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Akebia Ther (AKBA)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: AKBA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -57.22% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 498.95M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.38 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.38 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4923167 | Beta 0.94 | 52 Weeks Range 0.80 - 2.89 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.80 - 2.89 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.33 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-12 | When Before Market | Estimate -0.075 | Actual -0.1 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -43.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) -21.72% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) -553.45% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 494721318 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.11 |
Enterprise Value 494721318 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.11 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 63.95 | Shares Outstanding 261231008 | Shares Floating 230485918 |
Shares Outstanding 261231008 | Shares Floating 230485918 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.21 | Percent Institutions 27.33 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 5.5 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Akebia Ther

Company Overview
History and Background
Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 2007. It focuses on developing and commercializing novel therapeutics for patients with kidney disease. Their lead product candidate is vadadustat, an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor (HIF-PHI) that stimulates the production of red blood cells.
Core Business Areas
- Pharmaceutical Development: Focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of therapies for kidney disease and related conditions.
- Commercialization: Manages the marketing and sales of approved products, including potential partnerships for distribution.
- Research and Innovation: Continues to explore new targets and pathways related to kidney disease to expand their pipeline.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of experienced pharmaceutical executives with expertise in drug development, regulatory affairs, and commercialization. The organizational structure includes departments focused on research, clinical development, regulatory affairs, commercial operations, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Vadadustat: Vadadustat is an oral HIF-PHI being developed for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in both dialysis-dependent and non-dialysis-dependent patients. While approved in Japan, Europe, and other regions, its approval in the US is uncertain due to prior FDA concerns. Competitors include erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) like epoetin alfa (Amgen's Epogen/Aranesp) and darbepoetin alfa and other HIF-PHIs such as FibroGen's roxadustat (Evrenzo).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry is characterized by high research and development costs, regulatory hurdles, and intense competition. The market for kidney disease treatments is substantial, driven by the increasing prevalence of CKD and diabetes worldwide. The current market consists primarily of ESAs and iron supplementation, with emerging HIF-PHI drugs offering a new oral treatment option.
Positioning
Akebia is positioned as a company focused on addressing unmet needs in kidney disease. Vadadustat, if approved in the US, would provide a convenient oral alternative to injectable ESAs. Its competitive advantage lies in its potential to offer a differentiated safety and efficacy profile compared to existing treatments and other HIF-PHIs.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global anemia therapeutics market, including CKD-related anemia, is estimated in the billions of dollars. The total addressable market for anemia in CKD is expected to grow with the aging population and the increasing prevalence of diabetes. The total market for anemia due to CKD is about $10B globally. If approved, Akebia has the potential to capture a significant share of this market. Akebia's vadadustat is in a race to the market against other HIF-PHI drugs.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Focused on a specific therapeutic area (kidney disease)
- Oral drug administration of vadadustat (potential patient preference)
- Established partnerships for commercialization in certain regions
- Novel mechanism of action (HIF-PHI)
Weaknesses
- Regulatory uncertainty in the US regarding vadadustat
- Heavy dependence on vadadustat for revenue generation
- High research and development expenses
- Relatively small company size compared to competitors
Opportunities
- Potential US approval of vadadustat
- Expansion of vadadustat into new indications
- Development of new pipeline candidates for kidney disease
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations
Threats
- Competition from established ESAs and other HIF-PHIs
- Unfavorable regulatory decisions
- Patent challenges
- Clinical trial failures
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AMGN
- FGEN
Competitive Landscape
Akebia faces intense competition from Amgen (AMGN) and FibroGen (FGEN). Amgen has a substantial head start, while Fibrogen has FDA-approved drug that it could be a disrupter. Akebia's vadadustat approval will be key to determine if it can also gain traction.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, Akebia's growth has been driven by clinical development progress and regulatory milestones. However, it has yet to achieve substantial revenue due to the lack of US approval.
Future Projections: Future growth depends heavily on US approval of vadadustat and successful commercialization. Analyst estimates vary widely depending on the likelihood of approval and market penetration. Revenue is expected to rise if vadadustat is approved.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include seeking regulatory approval for vadadustat in various regions, forging partnerships for commercialization, and advancing other pipeline programs.
Summary
Akebia Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on kidney disease with vadadustat as its primary product. Its success is tied to achieving US regulatory approval and effectively marketing vadadustat against strong competition. The company's future depends on overcoming regulatory hurdles and executing its commercial strategy. However, it is currently heavily reliant on a single product and needs to diversify its pipeline. The company needs to look out for any setbacks that would hinder potential sales of vadadustat or increase competition.
Similar Companies

AMGN

Amgen Inc



AMGN

Amgen Inc

FGEN

FibroGen Inc



FGEN

FibroGen Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
- SEC.gov
- Yahoo Finance
- Seeking Alpha
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change. The AI-based rating is based on an analysis of publicly available information and is not a guarantee of future performance. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Akebia Ther
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-03-20 | CEO, President & Director Mr. John P. Butler MBA | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | Full time employees 181 | Website https://www.akebia.com |
Full time employees 181 | Website https://www.akebia.com |
Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for patients with kidney diseases. The company's product portfolio includes Vafseo (vadadustat), an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase, which is in Phase III development for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in dialysis-dependent (DD) and non-dialysis dependent (NDD) patients; and Auryxia, a ferric citrate that is used to control the serum phosphorus levels in adult patients with DD-CKD and the treatment of iron deficiency anemia in adult patients with NDD-CKD. Its product pipeline consists of AKB-9090, a drug targeting critical-care indications; and AKB-10108, a drug targeting conditions related to premature birth. The company has collaboration agreements with Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation for the development and commercialization of vadadustat in Japan and other Asian countries, as well as research and license agreement with Janssen Pharmaceutica NV for the development and commercialization of hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase targeted compounds worldwide. Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
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