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The Allstate Corporation (ALL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: ALL (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 40.91% | Avg. Invested days 67 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 50.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.27 | 1Y Target Price 223.76 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.27 | 1Y Target Price 223.76 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1638773 | Beta 0.48 | 52 Weeks Range 150.28 - 208.95 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 150.28 - 208.95 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.95% | Basic EPS (TTM) 15.47 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.77% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.32% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.27% | Return on Equity (TTM) 23.78% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.27 | Forward PE 10.24 | Enterprise Value 59289373405 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 |
Enterprise Value 59289373405 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 264803008 | Shares Floating 262865098 |
Shares Outstanding 264803008 | Shares Floating 262865098 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.57 | Percent Institutions 80.07 |
AI Summary
Allstate Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview (November 2023)
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Founded in 1931, The Allstate Corporation has grown from a small auto insurance provider to a leading multi-line insurance company, offering a range of insurance and financial services. The company has a rich history of innovation, introducing the first drive-in claim center in 1959 and pioneering online insurance sales in the 1990s.
Core Business Areas:
Allstate operates in two primary segments:
- Protection: This segment provides auto, home, and renters insurance, alongside other personal insurance products.
- Retirement: This segment offers a variety of retirement solutions, including annuities, life insurance, and investment products.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
The company is led by Chairman and CEO Tom Wilson, who has been with Allstate since 1998. The leadership team comprises seasoned executives with extensive experience in the insurance industry. Allstate operates through a decentralized structure, with various subsidiary companies focusing on specific business lines.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Auto Insurance: Allstate is the second largest auto insurer in the US, with approximately 10% market share.
- Home Insurance: The company ranks among the top 10 home insurance providers, holding a market share of around 5%.
- Supplemental Insurance: Allstate offers a wide range of supplemental insurance products, including motorcycle, boat, and RV insurance.
Market Share:
- Auto Insurance: Allstate’s market share is slightly lower than State Farm (18%) but ahead of Progressive (9%) and GEICO (8%).
- Home Insurance: Allstate trails State Farm (17%), Liberty Mutual (6%), and Farmers Insurance (5%).
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Allstate's products generally receive positive reviews for their value, customer service, and claims handling. However, the company faces competition from smaller, more agile insurers that offer competitive pricing and innovative products.
Total Addressable Market:
The global insurance market is estimated to be worth over $6 trillion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion. Within the US, the auto insurance market is projected to reach $370 billion by 2027, while the home insurance market is expected to reach $176 billion by 2028.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance:
In 2022, Allstate reported revenue of $47.7 billion, net income of $7.4 billion, and EPS of $30.58. However, the company saw a decline in profits compared to the previous year due to higher claims costs and a challenging economic environment.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Allstate maintains a strong financial position, with a healthy cash flow and a conservative balance sheet. The company has a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio and ample liquidity to meet its financial obligations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Allstate has a long history of dividend payments, with a current dividend yield of approximately 2.5%. The company has increased its dividend payout every year for the past 10 years.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, Allstate’s stock price has declined by approximately 10%. However, over a 5-year period, the company has generated shareholder returns of over 50%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Allstate has experienced modest growth over the past 5-10 years, driven primarily by premium increases and acquisitions. The company's revenue has grown at an average rate of 2% per year, while its net income has grown at an average rate of 1% per year.
Future Growth Projections:
Allstate's future growth prospects are dependent on several factors, including the economic climate, industry competition, and regulatory changes. The company expects moderate growth in the coming years, driven by continued premium increases and expansion into new markets.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The insurance industry is highly competitive, with numerous established players and smaller, more nimble competitors. Technological advancements and changes in consumer behavior are also driving rapid transformation in the industry.
Allstate's Positioning:
Allstate remains a well-positioned player in the insurance industry, benefiting from its strong brand recognition, established distribution channels, and diversified product portfolio. The company is adapting to the evolving market by investing in technology, expanding its online presence, and offering more customized products.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- State Farm (STF)
- Progressive (PGR)
- GEICO (BRKB)
- Farmers Insurance (farmers.com)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive distribution network
- Diversified product portfolio
- Strong financial position
Disadvantages:
- High operating costs
- Intense competition
- Regulatory uncertainty
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining profitability in a competitive market
- Adapting to evolving consumer expectations
- Managing regulatory changes
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and product lines
- Leveraging technology to improve efficiency and customer experience
- Growing through strategic acquisitions and partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- SquareTrade (2023): A leading provider of product protection plans, expanding Allstate's reach into the growing warranty market.
- Encompass Insurance (2022): A provider of specialty auto and homeowner's insurance, strengthening Allstate's offerings in niche markets.
- Willow Group (2020): A leading digital marketing agency, enhancing Allstate's digital marketing capabilities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI Rating: 7.5/10
Justification:
Allstate possesses a strong financial foundation, a diversified business model, and a well-recognized brand. However, the company faces challenges from intense competition and evolving technology. The company's focus on innovation and strategic acquisitions positions it well for future growth.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview draws on information from Allstate's annual reports, investor presentations, news articles, and industry reports. While the information is believed to be accurate, it is not guaranteed. This overview should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer: This analysis was made before November 2023. As of October 26, 2023, I no longer have access to real-time information and updates. Please refer to official sources for the most current information about The Allstate Corporation.
About The Allstate Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Northbrook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-06-02 | Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Mr. Thomas Joseph Wilson II | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty | Full time employees 53000 | Website https://www.allstate.com |
Full time employees 53000 | Website https://www.allstate.com |
The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. It operates in five segments: Allstate Protection; Protection Services; Allstate Health and Benefits; Run-off Property-Liability; and Corporate and Other segments. The Allstate Protection segment offers private passenger auto and homeowners insurance; other personal lines products; and commercial lines products through agents, contact centers, and online. The Protection Services segment provides consumer product protection; protection and insurance products, including vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection, road hazard tire and wheel, and paintless dent repair protection; and roadside assistance, device and mobile data collection services, and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information, as well as identity theft protection and remediation services. This segment also offers its products under various brands, including Allstate Protection Plans, Allstate Dealer Services, Allstate Roadside, Arity, Avail, and Allstate Identity Protection. The Allstate Health and Benefits segment provides life, accident, critical illness, short-term disability, and other health insurance products; stop-loss and fully insured group health products to employers; and short-term medical and medicare supplement insurance to individuals. The Run-off Property-Liability segment offers property and casualty insurance coverage that primarily relates to policies written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. The Corporate and Other segment provides debt services, as well as non-insurance operations. It sells its products through agents, independent agents, call and contact centers, retailers, direct to consumer, wholesale partners, and affinity groups, as well as through online and mobile applications. The Allstate Corporation was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
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