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Aldeyra The (ALDX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/12/2024: ALDX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -25.5% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/12/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -25.5% | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/12/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 283.16M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.75 |
Volume (30-day avg) 517475 | Beta 1.43 |
52 Weeks Range 2.71 - 6.55 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 283.16M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.75 | Volume (30-day avg) 517475 | Beta 1.43 |
52 Weeks Range 2.71 - 6.55 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -23.45% | Return on Equity (TTM) -43.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 186027571 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.5 |
Shares Outstanding 59549600 | Shares Floating 43259805 |
Percent Insiders 2.44 | Percent Institutions 62.19 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 186027571 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.5 | Shares Outstanding 59549600 | Shares Floating 43259805 |
Percent Insiders 2.44 | Percent Institutions 62.19 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.75 | Target Price 11.67 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.75 | Target Price 11.67 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Aldeyra Therapeutics (Nasdaq: ALDX): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: Aldeyra Therapeutics was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Massachusetts, USA. The company focuses on developing novel treatments for ophthalmic and rheumatologic diseases by targeting aldose reductase and other enzyme pathways. Their approach aims to modulate inflammatory and fibrotic processes responsible for various pathologies.
Core business areas: Aldeyra's core business areas can be summarized as follows:
- Ophthalmology: Developing innovative treatments for dry eye disease, allergic conjunctivitis, and other ocular inflammatory conditions.
- Rheumatology: Focusing on therapies for rheumatoid arthritis, osteoarthritis, and other inflammatory disorders.
Leadership team and corporate structure: Aldeyra is led by a team of experienced professionals with extensive expertise in the pharmaceutical industry. The current leadership includes:
- CEO & CFO: Todd Brady
- CMO: John D. Sheppard
- SVP & General Counsel: John H. Butler
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings:
- Reproxalap: A first-in-class aldose reductase inhibitor indicated for the treatment of dry eye disease.
- Rdex-006: An intranasal formulation of reproxalap also targeted for dry eye disease.
- Rdex-007: A topical ophthalmic formulation of reproxalap for inflammatory conditions like blepharitis.
- **NS3: A drug candidate currently in Phase 1 clinical trials for osteoarthritis treatment.
- Other research programs: Aldeyra has several additional programs focusing on pain management and chronic itch.
Market share: Aldeyra's products are relatively new, and market share data is still emerging. However, Reproxalap holds the potential to capture a significant share of the dry eye disease market, currently estimated at around $3.87 billion globally.
Performance & competitor comparison: Reproxalap's clinical trials have demonstrated promising efficacy and safety results. Compared to competitors like Xiidra, Aldeyra's offering seems to offer a potential long-term dry eye solution with its non-immunosuppressive mechanism of action.
Total Addressable Market:
Aldeyra operates in a vast addressable market.
- Dry eye disease: Global market of $3.87 billion with high growth potential.
- Rheumatoid arthritis: Estimated global market of $27.4 billion by 2029.
- Osteoarthritis: Targeting a $16.2 billion market by 2022.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements analysis: Aldeyra is currently pre-revenue, focusing on research and development. As of their last reported quarter (3Q2023), the company incurred a net loss of $17.3 million with $37.3 million in cash burn. However, with promising clinical data and active partnerships, their financial trajectory can show dramatic progress in the coming years.
Financial metrics:
- Revenue: Currently $0, with expected product launch by 2024.
- Net income: (-) $17.3 million in the most recent quarter.
- Earnings per share (EPS): not currently meaningful as pre-revenue.
- Recent performance: Revenue increased for the past two consecutive quarters, however they remain pre-revenue.
- Cash flow statements and balance sheet health: Aldeyra has raised $323.4 million via public equity offerings during the third quarter of 2023. However, their cash and investments as of September 30, 2023, have totaled $47.4 million, leaving them in need of financing to support continued clinical trials and commercialization.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: Currently, Aldeyra does not pay dividends as a pre-revenue company.
Shareholder returns: Considering its developmental stage, year-over-year return analysis on Aldeyra's stock shows substantial volatility but positive overall growth (785%). Long-term investors in ALDX have enjoyed remarkable returns.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical growth: While currently pre-revenue, Aldeyra's focus on groundbreaking treatments holds significant promise for future development.
- Future projections: Analysts estimate a revenue potential of over $440 million by 2029 for its leading candidate alone (Reproxalap).
- Recent product launches and strategic initiatives: Partnerships like the licensing deal with Pfizer and an anticipated collaboration with Otsuka Pharmaceuticals for an oral dry eye treatment further fuel potential future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry overview: The ophthalmic and rheumatologic drug markets are vast and continue to evolve with significant demand for novel and effective treatment options. Aldeyra's positioning: Aldeyra's innovative research targeting unmet medical needs positions the company strategically with the potential to disrupt existing treatment paradigms. They demonstrate adaptability, evident in their diversified pipeline focusing on different delivery modes and therapeutic areas.
Competition:
Key competitors:
- Eye care/Dry eye - Bausch + Lomb (NYSE: BHC), Santen (TYO: 4537), Shire (owned by Takeda: OTC: TKPWY).
- Rheumatology - AbbVie (NYSE: ABBV), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Roche (SWX: ROG).
Market share comparison: Reproxalap captures substantial pre-commercialized attention due to its potential long-term efficacy and safety data compared to available products.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Aldeyra The
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Lexington, MA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-05-02 | CEO, President & Director | Dr. Todd C. Brady M.D., Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.aldeyra.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 9 |
Headquaters | Lexington, MA, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Dr. Todd C. Brady M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.aldeyra.com | ||
Website | https://www.aldeyra.com | ||
Full time employees | 9 |
Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops and commercializes medicines for immune-mediated diseases. Its lead product candidate is reproxalap, a reactive aldehyde species (RASP)modulator, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of dry eye diseases. The company also develops ADX-629, an orally administered RASP modulator for treatment of COVID-19, atopic asthma, psoriasis, and alcohol intoxication; and ADX-2191, a dihydrofolate reductase inhibitor for the treatment retinitis pigmentosa, as well as rare retinal diseases characterized by inflammation and vision loss. In addition, it develops ADX-246 in systemic immune-mediated disease; and ADX-248 in geographic atrophy. The company was formerly known as Aldexa Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. in March 2014. Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Lexington, Massachusetts.
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