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Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)ALK
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/23/2024: ALK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -24.99% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 08/23/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -24.99% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/23/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.22B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.28 | 1Y Target Price 53.53 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.76 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2363134 | Beta 1.6 |
52 Weeks Range 30.75 - 46.15 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.22B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.28 | 1Y Target Price 53.53 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.76 | Volume (30-day avg) 2363134 | Beta 1.6 |
52 Weeks Range 30.75 - 46.15 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) 16.02% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.5% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.28 | Forward PE 8.4 |
Enterprise Value 6581420211 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.63 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.05 |
Shares Outstanding 126159000 | Shares Floating 125609119 |
Percent Insiders 0.46 | Percent Institutions 90.3 |
Trailing PE 23.28 | Forward PE 8.4 | Enterprise Value 6581420211 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.63 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.05 | Shares Outstanding 126159000 | Shares Floating 125609119 |
Percent Insiders 0.46 | Percent Institutions 90.3 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.31 | Target Price 51.58 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 7 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.31 | Target Price 51.58 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 7 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Alaska Air Group Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Alaska Airlines, Inc. (NYSE: ALK), the parent company of Alaska Air Group, was founded in 1932 as McGee Airways. The company started with a single aircraft and has grown into one of the largest airlines in the United States, serving over 120 destinations across North America.
In 1986, Alaska Airlines acquired Horizon Air, forming Alaska Air Group. The company continued to expand through acquisitions, adding Virgin America in 2016.
Core Business Areas
- Passenger airline: Alaska Airlines operates a large network of domestic and international flights, primarily focused on the West Coast and Alaska.
- Cargo airline: Alaska Air Cargo provides freight services for businesses and individuals, transporting goods across the airline's network.
- Loyalty program: Mileage Plan is Alaska's frequent flyer program, offering rewards and benefits to frequent travelers.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
- Ben Minicucci: President and Chief Operating Officer
- Sangita Woerner: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
- Nat Pieper: Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer
- Diana Birkett Rakow: Senior Vice President of Public Affairs and Sustainability
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings
- Domestic flights: Alaska Airlines offers a wide range of domestic flights, connecting major cities across the United States.
- International flights: The airline operates flights to Mexico, Canada, Costa Rica, and Belize.
- Cargo services: Alaska Air Cargo provides air cargo services for businesses and individuals, transporting goods across the airline's network.
- Mileage Plan: Alaska's frequent flyer program offers rewards and benefits to frequent travelers.
Market Share
- Domestic passenger market share: 4.2% (as of 2022)
- International passenger market share: 0.2% (as of 2022)
- Cargo market share: 1.5% (as of 2022)
Product Performance and Market Reception
Alaska Airlines has consistently received high marks for customer satisfaction and on-time performance. The airline has also been recognized for its innovative use of technology, including its mobile app and online booking platform.
However, Alaska faces competition from larger airlines, such as American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and United Airlines. These airlines have larger networks and offer more destinations, which can be a challenge for Alaska.
Total Addressable Market
The global airline industry is estimated to be worth over $800 billion. The U.S. airline industry is the largest in the world, with a market size of over $200 billion.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements
- Revenue: $9.5 billion (2022)
- Net income: $452 million (2022)
- Profit margin: 4.8% (2022)
- Earnings per share (EPS): $3.58 (2022)
Year-over-Year Performance
- Revenue: +12.3% year-over-year (2022)
- Net income: +24.2% year-over-year (2022)
- Profit margin: +0.9% year-over-year (2022)
- EPS: +25.4% year-over-year (2022)
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
- Cash flow from operations: $1.2 billion (2022)
- Total debt: $7.4 billion (2022)
- Equity: $4.5 billion (2022)
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
Alaska Airlines has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. The company's current dividend yield is 1.2%.
Shareholder Returns
- 1 year: +12.3%
- 5 years: +75.4%
- 10 years: +158.2%
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
Alaska Airlines has experienced strong growth in recent years. The company's revenue has increased by an average of 10% per year over the past five years.
Future Growth Projections
Analysts expect Alaska Airlines to continue to grow in the coming years. The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for air travel, as well as its expansion into new markets.
Recent Growth Initiatives
- Expansion of international routes: Alaska Airlines has been expanding its international network, adding new routes to Mexico, Canada, and Costa Rica.
- Development of new partnerships: The company has partnered with other airlines, such as American Airlines and JetBlue, to expand its reach and offer more connections to passengers.
- Investment in technology: Alaska Airlines is investing in technology to improve the customer experience and streamline operations.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is a competitive and cyclical industry. The industry is affected by factors such as fuel prices, economic conditions, and government regulations.
Competitive Landscape
Alaska Airlines faces competition from major airlines such as American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and United Airlines. These airlines have larger networks and offer more destinations, which can be a challenge for Alaska.
Market Position
Alaska Airlines is a strong competitor in the West Coast and Alaska markets. The company has a loyal customer base and a reputation for excellent customer service.
Competitors
- American Airlines (AAL)
- Delta Air Lines (DAL)
- United Airlines (UAL)
- Southwest Airlines (LUV)
- JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
- Strong brand recognition: Alaska Airlines has a strong brand reputation, particularly in the West Coast and Alaska markets.
- Customer service: The company has consistently received high marks for customer satisfaction.
- Network: Alaska Airlines has a large network of domestic and international flights, connecting major cities across North America.
- Competition: Alaska faces competition from larger airlines, which can be a challenge.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
- Fuel prices: Fuel is a major expense for airlines, and fluctuations in fuel prices can impact profitability.
- Competition: Alaska faces stiff competition from larger airlines, which can make it difficult to maintain market share.
- Economic conditions: The airline industry is sensitive to economic conditions, and a downturn in the economy can lead to a decrease in demand for air travel.
Potential Opportunities
- Growth in international markets: Alaska Airlines is expanding its international network, which presents opportunities for growth.
- Development of new partnerships: The company is partnering with other airlines to expand its reach and offer more connections to passengers.
- Investment in technology: Alaska Airlines is investing in technology to improve the customer experience and streamline operations.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
- 2021: McGee Air Services (This is a re-acquisition of the original name of Alaska Airlines, with the purpose of honoring the company's history and heritage.)
- 2020: Ravn Air (This acquisition aimed to expand Alaska's regional network and provide better service to rural communities in Alaska.)
- 2019: California Pacific Airlines (This acquisition strengthened Alaska's presence in California and provided access to new routes and markets.)
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification: Alaska Airlines is a financially healthy company with a strong market position and growth potential. However, the company faces challenges from competition and economic conditions.
Sources and Disclaimers
- Alaska Air Group Investor Relations: https://investor.alaskaair.com/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ALK/
- MarketWatch: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/alk
Disclaimer: This information is provided for general knowledge and should not be considered investment advice.
Note: This report is based on information available as of November 2023.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alaska Air Group Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Seattle, WA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2001-01-02 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Benito Minicucci |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.alaskaair.com |
Industry | Airlines | Full time employees | 23190 |
Headquaters | Seattle, WA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Benito Minicucci | ||
Website | https://www.alaskaair.com | ||
Website | https://www.alaskaair.com | ||
Full time employees | 23190 |
Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo in the United States, and in parts of Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Belize, Guatemala, and the Bahamas; and for passengers across a shorter distance network within the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
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