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Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$75.36
Delayed price
Today's Top PicksToday’s top pick
Profit since last BUY89.35%
upturn advisory
Strong Buy
BUY since 112 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: ALK (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 112 days. Profits (89.35%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 42.04%
Avg. Invested days 46
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.28B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.47
1Y Target Price 87.36
Price to earnings Ratio 24.47
1Y Target Price 87.36
Volume (30-day avg) 2800737
Beta 1.55
52 Weeks Range 32.62 - 78.08
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 32.62 - 78.08
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.08

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-01-23
When Before Market
Estimate 0.61
Actual 0.97

Profitability

Profit Margin 3.37%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4.53%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.23%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.31%

Valuation

Trailing PE 24.47
Forward PE 12.03
Enterprise Value 13345787668
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value 13345787668
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.14
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.51
Shares Outstanding 123078000
Shares Floating 122503393
Shares Outstanding 123078000
Shares Floating 122503393
Percent Insiders 0.76
Percent Institutions 91.92

AI Summary

Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

  • Founded in 1932 as McGee Airways, it has grown into a major airline serving over 100 destinations across the United States, Mexico, Canada, and Costa Rica.
  • In 1944, it was renamed Alaska Airlines, and in 1986, it became Alaska Air Group, Inc.
  • The company acquired Horizon Air in 1986 and Virgin America in 2016, expanding its reach and market share.

Core Business Areas:

  • Passenger airline operations: Alaska Airlines, Horizon Air, and Virgin America.
  • Cargo services: Alaska Air Cargo.
  • Loyalty program: Mileage Plan.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Ben Minicucci
  • President: Nat Pieper
  • Chief Financial Officer: Shane Tackett
  • Board of Directors: 11 members with diverse experience in aviation, finance, and law.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Passenger flights to various destinations across North America.
  • Cargo services for businesses and individuals.
  • Mileage Plan rewards program.

Market Share:

  • 4th largest airline in the US by passenger traffic (as of 2022).
  • Significant market share in the Pacific Northwest and Alaska.
  • Strong presence in leisure and business travel markets.

Product Performance and Market Reception:

  • Alaska Airlines consistently receives high customer satisfaction ratings.
  • Virgin America is known for its innovative and tech-forward approach.
  • Mileage Plan is a popular loyalty program with over 20 million members.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The global airline industry is estimated to be worth over $800 billion.
  • The US airline market is valued at over $200 billion.
  • Alaska Air Group operates in a large and growing market.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: $9.8 billion (2022)
  • Net Income: $705 million (2022)
  • Profit Margin: 7.2% (2022)
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): $5.42 (2022)

Year-over-Year Performance:

  • Revenue and net income have increased significantly in recent years.
  • Profit margins have remained stable.
  • EPS has grown steadily.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow generation.
  • Healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • Alaska Air Group has a history of paying dividends since 2013.
  • Recent dividend yield: 0.9%
  • Payout ratio: 18%

Shareholder Returns:

  • Total shareholder return over the past 5 years: 100%
  • Outperformed the S&P 500 index over the same period.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • Revenue and passenger traffic have grown steadily over the past decade.
  • Acquisitions of Horizon Air and Virgin America contributed to growth.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Industry analysts expect continued growth in the airline industry.
  • Alaska Air Group is well-positioned to benefit from this growth, given its strong network, brand recognition, and customer loyalty.
  • Recent product launches and strategic initiatives, such as expanding cargo services and enhancing the Mileage Plan program, are expected to drive future growth.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

  • Increased demand for air travel, particularly leisure travel.
  • Growing focus on sustainability and environmental responsibility.
  • Technological advancements in aircraft and airport operations.

Company Positioning:

  • Alaska Air Group is well-positioned within the industry, with a strong network, loyal customer base, and focus on innovation.
  • The company is adapting to market changes by investing in new technology and expanding its cargo operations.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • American Airlines (AAL)
  • Delta Air Lines (DAL)
  • United Airlines (UAL)
  • Southwest Airlines (LUV)
  • JetBlue Airways (JBLU)

Market Share Percentages:

  • Alaska Air Group: 4%
  • American Airlines: 19%
  • Delta Air Lines: 18%
  • United Airlines: 16%
  • Southwest Airlines: 15%
  • JetBlue Airways: 6%

Competitive Advantages:

  • Strong brand recognition in the Pacific Northwest and Alaska.
  • Extensive network of destinations, particularly in leisure markets.
  • Award-winning customer service.
  • Loyal customer base.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Smaller network compared to major airlines.
  • Higher operating costs in some markets.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Competition from larger airlines.
  • Rising fuel costs.
  • Labor shortages.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expansion into new markets.
  • Development of new products and services.
  • Strategic partnerships.

About Alaska Air Group Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Seattle, WA, United States
IPO Launch date 2001-01-02
President, CEO & Director Mr. Benito Minicucci
Sector Industrials
Industry Airlines
Full time employees 30207
Full time employees 30207

Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo in the United States, and in parts of Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Belize, Guatemala, and the Bahamas; and for passengers across a shorter distance network within the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.

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