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Allurion Technologies, Inc. (ALUR)ALUR
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: ALUR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -22.6% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 53 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -22.6% | Avg. Invested days: 53 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 26.41M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.83 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.41 |
Volume (30-day avg) 232861 | Beta -0.41 |
52 Weeks Range 0.31 - 4.24 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 26.41M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.83 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.41 | Volume (30-day avg) 232861 | Beta -0.41 |
52 Weeks Range 0.31 - 4.24 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-13 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate -0.18 | Actual -0.1818 |
Report Date 2024-11-13 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate -0.18 | Actual -0.1818 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -71.24% | Operating Margin (TTM) -229.94% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -42.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 36305677 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.15 |
Shares Outstanding 64486500 | Shares Floating 38993684 |
Percent Insiders 26.03 | Percent Institutions 31.01 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 36305677 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.15 | Shares Outstanding 64486500 | Shares Floating 38993684 |
Percent Insiders 26.03 | Percent Institutions 31.01 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.25 | Target Price 5 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.25 | Target Price 5 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Allurion Technologies, Inc. (ALUR) Stock Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Allurion Technologies, Inc. (ALUR) was founded in 2009 by Dr. Shantanu Gaur and Samuel Levy. The company was originally called Elipse Technologies, focusing on weight-loss devices. In 2015, Allurion acquired Elipse Technologies and rebranded under the same name. Allurion specializes in developing and commercializing non-surgical weight-loss products, primarily the Elipse Balloon System.
Core Business Areas:
- Weight Loss: Allurion's core business revolves around the development and commercialization of the Elipse Balloon System, a non-surgical weight-loss device.
- Research and Development: Allurion actively invests in research and development to improve existing products and explore new technologies for weight management.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: Dr. Shantanu Gaur
- CFO: Michael Cardillo
- CMO: Matt D'Uva
- Board of Directors: Shantanu Gaur, John D. Abele, Robert A. Coury, James A. Healy, David A. Johnson, David B. LaFontaine, and Susan M. Samuels
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Elipse Balloon System: a non-surgical, swallowable balloon placed in the stomach to promote weight loss.
- Allurion Virtual Care: a comprehensive weight-loss program that combines the Elipse Balloon with digital tools and coaching support.
Market Share:
- Global: The global weight-loss device market is estimated to be worth $11 billion, with Elipse holding a market share of around 2%.
- US: The US weight-loss device market is estimated to be worth $4.5 billion, with Elipse holding a market share of approximately 4%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
The Elipse Balloon System has received positive feedback from patients and healthcare professionals. Its non-surgical nature, ease of use, and proven effectiveness contribute to its growing popularity.
Competitive Landscape:
Allurion's primary competitors in the weight-loss device market include:
- Medtronic: Offers various weight-loss devices, including the Apollo Adjustable Gastric Band.
- Johnson & Johnson: Offers the ORBERA Intragastric Balloon.
- Ethicon: Offers the Elipse Program, a competing gastric balloon system.
Total Addressable Market:
The global weight-loss device market is expected to reach $13.5 billion by 2027, with an annual growth rate of 6.5%. This growth is primarily driven by rising obesity rates and increasing demand for non-invasive weight-loss solutions.
Financial Performance:
Financial Analysis:
- Revenue: Allurion's total revenue in 2022 was $134 million, an increase of 87% year-over-year.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of $21.5 million in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Allurion's gross margin in 2022 was 81%, demonstrating a healthy profit margin.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): The EPS for 2022 was -($0.43).
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Allurion's cash flow from operations in 2022 was $12.5 million. The company has a relatively strong balance sheet, with $112 million in cash and equivalents and $52 million in long-term debt as of December 31, 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Allurion does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, ALUR stock has generated a return of approximately -30%. However, in the past five years, it has delivered a remarkable return of over 500%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Allurion has experienced strong revenue growth over the past few years. Between 2021 and 2022, the company's revenue increased by 87%.
Future Growth Projections:
Allurion projects continued strong revenue growth in the coming years, driven by increased adoption of the Elipse Balloon System and expansion into new markets.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
- Elipse 360 Program: An enhanced version of the Elipse Program with additional digital tools and coaching support.
- Market Expansion: Allurion is actively expanding into new markets, including Europe and Asia.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The weight-loss device market is experiencing significant growth, driven by rising obesity rates and increasing demand for non-surgical solutions. Technological advancements are also leading to the development of more innovative and effective devices.
Allurion's Positioning:
Allurion is well-positioned in the market due to its innovative product, strong brand recognition, and experienced management team. The company is actively investing in R&D and expanding into new markets to further solidify its position.
Adaptability to Market Changes:
Allurion has demonstrated its adaptability by rapidly responding to evolving market demands. The company's virtual care offering and continuous product enhancements are examples of its ability to adapt to changing needs.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Medtronic (MDT)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
- Ethicon (JNJ)
Market Share and Comparison:
- MDT: Holds the largest market share in the weight-loss device market, estimated to be around 50%.
- JNJ: Holds a market share of approximately 20%.
- Ethicon: Holds a market share of approximately 15%.
- Allurion: Holds a market share of around 2%.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Innovative product technology
- Strong brand recognition
- Experienced management team
- Focus on digital tools and patient support
Disadvantages:
- Relatively small market share
- Limited product portfolio
- Operating losses
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition from established players
- Reimbursement challenges
- Supply chain disruptions
- Regulatory hurdles
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets
- Developing new product offerings
- Partnering with other healthcare providers
- Increasing adoption of virtual care
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):
No acquisitions were reported for Allurion Technologies, Inc. in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Allurion's strong revenue growth, innovative product, and experienced management team are positive factors.
- However, the company's operating losses, limited market share, and competition from established players are challenges.
Overall, while Allurion has strong growth potential, it also faces significant challenges. Investors should carefully consider these factors before making any investment decisions.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Allurion Technologies, Inc. website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Allurion Technologies, Inc.
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Natick, MA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2023-08-02 | Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director | Dr. Shantanu K. Gaur M.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.allurion.com |
Industry | Medical Devices | Full time employees | 501 |
Headquaters | Natick, MA, United States | ||
Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director | Dr. Shantanu K. Gaur M.D. | ||
Website | https://www.allurion.com | ||
Website | https://www.allurion.com | ||
Full time employees | 501 |
Allurion Technologies Inc. focuses on ending obesity with a weight loss platform to treat people who are overweight. Its platform, the Allurion Program, features swallowable and procedure-less intragastric balloon for weight loss (the Allurion Balloon), as well as offers access to AI-powered remote patient monitoring tools, a proprietary behavior change program, secure messaging, and video telehealth that are delivered by the Allurion Virtual Care Suite. Allurion Technologies Inc. is headquartered in Natick, Massachusetts.
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