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AGRO logo AGRO
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
AGRO logo

Adecoagro SA (AGRO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$10.83
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY0.84%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 15 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

03/11/2025: AGRO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -26.46%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/11/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.14B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.62
1Y Target Price 12.92
Price to earnings Ratio 12.62
1Y Target Price 12.92
Volume (30-day avg) 627410
Beta 0.97
52 Weeks Range 8.59 - 11.89
Updated Date 03/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 8.59 - 11.89
Updated Date 03/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.07%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.9

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 6.08%
Operating Margin (TTM) 11.96%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.02%
Return on Equity (TTM) 6.89%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.62
Forward PE 20.83
Enterprise Value 2046952906
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.75
Enterprise Value 2046952906
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.75
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.35
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.96
Shares Outstanding 100054000
Shares Floating 33089785
Shares Outstanding 100054000
Shares Floating 33089785
Percent Insiders 27.98
Percent Institutions 47.88

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.43
Target Price 13.43
Buy 1
Strong Buy 1
Buy 1
Strong Buy 1
Hold 5
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Adecoagro SA

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Company Overview

History and Background

Adecoagro SA was founded in 2002 by investors including George Soros. It's an agricultural company focused on producing food, sugar, ethanol and energy across South America.

Core Business Areas

  • Sugar, Ethanol & Energy: Production of sugar, ethanol from sugarcane, and electricity cogeneration from sugarcane bagasse.
  • Farming: Cultivation of grains, oilseeds, and rice.
  • Dairy: Production and sale of ultra-high temperature (UHT) milk, powdered milk, cheese, and butter.
  • Land Transformation: Identifies and acquires land with development potential, transforming it through strategic investments.

Leadership and Structure

The company is led by CEO Mariano Bosch. The organizational structure includes various departments focused on production, sales, and operations across its different business segments.

Top Products and Market Share

Key Offerings

  • Sugar: Adecoagro is a significant sugar producer in South America. Market share varies by region but holds a notable presence in Brazil and Argentina. Competitors include Cosan (Brazil) and Ledesma (Argentina).
  • Ethanol: They produce ethanol from sugarcane. Market share is concentrated in Brazil. Competitors include Raizen and BP Bunge Bioenergia.
  • Grains & Oilseeds: Soybeans, corn, wheat, and rice are key crops. Market share fluctuates based on harvest yields and global demand. Competitors include Bunge, Cargill, and ADM.
  • Dairy Products: UHT milk and milk powders with operations primarily in Argentina. Competitors include Mastellone Hnos (La Serenisima) and Sancor.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The agricultural industry is influenced by factors such as weather patterns, commodity prices, government regulations, and global demand for food and energy. The sugar and ethanol markets are impacted by government mandates and biofuel policies.

Positioning

Adecoagro is vertically integrated, controlling various stages of the agricultural value chain. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale of operations, access to fertile land, and efficient production processes.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for agriculture is in the trillions globally. Adecoagro's positioning is favorable, as a leading South American player with potential for continued expansion and efficient production.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large scale of operations
  • Efficient production processes
  • Vertically integrated business model
  • Access to fertile land in South America
  • Strong presence in sugar and ethanol markets

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to commodity price volatility
  • Dependence on weather conditions
  • Geographic concentration in South America
  • Regulatory and political risks in operating countries

Opportunities

  • Expanding production capacity
  • Increasing exports to emerging markets
  • Developing new bio-based products
  • Acquiring strategic assets
  • Increasing efficiency using technology

Threats

  • Fluctuations in commodity prices
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Adverse weather conditions
  • Increased competition
  • Geopolitical instability in operating regions

Competitors and Market Share

Key Competitors

  • BG
  • ADM
  • LSX:WEIR

Competitive Landscape

Adecoagro's advantages include its scale of operations and efficient production. Disadvantages involve commodity price volatility and geographic concentration.

Major Acquisitions

Deusa Bioenergia

  • Year: 2022
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 281
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded sugarcane milling capacity and ethanol production.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Adecoagro has grown through strategic acquisitions and expansion of its production capacity. Growth has been impacted by commodity market cycles and economic conditions.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth in revenue and earnings, driven by increasing global demand for food and energy. Expansion in ethanol and sustainable energy may drive growth.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include investments in technology to improve efficiency, acquisitions of land to expand production, and efforts to enhance sustainability.

Summary

Adecoagro is a substantial agricultural player in South America. Its scale and vertical integration help it compete. However, commodity price volatility and regional risks present challenges. Investment in efficiency and new markets could drive future growth.

Similar Companies

  • BG
  • ADM
  • LSX:WEIR

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Adecoagro SA

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2011-01-28
Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Mariano Bosch
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Farm Products
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Adecoagro S.A., an agro-industrial company, engages in various businesses in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol and Energy. The Farming segment is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, UP milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate milk, and other dairy products. The segment also generates electricity through burning biogas extracted from effluents produced by its dairy cattle; and provides grain warehousing and conditioning, and handling and drying services to third parties. The Sugar, Ethanol and Energy segment produces sugar, ethanol, and energy; and sells carbon credits and renewable natural gas certificates. It also engages in the land transformation activities, which is involved in the identification and acquisition of underdeveloped and undermanaged farmland, and the realization of value through the strategic disposition of assets. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

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