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Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: ALK (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 23.08% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.92 | 1Y Target Price 85.16 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.92 | 1Y Target Price 85.16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3902253 | Beta 1.5 | 52 Weeks Range 32.62 - 78.08 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 32.62 - 78.08 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.08 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.37% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.23% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.92 | Forward PE 8.3 | Enterprise Value 9953753088 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.53 |
Enterprise Value 9953753088 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.53 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.86 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.95 | Shares Outstanding 122752000 | Shares Floating 122475085 |
Shares Outstanding 122752000 | Shares Floating 122475085 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.56 | Percent Institutions 92.13 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.6 | Target Price 81.57 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 10 |
Buy 4 | Strong Buy 10 | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alaska Air Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Alaska Air Group was founded in 1932 as McGee Airways, offering flights between Anchorage and Bristol Bay. It evolved through mergers and acquisitions, eventually becoming Alaska Airlines and forming Alaska Air Group in 1985. The acquisition of Virgin America in 2016 expanded its footprint.
Core Business Areas
- Mainline: Passenger air transportation throughout North America, primarily focused on the U.S. West Coast, Alaska, and Hawaii. Also, includes cargo and mail services.
- Regional: Passenger air transportation services in smaller communities through Horizon Air and third-party regional carriers operating under capacity purchase agreements.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team is headed by the CEO, Ben Minicucci. The organizational structure includes departments for operations, finance, marketing, and human resources, overseen by the Board of Directors.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Cargo Services: Air cargo and mail transportation. Competitors include FedEx, UPS, and other passenger airlines with cargo divisions. Generates revenue through shipping fees and contracts with postal services.
- Passenger Air Travel: Scheduled passenger air transportation services across the U.S. West Coast, Alaska, and Hawaii. Competitors include Delta, United, and Southwest. Market share data varies depending on region and route. Alaska Airlines' market share in Seattle is significantly higher than other markets. Can generate revenue through flight sales, ancillary services (baggage, seat selection), and partnerships.
- Mileage Plan: A loyalty program offering frequent flyer miles for travel and other purchases. Competitors are loyalty programs from other airlines. Provides a source of revenue from partner redemptions and can influence customer loyalty and repeat business.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly competitive, cyclical, and subject to external factors like fuel prices, economic conditions, and geopolitical events. Consolidation has led to fewer major players.
Positioning
Alaska Air Group focuses on West Coast routes, a premium customer experience, and strong brand loyalty, providing a competitive advantage in specific geographic areas.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global airline market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Alaska Air is positioned to capture a portion of the North American market, estimated at approximately $250 billion. Alaska Air's focus on the West Coast offers unique opportunities for growth and market share.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation in the Pacific Northwest
- Focus on customer service
- Efficient operations
- Strong route network on the West Coast
Weaknesses
- Geographic concentration
- Vulnerability to fuel price fluctuations
- Labor relations challenges
- Smaller scale compared to major competitors
Opportunities
- Expansion of route network
- Strategic partnerships
- Increased demand for air travel
- Enhanced ancillary revenue streams
Threats
- Intense competition
- Economic downturns
- Terrorist activity or geopolitical instability
- Regulatory changes and environmental concerns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DAL
- UAL
- LUV
Competitive Landscape
Alaska Air competes on customer service, regional dominance, and route network. However, larger airlines have a competitive advantage due to their scale, which results in greater frequency of flights and larger global route networks.
Major Acquisitions
Virgin America
- Year: 2016
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2600
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Alaska Air's presence on the West Coast and added new routes. The acquisition aimed to combine Alaska's operational strength with Virgin America's brand appeal.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical Growth data unavailable at this time.
Future Projections: Future Projections data unavailable at this time.
Recent Initiatives: Recent Initiatives data unavailable at this time.
Summary
Alaska Air Group has a solid reputation on the West Coast, focusing on customer service. While it faces strong competition from larger airlines and is vulnerable to fuel prices, its regional strength and opportunities for expansion provide growth potential. It should capitalize on partnerships and cost management to remain competitive. Careful navigation of labor relations and economic uncertainties will be crucial.
Similar Companies

DAL

Delta Air Lines Inc



DAL

Delta Air Lines Inc

HA

Hawaiian Holdings Inc



HA

Hawaiian Holdings Inc

LUV

Southwest Airlines Company



LUV

Southwest Airlines Company

UAL

United Airlines Holdings Inc



UAL

United Airlines Holdings Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Press Releases
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share and financial data are estimates and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alaska Air Group Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Seattle, WA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2001-01-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Benito Minicucci | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 30207 | Website https://www.alaskaair.com |
Full time employees 30207 | Website https://www.alaskaair.com |
Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo in the United States, and in parts of Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Belize, Guatemala, and the Bahamas; and for passengers across a shorter distance network within the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
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