisiana.
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