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Akebia Ther (AKBA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$1.91
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: AKBA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -57.22%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 498.95M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.38
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.38
Volume (30-day avg) 4923167
Beta 0.94
52 Weeks Range 0.80 - 2.89
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 0.80 - 2.89
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.33

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-03-12
When Before Market
Estimate -0.075
Actual -0.1

Profitability

Profit Margin -43.33%
Operating Margin (TTM) -21.72%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -12.49%
Return on Equity (TTM) -553.45%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 494721318
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.11
Enterprise Value 494721318
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.11
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.09
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 63.95
Shares Outstanding 261231008
Shares Floating 230485918
Shares Outstanding 261231008
Shares Floating 230485918
Percent Insiders 4.21
Percent Institutions 27.33

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.33
Target Price 5.5
Buy 2
Strong Buy 1
Buy 2
Strong Buy 1
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Akebia Ther

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 2007. It focuses on developing and commercializing novel therapeutics for patients with kidney disease. Their lead product candidate is vadadustat, an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor (HIF-PHI) that stimulates the production of red blood cells.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Pharmaceutical Development: Focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of therapies for kidney disease and related conditions.
  • Commercialization: Manages the marketing and sales of approved products, including potential partnerships for distribution.
  • Research and Innovation: Continues to explore new targets and pathways related to kidney disease to expand their pipeline.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team consists of experienced pharmaceutical executives with expertise in drug development, regulatory affairs, and commercialization. The organizational structure includes departments focused on research, clinical development, regulatory affairs, commercial operations, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Vadadustat: Vadadustat is an oral HIF-PHI being developed for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in both dialysis-dependent and non-dialysis-dependent patients. While approved in Japan, Europe, and other regions, its approval in the US is uncertain due to prior FDA concerns. Competitors include erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) like epoetin alfa (Amgen's Epogen/Aranesp) and darbepoetin alfa and other HIF-PHIs such as FibroGen's roxadustat (Evrenzo).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The biopharmaceutical industry is characterized by high research and development costs, regulatory hurdles, and intense competition. The market for kidney disease treatments is substantial, driven by the increasing prevalence of CKD and diabetes worldwide. The current market consists primarily of ESAs and iron supplementation, with emerging HIF-PHI drugs offering a new oral treatment option.

Positioning

Akebia is positioned as a company focused on addressing unmet needs in kidney disease. Vadadustat, if approved in the US, would provide a convenient oral alternative to injectable ESAs. Its competitive advantage lies in its potential to offer a differentiated safety and efficacy profile compared to existing treatments and other HIF-PHIs.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global anemia therapeutics market, including CKD-related anemia, is estimated in the billions of dollars. The total addressable market for anemia in CKD is expected to grow with the aging population and the increasing prevalence of diabetes. The total market for anemia due to CKD is about $10B globally. If approved, Akebia has the potential to capture a significant share of this market. Akebia's vadadustat is in a race to the market against other HIF-PHI drugs.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Focused on a specific therapeutic area (kidney disease)
  • Oral drug administration of vadadustat (potential patient preference)
  • Established partnerships for commercialization in certain regions
  • Novel mechanism of action (HIF-PHI)

Weaknesses

  • Regulatory uncertainty in the US regarding vadadustat
  • Heavy dependence on vadadustat for revenue generation
  • High research and development expenses
  • Relatively small company size compared to competitors

Opportunities

  • Potential US approval of vadadustat
  • Expansion of vadadustat into new indications
  • Development of new pipeline candidates for kidney disease
  • Strategic partnerships and collaborations

Threats

  • Competition from established ESAs and other HIF-PHIs
  • Unfavorable regulatory decisions
  • Patent challenges
  • Clinical trial failures

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AMGN
  • FGEN

Competitive Landscape

Akebia faces intense competition from Amgen (AMGN) and FibroGen (FGEN). Amgen has a substantial head start, while Fibrogen has FDA-approved drug that it could be a disrupter. Akebia's vadadustat approval will be key to determine if it can also gain traction.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historically, Akebia's growth has been driven by clinical development progress and regulatory milestones. However, it has yet to achieve substantial revenue due to the lack of US approval.

Future Projections: Future growth depends heavily on US approval of vadadustat and successful commercialization. Analyst estimates vary widely depending on the likelihood of approval and market penetration. Revenue is expected to rise if vadadustat is approved.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include seeking regulatory approval for vadadustat in various regions, forging partnerships for commercialization, and advancing other pipeline programs.

Summary

Akebia Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on kidney disease with vadadustat as its primary product. Its success is tied to achieving US regulatory approval and effectively marketing vadadustat against strong competition. The company's future depends on overcoming regulatory hurdles and executing its commercial strategy. However, it is currently heavily reliant on a single product and needs to diversify its pipeline. The company needs to look out for any setbacks that would hinder potential sales of vadadustat or increase competition.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications
  • SEC.gov
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Seeking Alpha

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change. The AI-based rating is based on an analysis of publicly available information and is not a guarantee of future performance. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Akebia Ther

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-03-20
CEO, President & Director Mr. John P. Butler MBA
Sector Healthcare
Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Full time employees 181
Full time employees 181

Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for patients with kidney diseases. The company's product portfolio includes Vafseo (vadadustat), an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase, which is in Phase III development for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in dialysis-dependent (DD) and non-dialysis dependent (NDD) patients; and Auryxia, a ferric citrate that is used to control the serum phosphorus levels in adult patients with DD-CKD and the treatment of iron deficiency anemia in adult patients with NDD-CKD. Its product pipeline consists of AKB-9090, a drug targeting critical-care indications; and AKB-10108, a drug targeting conditions related to premature birth. The company has collaboration agreements with Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation for the development and commercialization of vadadustat in Japan and other Asian countries, as well as research and license agreement with Janssen Pharmaceutica NV for the development and commercialization of hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase targeted compounds worldwide. Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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