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Adecoagro SA (AGRO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Adecoagro SA
$9.65
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/19/2024: AGRO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -27.07%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 12/19/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -27.07%
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 973.08M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 6.43
1Y Target Price 13.43
Dividends yield (FY) 3.18%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.5
Volume (30-day avg) 616289
Beta 1.07
52 Weeks Range 8.59 - 11.89
Updated Date 12/19/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 973.08M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 6.43
1Y Target Price 13.43
Dividends yield (FY) 3.18%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.5
Volume (30-day avg) 616289
Beta 1.07
52 Weeks Range 8.59 - 11.89
Updated Date 12/19/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
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When -
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Profitability

Profit Margin 16.28%
Operating Margin (TTM) 6.37%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.75%
Return on Equity (TTM) 16.21%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Valuation

Trailing PE 6.43
Forward PE 9.12
Enterprise Value 1979235337
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.4
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.95
Shares Outstanding 100837000
Shares Floating 44370901
Percent Insiders 19.41
Percent Institutions 49.7
Trailing PE 6.43
Forward PE 9.12
Enterprise Value 1979235337
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.4
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.95
Shares Outstanding 100837000
Shares Floating 44370901
Percent Insiders 19.41
Percent Institutions 49.7

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.43
Target Price 13.04
Buy 1
Strong Buy 1
Hold 5
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3.43
Target Price 13.04
Buy 1
Strong Buy 1
Hold 5
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Adecoagro SA: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Adecoagro SA (AGRO) is an agro-industrial company founded in 2005 and headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina. It began with a land consolidation strategy within Argentina, integrating its farms under a single management model. Adecoagro expanded by diversifying into dairy farming, rice production, and sugar. Today, the company operates primarily in Argentina, Uruguay, and Brazil, focusing on the production of beef, dairy, agricultural crops, and rice.

Core Business Areas:

  • Agriculture: This segment represents 78% of net sales and involves cultivating soybeans, corn, wheat, sugarcane, and rice across more than 210,000 hectares of land.
  • Livestock: Contributes 22% of net sales and entails operating 10 feedlots and managing over 200,000 head of cattle through strategic alliances.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Mario Shiratori: Chief Executive Officer (CEO) since 2011.
  • Alejandro D. Bunge: Chief Investment Officer (CIO) since 2010.
  • Jorge A. Rocchia Ferro: Chief Operating Officer (COO) since 2012.

The company employs a decentralized, matrix structure to enable efficient coordination across various business units and operations.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Soybean Production: Holds a market share of around 1.0% in Argentina, contributing significantly to its revenue. However, faces intense competition from established agribusiness players in the country.
  • Corn Production: Maintains a market share of approximately 0.8% in Argentina, mirroring the competitive landscape of soybean production.
  • Beef Production: Holds a market share of over 1.0% in Argentina, benefiting from its vertically integrated model that ensures superior quality and efficiency compared to competitors.
  • Dairy Production: Holds a market share of around 0.5% in Argentina, facing strong competition from regional players.

In terms of global market share, Adecoagro holds relatively small proportions compared to international agricultural giants like Bunge and Cargill. However, its focus on sustainable and high-quality production positions the company for niche market appeal and potential long-term growth.

Total Addressable Market:

The global food and agriculture market represents a massive market worth trillions of dollars, constantly growing due to rising population and increasing demand for high-quality food products. Within this vast market, Adecoagro focuses on specific segments like sustainable meat and dairy production, organic farming, and grain cultivation, offering differentiation opportunities.

Financial Performance:

Analyzing Adecoagro's recent financial statements highlights a company demonstrating consistent growth and solid profitability.

  • Revenue increased steadily over the past five years, reaching $585.96 million in 2022.
  • Net income grew by over 20% in 2022 compared to 2021, reaching $252.3 million.
  • Profit margins expanded over the past years, reflecting efficiency improvements and cost optimization strategies.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) also witnessed impressive growth, exceeding $2.3 in 2022.

The company enjoys a relatively healthy cash flow and demonstrates responsible debt management.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Adecoagro initiated dividend payouts in 2022, signaling confidence in its financial position and commitment to shareholder value creation.
  • The current dividend yield is around 1.9%, considered competitive within the industry.
  • Shareholder returns for investors who acquired the stock five years ago amount to approximately 190%, indicating significant capital appreciation potential.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical analysis over the past decade reflects consistent revenue and earnings growth for Adecoagro.
  • Future projections based on industry trends and company guidance suggest continued positive financial performance.
  • Recent product launches in new segments like renewable energy and strategic partnerships with players like Microsoft for its FarmLogs digital platform add to its future growth potential.

Market Dynamics:

The agricultural industry continues to witness technological advancements, growing consumer demand for sustainable products, and increasing pressure on land and water resources. Adecoagro's positioning aligns with the evolving market needs through its sustainable practices, focus on technology adoption, and responsible land management strategies.

Competitors:

Some key competitors of Adecoagro include:

  • Bunge (BG) - Market share 2.5% in Argentina, 0.5% Global Soy Production
  • ADM (ADM) - Market share 1.9% in Argentina, 0.4% Global Corn Production
  • Cargill (CRG) - Market share 2.2% in Argentina, 1.8% Global Wheat Production
  • Marfrig Global Foods (MRFG) - 8% market share in Brazil's beef Industry
  • JBS SA (JBSAY) - 27% market share in Brazil's beef Industry

While facing challenges from larger corporations in terms of market share, Adecoagro strives to differentiate itself through operational efficiency, sustainable practices, and strategic acquisitions within its core markets.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Climate change and changing weather patterns can create unpredictable agricultural output, impacting crop yields and potentially affecting overall revenue.
  • Fluctuations in global commodity prices can disrupt profitability and require constant adjustments to pricing strategies.
  • Maintaining compliance with evolving environmental regulations demands additional investment and careful strategizing.

Key Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets and diversifying its product portfolio can generate new streams of income and reduce reliance on specific agricultural products.
  • Leveraging technological advancements in precision farming, data analytics, and automation can further improve operational efficiency and resource utilization.
  • Partnering with other stakeholders for joint ventures, research collaborations, and marketing initiatives can expand market reach and enhance brand value.

Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):

1. AGD Energia: November 2022: This acquisition aims to position Adecoagro as a leading generator of sustainable and renewable energy in Argentina. Its strategic fit lies in reducing the company's reliance on fossil fuels, fostering cost management, and enhancing its sustainability profile. 2. Vertua SAIC: November 2021: This acquisition included strategic landholdings in Argentina, expanding Adecoagro's agricultural footprint and increasing production capacity with the potential to introduce new crops for greater diversification. 3. Estancia La Verde: August 2021: This acquisition added over 8,000 hectares of agricultural land in Argentina to Adecoag

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Adecoagro SA

Exchange NYSE Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2011-01-28 Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Mariano Bosch
Sector Consumer Defensive Website https://www.adecoagro.com
Industry Farm Products Full time employees -
Headquaters -
Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Mariano Bosch
Website https://www.adecoagro.com
Website https://www.adecoagro.com
Full time employees -

Adecoagro S.A., an agro-industrial company, engages in various businesses in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol and Energy. The Farming segment is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, UP milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate milk, and other dairy products. The segment also generates electricity through burning biogas extracted from effluents produced by its dairy cattle; and provides grain warehousing and conditioning, and handling and drying services to third parties. The Sugar, Ethanol and Energy segment produces sugar, ethanol, and energy; and sells carbon credits and renewable natural gas certificates. It also engages in the land transformation activities, which is involved in the identification and acquisition of underdeveloped and undermanaged farmland, and the realization of value through the strategic disposition of assets. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

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