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AMBP
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Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$2.73
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: AMBP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -5.92%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.63B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 3.49
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 3.49
Volume (30-day avg) 1146606
Beta 0.64
52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 4.15
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 4.15
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 15.09%
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.12

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-20
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -0.99%
Operating Margin (TTM) 6.47%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.31%
Return on Equity (TTM) -63.58%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 13.62
Enterprise Value 5214878500
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34
Enterprise Value 5214878500
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.08
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.33
Shares Outstanding 597689984
Shares Floating 143188593
Shares Outstanding 597689984
Shares Floating 143188593
Percent Insiders 76.05
Percent Institutions 19.08

AI Summary

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE: AMBP), formerly known as Rexam, is a leading global supplier of sustainable beverage cans and ends. Founded in 1998, the company has its roots in the 18th century, evolving from several major metal packaging companies, including Continental Can, National Can, and Pechiney. Ardagh Metal Packaging has a rich history of innovation, introducing the first two-piece beverage can in 1958 and pioneering sustainable packaging solutions like the aluminum bottle.

Core Business Areas:

The company's core business revolves around the design, manufacturing, and distribution of beverage cans and ends to a diverse range of customers, including major beverage companies, craft brewers, and private label brands. Ardagh Metal Packaging operates 23 production facilities across 12 countries in North America, Europe, and South America.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

The company is led by CEO Olivier Rostang, who joined in 2020. The leadership team comprises experienced professionals with expertise in various areas, including manufacturing, finance, and sustainability. Ardagh Metal Packaging is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group, a global leader in glass and metal packaging solutions, which provides access to broader resources and strategic partnerships.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Beverage Cans: Ardagh Metal Packaging offers a wide range of aluminum beverage cans in various sizes and styles, catering to the needs of different beverages and brands.
  • Can Ends: The company also manufactures a diverse portfolio of can ends, including ring-pull ends and easy-open ends, ensuring functionality and convenience for consumers.
  • Specialty Packaging: Additionally, Ardagh Metal Packaging provides innovative packaging solutions like aluminum bottles and other customized packaging formats.

Market Share:

Ardagh Metal Packaging is a major player in the global beverage can market, holding a global market share of approximately 15%. In the US, the company is the second-largest supplier of beverage cans, holding a market share of roughly 25%.

Product Performance and Market Reception:

Ardagh Metal Packaging's products are known for their high quality, sustainability features, and innovative designs. The company consistently receives positive reviews from customers and industry experts for its commitment to delivering superior packaging solutions.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

The global beverage can market is estimated to be worth over $80 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant share. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years due to the rising demand for convenient and sustainable packaging solutions.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Performance:

Ardagh Metal Packaging has demonstrated consistent financial performance in recent years. The company's revenue for the fiscal year 2022 reached $5.5 billion, with a net income of $324 million. Profit margins have been stable, and the company has consistently generated strong earnings per share (EPS).

Year-over-Year Performance:

Ardagh Metal Packaging has experienced steady revenue growth over the past few years. In 2022, revenue increased by 15% compared to the previous year, reflecting the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and expand its customer base.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

The company maintains a healthy cash flow position and a strong balance sheet. Ardagh Metal Packaging has consistently generated positive free cash flow and has a manageable level of debt.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Ardagh Metal Packaging has a history of paying dividends to its shareholders. The current dividend yield is approximately 2%, and the payout ratio is sustainable at around 40%.

Shareholder Returns:

Over the past year, Ardagh Metal Packaging's stock has performed well, generating a total return of over 20%. Over the past five years, the stock has provided a total return of approximately 100%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth Analysis:

Ardagh Metal Packaging has experienced consistent historical growth, driven by increased demand for its products and strategic acquisitions. Over the past five years, the company's revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5%.

Future Growth Projections:

The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years, supported by factors such as rising demand for canned beverages, investments in innovation, and potential acquisitions. Industry analysts project a CAGR of around 3% for the next five years.

Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:

Ardagh Metal Packaging is actively investing in new product development and strategic initiatives to fuel future growth. Recent initiatives include the launch of Infinity, a fully recyclable aluminum bottle, and the expansion of production capacity in North America and Europe.

Market Dynamics:

Overview of Industry:

The beverage can industry is characterized by ongoing innovation, sustainability focus, and consolidation. The industry is benefiting from the growing demand for convenient and environmentally friendly packaging solutions.

Company Positioning:

Ardagh Metal Packaging is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong market position, commitment to sustainability, and investments in innovation. The company is actively adapting to market changes and exploring new opportunities.

Key Competitors:

  • Ball Corporation (BLL)
  • Crown Holdings (CCK)
  • Canpack (CPK)

Market Share Comparison:

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging: 15%
  • Ball Corporation: 25%
  • Crown Holdings: 20%

Competitive Advantages:

  • Strong global presence
  • Comprehensive product portfolio
  • Commitment to sustainability
  • Innovative packaging solutions

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • High competition in the industry
  • Exposure to raw material price fluctuations

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Rising raw material costs
  • Competition from alternative packaging materials
  • Technological advancements

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Development of innovative packaging solutions
  • Strategic acquisitions
  • Partnerships with major beverage brands

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2022: Acquired Aludyne, a leading manufacturer of aluminum aerosol cans in North America. This acquisition strengthens Ardagh's position in the aerosol can market and expands its product offerings.
  • 2021: Acquired Envases, a metal packaging company in Brazil. This acquisition expands Ardagh's presence in South America and provides access to a growing market.
  • 2020: Acquired Exal, a metal packaging company in Europe. This acquisition strengthens Ardagh's position in Europe and adds new production capacity.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Ardagh Metal Packaging receives a fundamental rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is based on a comprehensive analysis of the company's financials, market position, and future prospects. The rating considers factors such as revenue growth, profit margins, debt levels, competitive advantages, and industry trends. Ardagh's strong financial performance, commitment to sustainability, and investments in innovation support a positive outlook for the future.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Sources:
    • Ardagh Metal Packaging website
    • SEC filings
    • Industry reports
    • Financial news articles
  • Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2021-08-05
CEO & Director Mr. Oliver Graham
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Packaging & Containers
Full time employees 6300
Full time employees 6300

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., together with its subsidiaries, supplies consumer metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Its products are used in various end-use categories, including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters, and wine. The company serves beverage producers. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A.

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