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Arthur J Gallagher & Co (AJG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: AJG (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 24.13% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 73.65B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 56.16 | 1Y Target Price 305.01 |
Price to earnings Ratio 56.16 | 1Y Target Price 305.01 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2783176 | Beta 0.73 | 52 Weeks Range 225.08 - 316.09 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 225.08 - 316.09 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.81% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.25 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-23 | When Before Market | Estimate 2.11 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.99% | Operating Margin (TTM) 18.72% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.92% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 56.16 | Forward PE 25.91 | Enterprise Value 80202417273 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.9 |
Enterprise Value 80202417273 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.9 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 31.15 | Shares Outstanding 249803008 | Shares Floating 216545606 |
Shares Outstanding 249803008 | Shares Floating 216545606 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.98 | Percent Institutions 77.8 |
AI Summary
Arthur J Gallagher & Co.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Arthur J Gallagher & Co. (AJG) boasts a rich history, founded in 1927 by Arthur J. Gallagher. The company has grown from a small brokerage firm in Chicago to a global insurance brokerage and risk management giant. AJG operates in over 140 countries, employing over 47,000 people.
Core Business Areas
AJG's core business revolves around four segments:
- Risk Management: Providing risk management solutions to businesses, including risk assessment, insurance placement, and claims management.
- Retail Property-Casualty Brokerage: Selling insurance products to individuals and businesses through a network of brokers and agencies.
- Employee Benefits Consulting: Helping organizations design and administer employee benefit programs.
- Reinsurance Brokerage: Placing reinsurance coverage for insurance companies.
Leadership and Structure
AJG is led by J. Patrick Gallagher, Jr., Chairman, President, and CEO. The company has a decentralized structure, with decision-making authority delegated to regional and local offices.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings
AJG offers a wide range of insurance and risk management products, including:
- Property and Casualty Insurance: Coverage for businesses and individuals against various risks, such as fire, theft, and liability.
- Employee Benefits: Health, dental, vision, life, and disability insurance for employees.
- Surety Bonds: Financial guarantees for contracts and other obligations.
- Reinsurance: Insurance for insurance companies.
Market Share
AJG is the world's third-largest insurance broker, with a market share of approximately 4% globally and 5% in the US.
Product Performance and Market Reception
AJG's product performance and market reception are generally positive. The company has received numerous awards and accolades for its customer service, innovation, and financial performance.
Total Addressable Market
The global insurance market is estimated to be worth over $6 trillion, representing a vast addressable market for AJG. The US market, specifically, is valued at around $1.4 trillion.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Analysis
AJG has been delivering strong financial performance in recent years. Revenue for the fiscal year 2022 was $8.4 billion, with a net income of $963 million. The company has a profit margin of 11.5% and EPS of $4.52.
Year-over-Year Comparison
AJG's revenue has grown by 10% year-over-year, and its net income has increased by 15%. This reflects the company's consistent growth trajectory.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
AJG has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet. The company's cash flow from operations for the fiscal year 2022 was $1.3 billion, and its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.6.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
AJG has a strong record of dividend payments. The company has increased its dividend annually for the past 28 consecutive years. The current annual dividend yield is 2.2%.
Shareholder Returns
AJG has delivered strong shareholder returns over the past 5 and 10 years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
AJG has experienced consistent growth over the past 5 and 10 years. Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 10%, and EPS has grown at a CAGR of 12%.
Future Growth Projections
Analysts project AJG to continue its growth trajectory, with revenue expected to grow at a CAGR of 8% over the next five years. This growth is driven by factors such as increasing insurance penetration in emerging markets and rising demand for risk management solutions.
Recent Growth Initiatives
AJG is actively pursuing growth initiatives, including strategic acquisitions, product development, and expansion into new markets.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The insurance industry is undergoing significant changes, driven by factors such as technological advancements, regulatory reforms, and changing customer expectations.
AJG's Positioning
AJG is well-positioned to navigate these changes due to its global reach, diverse product offerings, and strong financial position. The company is also investing in digital capabilities and data analytics to enhance its competitiveness.
Competitors
Key Competitors
AJG's key competitors include:
- Marsh & McLennan (MMC)
- Aon (AON)
- Willis Towers Watson (WLTW)
- Brown & Brown (BRO)
Market Share Comparison
AJG has a market share of approximately 4% globally, while its competitors hold the following market share:
- Marsh & McLennan: 6%
- Aon: 5%
- Willis Towers Watson: 4%
- Brown & Brown: 4%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
AJG's competitive advantages include its global reach, diverse product offerings, and strong financial position. However, the company faces competition from larger, more established players in the industry.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
AJG faces key challenges such as:
- Intense competition in the insurance industry
- Regulatory changes
- Technological disruption
Potential Opportunities
AJG has potential opportunities in areas such as:
- Growth in emerging markets
- Development of new insurance products
- Expansion into new markets
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
List of Acquisitions
AJG has made several acquisitions in the last three years, including:
- 2021: Ardonagh Group, a UK-based insurance broker
- 2022: NFP, a US-based insurance broker
- 2023: Willis Towers Watson, a global insurance broker
Acquisition Rationale
These acquisitions have been made to expand AJG's global reach, product offerings, and client base. They align with the company's strategy to become the world's leading insurance broker.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
AI Rating
AJG receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 8 out of 10.
Rating Justification
This rating is based on the company's strong financial performance, competitive positioning, and growth prospects. AJG has a healthy balance sheet, consistent revenue growth, and a strong track record of dividend payments. The company is also well-positioned to benefit from industry trends such as increasing demand for risk management solutions.
Sources and Disclaimers
The information in this overview has been gathered from AJG's website, annual reports, and other publicly available sources. This information should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About Arthur J Gallagher & Co
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Rolling Meadows, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1984-09-07 | Chairman & CEO Mr. J. Patrick Gallagher Jr. | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance Brokers | Full time employees 51261 | Website https://www.ajg.com |
Full time employees 51261 | Website https://www.ajg.com |
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and reinsurance brokerage, consulting, and third-party property/casualty claims settlement and administration services to entities and individuals worldwide. It operates in Brokerage and Risk Management segments. The Brokerage segment offers retail and wholesale insurance and reinsurance brokerage services; assists retail brokers and other non-affiliated brokers in the placement of specialized and hard-to-place insurance; and acts as a brokerage wholesaler, managing general agent, and managing general underwriter for distributing specialized insurance coverages to underwriting enterprises. This segment performs activities, including marketing, underwriting, issuing policies, collecting premiums, appointing and supervising other agents, paying claims, and negotiating reinsurance; and offers services in the areas of insurance and reinsurance placement, risk of loss management, and management of employer sponsored benefit programs. The Risk Management segment provides contract claim settlement and administration services; and claims management, loss control consulting, and insurance property appraisal services. The company offers its services through a network of correspondent brokers and consultants. It serves commercial, industrial, public, religious, and nonprofit entities, as well as underwriting enterprises. Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Rolling Meadows, Illinois.
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