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Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: ALK (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 87 days. Profits (69.45%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 27.11% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.66B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.13 | 1Y Target Price 81.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.13 | 1Y Target Price 81.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3079465 | Beta 1.59 | 52 Weeks Range 32.62 - 69.10 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 32.62 - 69.10 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.45 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.99% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.38% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.86% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.51% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.13 | Forward PE 10.74 | Enterprise Value 12075004836 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 |
Enterprise Value 12075004836 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.93 | Shares Outstanding 126945000 | Shares Floating 126387272 |
Shares Outstanding 126945000 | Shares Floating 126387272 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.41 | Percent Institutions 88.32 |
AI Summary
Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 1932 as McGee Airways, renamed Alaska Airlines in 1944.
- Merged with Horizon Air in 2011 to form Alaska Air Group.
- Acquired Virgin America in 2016, significantly expanding its network and brand.
Core Business Areas:
- Passenger airline operations: Alaska Airlines, Horizon Air, and regional partners.
- Cargo transportation: Alaska Air Cargo.
- Loyalty program: Mileage Plan.
- Vacations packages: Alaska Vacations.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Ben Minicucci (since 2021)
- President: Nat Pieper (since 2021)
- Board of Directors: 11 members, led by Chairman Bradley Tilden.
- Corporate Structure: Holding company with three subsidiaries: Alaska Airlines, Inc., Horizon Air Industries, Inc., and McGee Air Services, Inc.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Domestic and international passenger flights: Extensive network covering major cities in the US, Canada, Mexico, and Costa Rica.
- Cargo transportation: Offers domestic and international cargo services.
- Mileage Plan: A popular loyalty program with over 20 million members.
Market Share:
- US domestic market share: 4.6% (as of 2023)
- Strong presence in the West Coast market: 12% market share (as of 2023)
- Significant cargo operations: 5th largest cargo airline in North America (as of 2023)
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Alaska Airlines consistently receives high customer satisfaction ratings for its service and amenities.
- Virgin America integration has strengthened its brand image and customer base.
- Faces competition from major airlines and low-cost carriers.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global air travel market: Expected to reach $917.8 billion by 2027.
- US domestic air travel market: Expected to reach $252.1 billion by 2027.
- Cargo transportation market: Expected to reach $194.4 billion by 2027.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $9.3 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $652 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 7% (2022)
- EPS: $4.54 (2022)
Year-over-Year Performance:
- Revenue increased by 90% compared to 2021.
- Net income increased by 146% compared to 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Strong cash flow generation in 2022.
- Healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Current dividend yield: 1.4%
- Payout ratio: 20%
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return (1 year): 25%
- Total shareholder return (5 years): 120%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Strong revenue and earnings growth in recent years.
- Network expansion through acquisitions and organic growth.
Future Growth Projections:
- Continued growth in passenger and cargo demand.
- Focus on operational efficiency and cost optimization.
- Expansion of loyalty program and vacation packages.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Recovery from pandemic-related travel restrictions.
- Increasing demand for sustainable aviation practices.
- Technological advancements in aircraft and passenger experience.
Company Positioning:
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Extensive network and competitive fares.
- Focus on innovation and customer experience.
Competitors:
- Major airlines: American Airlines (AAL), Delta Air Lines (DAL), United Airlines (UAL), Southwest Airlines (LUV)
- Low-cost carriers: Spirit Airlines (SAVE), JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong presence in the West Coast market.
- Award-winning customer service.
- Focus on environmental sustainability.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Smaller scale compared to major airlines.
- Limited international network compared to global carriers.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition from major airlines and low-cost carriers.
- Rising fuel costs and economic uncertainty.
- Labor shortages and increasing labor costs.
Opportunities:
- Growth in domestic and international travel demand.
- Expansion into new markets and partnerships.
- Continued focus on innovation and customer experience.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- None
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance and growth prospects.
- Competitive market position and brand recognition.
- Focus on operational efficiency and customer experience.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Data sources: Alaska Air Group Inc. annual reports, investor relations website, financial news websites.
- This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Seattle, WA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2001-01-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Benito Minicucci | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 23784 | Website https://www.alaskaair.com |
Full time employees 23784 | Website https://www.alaskaair.com |
Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo in the United States, and in parts of Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Belize, Guatemala, and the Bahamas; and for passengers across a shorter distance network within the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
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