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AGM logo AGM
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
AGM logo

Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$200.69
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

02/12/2025: AGM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 7.13%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/12/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.99B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.57
1Y Target Price 227
Price to earnings Ratio 11.57
1Y Target Price 227
Volume (30-day avg) 32866
Beta 1.13
52 Weeks Range 164.22 - 214.00
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 164.22 - 214.00
Updated Date 04/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.15%
Basic EPS (TTM) 16.45

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 57.46%
Operating Margin (TTM) 69.85%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.68%
Return on Equity (TTM) 14.29%

Valuation

Trailing PE 11.57
Forward PE 10.87
Enterprise Value 30809763840
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.53
Enterprise Value 30809763840
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.53
Enterprise Value to Revenue 84.42
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 9360480
Shares Floating 10250052
Shares Outstanding 9360480
Shares Floating 10250052
Percent Insiders 1.49
Percent Institutions 82.47

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 218
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Federal Agricultural Mortgage

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation, known as Farmer Mac, was established in 1987 to provide a secondary market for agricultural real estate and rural infrastructure loans. It was created in response to the farm crisis of the 1980s and has evolved to support a diverse range of agricultural lending needs.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Farm & Ranch: Purchases or guarantees newly originated or existing agricultural real estate loans. This segment focuses on agricultural mortgages for farmland, rural homes, and other agricultural properties.
  • USDA Guarantees: Purchases the portions of agricultural loans guaranteed by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). This includes loans for rural utilities and renewable energy projects.
  • Institutional Lending: Provides financing solutions to agricultural lenders, including community banks, Farm Credit System institutions, and other financial institutions.
  • Rural Infrastructure: Provides financing for rural infrastructure projects, such as water and waste disposal facilities, essential for supporting rural communities.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Farmer Mac is led by a Board of Directors and an executive management team. The CEO is Bradford T. Nordholm. The organizational structure is designed to support its core business segments and ensure effective risk management.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Agribusiness Finance: Provides financing for agricultural businesses, including processing plants, storage facilities, and other agribusinesses. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint precisely due to the fragmented nature of the agricultural lending market, but Farmer Mac is a significant player. Competitors include Rabobank, CoBank, and regional banks. Revenue from this product fluctuates based on demand and market conditions, but represents a substantial portion of Farmer Mac's portfolio.
  • Farm & Ranch Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): Farmer Mac guarantees securities backed by pools of agricultural mortgages, which helps to attract investors to the agricultural sector. Specific market share data for MBS is unavailable. Competitors include other government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) and private-label securitization programs. MBS are a core component of Farmer Mac's strategy.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The agricultural lending market is influenced by factors such as commodity prices, interest rates, farm income, and government policies. The market is generally stable but can be volatile due to weather-related events and global economic conditions.

Positioning

Farmer Mac is positioned as a key provider of liquidity and stability to the agricultural lending market. Its competitive advantages include its government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) status, its expertise in agricultural finance, and its ability to access capital markets.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for agricultural lending in the US is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Farmer Mac is well-positioned to serve a significant portion of this market by providing financing solutions for farmers, ranchers, and rural communities.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • GSE status provides access to lower-cost capital.
  • Expertise in agricultural finance.
  • Strong relationships with agricultural lenders.
  • Guaranteed securities enhance market liquidity.

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to agricultural commodity price volatility.
  • Dependence on government policies and regulations.
  • Limited brand recognition compared to larger financial institutions.
  • Geographic concentration in agricultural regions.

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for agricultural finance due to increasing global population.
  • Expansion into new agricultural sectors, such as renewable energy.
  • Increased collaboration with community banks and other lenders.
  • Technological advancements to improve efficiency and reduce costs.

Threats

  • Changes in government policies or regulations.
  • Economic downturns or agricultural crises.
  • Competition from other financial institutions.
  • Climate change and its impact on agricultural production.

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AGCO
  • DE
  • COBK

Competitive Landscape

Farmer Mac's competitive advantages include its GSE status and its expertise in agricultural finance. Its disadvantages include its smaller size compared to larger financial institutions.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Farmer Mac's historical growth has been driven by its ability to provide financing solutions for the agricultural sector. Growth rates have varied depending on market conditions and government policies.

Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on analyst estimates. Analyst estimates vary.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new agricultural sectors and collaborating with community banks to increase lending capacity.

Summary

Farmer Mac plays a vital role in supporting the agricultural economy through its financing and guarantee programs. The company benefits from its GSE status, providing access to lower-cost capital. Potential threats include fluctuating commodity prices and changes in government regulations. Farmer Mac's strategic initiatives focusing on expansion and collaboration position it for future growth. It should continue to monitor and adapt to market conditions to maintain its stability.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Farmer Mac Investor Relations
  • Analyst reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market share data is estimated and may not be precise.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Federal Agricultural Mortgage

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Washington, DC, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-08-18
President & CEO Mr. Bradford Todd Nordholm
Sector Financial Services
Industry Credit Services
Full time employees 191
Full time employees 191

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation provides a secondary market for various loans made to borrowers in the United States. It operates through seven segments: Farm & Ranch, Corporate AgFinance, Power & Utilities, Broadband Infrastructure, Renewable Energy, Funding, and Investments. The company is involved in a line of agricultural finance business, including purchasing and retaining eligible loans and securities; guaranteeing the payment of principal and interest on securities that represent interests in, or obligations secured by pools of eligible loans; servicing eligible loans; and issuing long-term standby purchase commitments for designated eligible loans. It also engages in the purchasing and guaranteeing of securities issued by lenders and other financial institutions that are secured by pools of eligible loans, loans for electric or telecommunications facilities by lenders organized as cooperatives to borrowers; and loans to rural electric generation and transmission cooperatives and distribution cooperatives, as well as AgVantage securities secured by those types of loans. Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Washington, the District of Columbia.

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