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ALK logo ALK
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ALK logo

Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$49.04
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: ALK (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 23.08%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.02B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 15.92
1Y Target Price 85.16
Price to earnings Ratio 15.92
1Y Target Price 85.16
Volume (30-day avg) 3902253
Beta 1.5
52 Weeks Range 32.62 - 78.08
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 32.62 - 78.08
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.08

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 3.37%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4.53%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.23%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.31%

Valuation

Trailing PE 15.92
Forward PE 8.3
Enterprise Value 9953753088
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.53
Enterprise Value 9953753088
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.53
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.86
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.95
Shares Outstanding 122752000
Shares Floating 122475085
Shares Outstanding 122752000
Shares Floating 122475085
Percent Insiders 0.56
Percent Institutions 92.13

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.6
Target Price 81.57
Buy 4
Strong Buy 10
Buy 4
Strong Buy 10
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Alaska Air Group Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Alaska Air Group was founded in 1932 as McGee Airways, offering flights between Anchorage and Bristol Bay. It evolved through mergers and acquisitions, eventually becoming Alaska Airlines and forming Alaska Air Group in 1985. The acquisition of Virgin America in 2016 expanded its footprint.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Mainline: Passenger air transportation throughout North America, primarily focused on the U.S. West Coast, Alaska, and Hawaii. Also, includes cargo and mail services.
  • Regional: Passenger air transportation services in smaller communities through Horizon Air and third-party regional carriers operating under capacity purchase agreements.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team is headed by the CEO, Ben Minicucci. The organizational structure includes departments for operations, finance, marketing, and human resources, overseen by the Board of Directors.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Cargo Services: Air cargo and mail transportation. Competitors include FedEx, UPS, and other passenger airlines with cargo divisions. Generates revenue through shipping fees and contracts with postal services.
  • Passenger Air Travel: Scheduled passenger air transportation services across the U.S. West Coast, Alaska, and Hawaii. Competitors include Delta, United, and Southwest. Market share data varies depending on region and route. Alaska Airlines' market share in Seattle is significantly higher than other markets. Can generate revenue through flight sales, ancillary services (baggage, seat selection), and partnerships.
  • Mileage Plan: A loyalty program offering frequent flyer miles for travel and other purchases. Competitors are loyalty programs from other airlines. Provides a source of revenue from partner redemptions and can influence customer loyalty and repeat business.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The airline industry is highly competitive, cyclical, and subject to external factors like fuel prices, economic conditions, and geopolitical events. Consolidation has led to fewer major players.

Positioning

Alaska Air Group focuses on West Coast routes, a premium customer experience, and strong brand loyalty, providing a competitive advantage in specific geographic areas.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global airline market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Alaska Air is positioned to capture a portion of the North American market, estimated at approximately $250 billion. Alaska Air's focus on the West Coast offers unique opportunities for growth and market share.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand reputation in the Pacific Northwest
  • Focus on customer service
  • Efficient operations
  • Strong route network on the West Coast

Weaknesses

  • Geographic concentration
  • Vulnerability to fuel price fluctuations
  • Labor relations challenges
  • Smaller scale compared to major competitors

Opportunities

  • Expansion of route network
  • Strategic partnerships
  • Increased demand for air travel
  • Enhanced ancillary revenue streams

Threats

  • Intense competition
  • Economic downturns
  • Terrorist activity or geopolitical instability
  • Regulatory changes and environmental concerns

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DAL
  • UAL
  • LUV

Competitive Landscape

Alaska Air competes on customer service, regional dominance, and route network. However, larger airlines have a competitive advantage due to their scale, which results in greater frequency of flights and larger global route networks.

Major Acquisitions

Virgin America

  • Year: 2016
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2600
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Alaska Air's presence on the West Coast and added new routes. The acquisition aimed to combine Alaska's operational strength with Virgin America's brand appeal.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical Growth data unavailable at this time.

Future Projections: Future Projections data unavailable at this time.

Recent Initiatives: Recent Initiatives data unavailable at this time.

Summary

Alaska Air Group has a solid reputation on the West Coast, focusing on customer service. While it faces strong competition from larger airlines and is vulnerable to fuel prices, its regional strength and opportunities for expansion provide growth potential. It should capitalize on partnerships and cost management to remain competitive. Careful navigation of labor relations and economic uncertainties will be crucial.

Similar Companies

DALratingrating

Delta Air Lines Inc

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HAratingrating

Hawaiian Holdings Inc

$18
Small-Cap Stock
1.98%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 19 days

HAratingrating

Hawaiian Holdings Inc

$18
Small-Cap Stock
BUY since 19 days
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Consider higher Upturn Star rating

LUVratingrating

Southwest Airlines Company

$33.93
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Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 6 days

LUVratingrating

Southwest Airlines Company

$33.93
Large-Cap Stock
BUY since 6 days
-0.64%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating

UALratingrating

United Airlines Holdings Inc

$68.2
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0%
PASS

UALratingrating

United Airlines Holdings Inc

$68.2
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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates
  • Press Releases

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share and financial data are estimates and may vary.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alaska Air Group Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Seattle, WA, United States
IPO Launch date 2001-01-02
President, CEO & Director Mr. Benito Minicucci
Sector Industrials
Industry Airlines
Full time employees 30207
Full time employees 30207

Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo in the United States, and in parts of Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Belize, Guatemala, and the Bahamas; and for passengers across a shorter distance network within the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.

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