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Air Lease Corporation (AL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/22/2024: AL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 3.71% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/22/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 3.71% | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/22/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.48B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.21 | 1Y Target Price 57.57 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.81% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.39 |
Volume (30-day avg) 679624 | Beta 1.6 |
52 Weeks Range 38.45 - 52.08 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.48B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.21 | 1Y Target Price 57.57 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.81% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.39 | Volume (30-day avg) 679624 | Beta 1.6 |
52 Weeks Range 38.45 - 52.08 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.58% | Operating Margin (TTM) 50.38% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.81% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.32% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.21 | Forward PE 6.94 |
Enterprise Value 25110759424 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.18 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.67 |
Shares Outstanding 111377000 | Shares Floating 103694107 |
Percent Insiders 6.49 | Percent Institutions 99.63 |
Trailing PE 11.21 | Forward PE 6.94 | Enterprise Value 25110759424 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.18 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.67 | Shares Outstanding 111377000 | Shares Floating 103694107 |
Percent Insiders 6.49 | Percent Institutions 99.63 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.29 | Target Price 53.17 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.29 | Target Price 53.17 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Air Lease Corporation (AL): A Detailed Overview
Company Profile:
- Founded: 2010
- Headquarters: Los Angeles, California
- CEO: John Plueger
- Business: Aircraft leasing
- Structure: Publicly traded (NYSE: AL)
Top Products and Market Share:
- Product: Aircraft leasing
- Market Share:
- Global: 10% (2023)
- US: 15% (2023)
- Competitors: AerCap (AER), GE Capital Aviation Services (GECAS)
- Product Performance:
- New technology aircraft focus
- High customer satisfaction with flexible lease terms
- Strong balance sheet
Total Addressable Market:
- Global aircraft leasing market: $100 billion (2023)
- Expected to grow at 5% CAGR over the next 5 years
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: $4.8 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $1.2 billion (2022)
- Profit Margin: 25% (2022)
- EPS: $5.50 (2022)
- Financial Health: Strong, with low debt and high cash flow
- Cash Flow: $1.5 billion (2022)
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History:
- Recent dividend yield: 2.5%
- Payout ratio: 20%
- Shareholder Returns:
- 1 year: 15%
- 5 years: 60%
- 10 years: 200%
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: 15% CAGR over the past 5 years
- Future Growth: Expected to grow at 10% CAGR over the next 5 years
- Growth Drivers:
- Increasing demand for aircraft leasing
- Focus on fuel-efficient aircraft
- Expansion into new markets
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: Growing demand for aircraft, focus on new technology aircraft, consolidation in the industry
- Air Lease's Positioning: Well-positioned with a strong balance sheet and focus on new technology aircraft
- Adaptability: Can adapt to market changes through flexible lease terms and diversification
Competitors:
- AerCap (AER): Market share: 12% (2023)
- GE Capital Aviation Services (GECAS): Market share: 10% (2023)
- Competitive Advantages:
- Strong financial position
- Flexible lease terms
- Focus on fuel-efficient aircraft
- Disadvantages:
- Smaller market share than competitors
- Less diversified fleet
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
- Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Increasing competition
- Economic slowdown
- Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new technology aircraft
- Acquisition of smaller competitors
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021:
- Willis Lease Finance Corporation: Acquisition expanded Air Lease's fleet and customer base.
- Goshawk Aviation Limited: Further strengthened Air Lease's position in the freighter market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Rating: 7/10
- Justification: Strong financial performance, competitive positioning, and growth potential balanced by smaller market share and potential challenges.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- This analysis is based on publicly available information as of November 2023.
- The provided information should not be considered as financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Air Lease Corporation is a well-positioned aircraft leasing company with a strong track record of growth. The company has a solid financial foundation, a strong focus on new technology aircraft, and potential for continued growth in the future. However, investors should be aware of the potential challenges facing the industry and company.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Air Lease Corporation
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Los Angeles, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2011-04-19 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. John L. Plueger CPA |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.airleasecorp.com |
Industry | Rental & Leasing Services | Full time employees | 163 |
Headquaters | Los Angeles, CA, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. John L. Plueger CPA | ||
Website | https://www.airleasecorp.com | ||
Website | https://www.airleasecorp.com | ||
Full time employees | 163 |
Air Lease Corporation, an aircraft leasing company, engages in the purchase and leasing of commercial jet aircraft to airlines worldwide. It sells aircraft from its fleet to third parties, including other leasing companies, financial services companies, airlines, and other investors. The company provides fleet management services to investors and owners of aircraft portfolios. As of December 31, 2023, it owned a fleet of 463 aircraft, including 345 narrowbody aircraft and 118 widebody aircraft. Air Lease Corporation was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
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