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Air Lease Corporation (AL)AL
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: AL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -1.86% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -1.86% | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.37B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.99 | 1Y Target Price 56.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.82% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.36 |
Volume (30-day avg) 663385 | Beta 1.6 |
52 Weeks Range 36.94 - 51.83 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.37B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.99 | 1Y Target Price 56.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.82% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.36 | Volume (30-day avg) 663385 | Beta 1.6 |
52 Weeks Range 36.94 - 51.83 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.79 | Actual 0.82 |
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.79 | Actual 0.82 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.58% | Operating Margin (TTM) 50.38% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.81% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.32% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.99 | Forward PE 6.94 |
Enterprise Value 25072891115 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.96 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.16 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.65 |
Shares Outstanding 111377000 | Shares Floating 103694107 |
Percent Insiders 6.51 | Percent Institutions 99 |
Trailing PE 10.99 | Forward PE 6.94 | Enterprise Value 25072891115 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.96 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.16 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.65 | Shares Outstanding 111377000 | Shares Floating 103694107 |
Percent Insiders 6.51 | Percent Institutions 99 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 53.17 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 53.17 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Air Lease Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Air Lease Corporation (ALC) is a leading aircraft leasing company founded in 2010 by Steven Udvar-Házy, a pioneer in the aircraft leasing industry. ALC has grown rapidly through acquisitions and new aircraft orders, becoming a major player in the global commercial aviation market.
Core Business Areas
- Aircraft leasing: ALC leases new and used commercial aircraft to airlines worldwide.
- Aircraft trading and remarketing: ALC buys and sells used aircraft to airlines and investors.
- Engine leasing: ALC leases aircraft engines to airlines.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure
ALC has a strong and experienced leadership team, led by CEO Steven Udvar-Házy. The company has a decentralized corporate structure with regional offices around the world.
Top Products and Market Share
Products and Offerings
ALC's main products are leases for new and used commercial aircraft, including narrowbody, widebody, and regional jets. They also offer engine leases and aircraft trading services.
Market Share
ALC is one of the largest aircraft leasing companies globally, with a market share of approximately 13.5% based on fleet size as of Q2 2023. Their top competitors include AerCap Holdings, GE Capital Aviation Services, and SMBC Aviation Capital.
Product Performance and Market Reception
ALC has a strong track record of delivering aircraft on time and within budget. Their customers praise their customer service and the quality of their aircraft.
Total Addressable Market
The global market for aircraft leasing is estimated to be around $250 billion. This market is expected to continue to grow in the coming years as airlines look to outsource more of their aircraft needs.
Financial Performance
Financial Statements Analysis
In the most recent quarter (Q2 2023), ALC reported revenue of $726 million, net income of $117 million, and EPS of $0.88. The company's profit margins have been improving over the past few years, and its financial position is strong.
Year-over-Year Comparison
ALC's revenue and earnings have grown significantly over the past year. This growth is due to the company's expanding fleet of aircraft and its focus on fuel-efficient aircraft.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
ALC has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet. The company has ample liquidity to cover its debt obligations and invest in new aircraft.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
ALC has been paying a dividend since 2014. The current annual dividend is $0.84 per share, with a dividend yield of 1.74%.
Shareholder Returns
ALC's total shareholder return (TSR) over the past year has been 23%, exceeding the S&P 500's return of 11%. The company has a history of delivering strong shareholder returns.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
ALC has experienced strong historical growth, with its fleet size growing from 32 aircraft in 2010 to over 420 aircraft in 2023.
Future Growth Projections
Analysts expect ALC to continue growing its business in the coming years. This growth will be driven by the expansion of the global airline industry and ALC's focus on fuel-efficient aircraft.
Recent Growth Initiatives
ALC has recently launched several initiatives to drive future growth, including expanding its network of offices, investing in new technology, and developing new partnerships.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The commercial aviation industry is experiencing a period of strong growth, driven by rising passenger demand and economic expansion.
ALC's Positioning within the Industry
ALC is a well-positioned company within the industry due to its strong brand reputation, large fleet of aircraft, and focus on fuel-efficient aircraft.
Adaptability to Market Changes
ALC has demonstrated its adaptability to market changes by focusing on new technologies such as fuel-efficient aircraft and developing new partnerships to expand its reach.
Competitors
Key Competitors
- AerCap Holdings (AER)
- GE Capital Aviation Services (GECAS)
- SMBC Aviation Capital (SMBC)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
ALC's competitive advantages include its extensive fleet size, strong brand reputation, and focus on customer service. However, the company faces competition from larger players such as AerCap Holdings and GECAS.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
- Supply chain disruptions: ALC is dependent on the timely delivery of aircraft from manufacturers, which could be disrupted by global supply chain issues.
- Competition: ALC faces competition from several large and well-established players in the aircraft leasing industry.
- Economic downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to reduced demand for air travel, impacting ALC's business.
Potential Opportunities
- Emerging markets: ALC has opportunities to expand its business in emerging markets, where air travel is growing rapidly.
- Technological innovations: ALC can capitalize on technological innovations in the aviation industry, such as the development of more fuel-efficient aircraft.
- Strategic partnerships: ALC can form strategic partnerships with airlines, manufacturers, and other industry players to expand its business and enhance its competitiveness.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)
2023
- ALC acquired 12 Boeing 787-10 aircraft from BOC Aviation for $3.3 billion in April 2023. This acquisition strengthens ALC's position in the long-haul aircraft segment.
- ALC acquired 15 Airbus A321neo aircraft from Aircastle for $1.7 billion in June 2023. This acquisition expands ALC's fleet of fuel-efficient narrowbody aircraft.
2022
- ALC acquired 20 Airbus A220 aircraft from Macquarie AirFinance for $1.6 billion in March 2022. This acquisition adds a new aircraft type to ALC's portfolio and expands its presence in the regional jet market.
2021
- ALC acquired 30 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft from SMBC Aviation Capital for $2.7 billion in December 2021. This acquisition provides ALC with a significant number of new-generation窄体飞机 .
- ALC acquired 25 Airbus A321neo aircraft from GECAS for $2.2 billion in December 2021. This acquisition further enhances ALC's position in the fuel-efficient narrowbody aircraft market.
These acquisitions demonstrate ALC's commitment to expanding its fleet and strengthening its market position.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8/10
ALC has a strong fundamental rating based on its financial health, market position, and future prospects. The company has a solid balance sheet, a growing fleet of aircraft, and a strong track record of profitability. Additionally, ALC is well-positioned to benefit from the long-term growth of the aviation industry.
Justification:
- Financial Strength: ALC has a strong financial position, with a healthy cash flow and a low level of debt.
- Market Position: ALC is a leading player in the aircraft leasing industry with a significant market share.
- Growth Prospects: ALC has strong growth prospects, driven by the expansion of the global airline industry and its focus on fuel-efficient aircraft.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Air Lease Corporation Investor Relations website: https://www.airleasecorp.com/investors/
- Morningstar: https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnas/alc
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/companies/ALC.N
Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
Air Lease Corporation is a strong company with a bright future. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the global airline industry, and its focus on fuel-efficient aircraft will help it to remain competitive in the years to come.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Air Lease Corporation
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Los Angeles, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2011-04-19 | CEO | - |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.airleasecorp.com |
Industry | Rental & Leasing Services | Full time employees | 163 |
Headquaters | Los Angeles, CA, United States | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://www.airleasecorp.com | ||
Website | https://www.airleasecorp.com | ||
Full time employees | 163 |
Air Lease Corporation, an aircraft leasing company, engages in the purchase and leasing of commercial jet aircraft to airlines worldwide. It sells aircraft from its fleet to third parties, including other leasing companies, financial services companies, airlines, and other investors. The company provides fleet management services to investors and owners of aircraft portfolios. As of December 31, 2023, it owned a fleet of 463 aircraft, including 345 narrowbody aircraft and 118 widebody aircraft. Air Lease Corporation was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
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