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Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares (AFRI)AFRI
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: AFRI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -31.72% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -31.72% | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 273.36M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.47 |
Volume (30-day avg) 8014 | Beta 0.4 |
52 Weeks Range 9.63 - 12.00 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 273.36M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.47 | Volume (30-day avg) 8014 | Beta 0.4 |
52 Weeks Range 9.63 - 12.00 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.57% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.23% | Return on Equity (TTM) -33.73% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 451601780 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.91 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 60.34 |
Shares Outstanding 26879200 | Shares Floating 4197456 |
Percent Insiders 81.6 | Percent Institutions 1.84 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 451601780 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.91 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 60.34 | Shares Outstanding 26879200 | Shares Floating 4197456 |
Percent Insiders 81.6 | Percent Institutions 1.84 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Forafric Global PLC, formerly known as Forafric Plc, is a Nigerian oil and gas company headquartered in Lagos, Nigeria. The company was founded in 1996 and became a public limited company in 2001. Forafric Global PLC primarily focuses on the exploration, production, and development of oil and gas assets in Nigeria, particularly onshore and near-shore assets in the Niger Delta.
Core Business Areas:
Forafric's core business activities involve:
- Exploration and Production: Identifying, evaluating, and drilling oil and gas reserves.
- Development and Production: Development of existing fields and production of oil and gas.
- Transportation and Storage: Transportation of oil and gas through pipelines and storage in onshore facilities.
- Sales and Marketing: Marketing and selling oil and gas to domestic and international buyers.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Forafric is led by Mr. Felix Amieyeofori, the company's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. The Board of Directors also includes experienced executives with expertise in oil and gas exploration, production, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
Forafric Global PLC's primary products include:
- Crude Oil: Production of various grades of crude oil, including Bonny Light, Forcados, and Qua Iboe.
- Natural Gas: Production and sale of natural gas for power generation and industrial use.
Market Share:
Forafric holds a relatively small market share in the Nigerian oil and gas industry compared to larger players like Shell, Chevron, and ExxonMobil. However, the company remains a significant contributor to Nigeria's oil production and plays a key role in supplying domestic energy needs.
Competitive Comparison:
Forafric faces stiff competition from established international oil companies and other indigenous players in the Nigerian market. Compared to its competitors, Forafric holds a smaller reserve base and production capacity. However, the company benefits from its focus on local operations and relationships with the Nigerian government, potentially providing access to attractive exploration and development opportunities.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for Forafric Global PLC encompasses the global oil and gas industry, estimated at approximately $2.5 trillion in 2023. However, the company's primary focus remains on the Nigerian market, accounting for a significant portion of its production and revenue.
Financial Performance
Analysis of Recent Financial Statements:
Forafric's financial performance has been impacted by fluctuations in oil prices and production volumes. Analyzing recent financial statements reveals:
- Revenue: Revenue tends to fluctuate with oil price movements.
- Net Income: Net income has also shown volatility, influenced by revenue, operational costs, and taxes.
- Profit Margins: Profit margins have remained moderate compared to larger competitors.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS has exhibited variability aligned with profit fluctuations.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Year-over-year comparisons suggest that Forafric's financial performance has been somewhat inconsistent, impacted by external factors like oil price volatility and operational challenges.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Forafric's cash flow statement reflects fluctuations aligned with revenue and investment activities. The company's balance sheet indicates moderate debt levels and a relatively stable financial position.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Forafric Global PLC has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. Recent dividend yields and payout ratios have varied depending on profitability and company strategies.
Shareholder Returns:
Total shareholder returns over various timeframes have been influenced by fluctuations in Forafric's stock price, which reflects the company's financial performance and market sentiment.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth Analysis:
Forafric's historical growth has been modest compared to major international oil companies. However, the company has made efforts to expand its production capacity and reserves through new exploration and development projects.
Future Growth Projections:
Future growth projections depend heavily on factors like oil price trends, industry investments, and company exploration success. Forafric's growth plans may involve increasing production from existing fields, pursuing new exploration opportunities, and potentially expanding into new markets or segments within the oil and gas industry.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
The global oil and gas industry faces a dynamic environment with evolving trends like energy transition, technological advancements, and shifts in geopolitical landscapes. Forafric needs to adapt its strategies to navigate these changes effectively.
Market Position:
Forafric's market position is primarily focused on the Nigerian market, where the company enjoys a moderate presence. However, the company faces significant competition from both international and domestic players. To maintain its position, Forafric needs to remain efficient, competitive, and strategically responsive to market shifts.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Shell (RDS.A)
- Chevron (CVX)
- ExxonMobil (XOM)
- TotalEnergies (TTE)
- Seplat Energy (SEPLAT)
Market Share Comparison:
Forafric's market share is considerably smaller compared to major international oil companies but remains competitive within the Nigerian market.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Forafric's advantages include its local expertise, relationships with the Nigerian government, and potential access to attractive exploration opportunities. However, the company faces disadvantages due to its smaller scale, limited resources, and higher production costs compared to large competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Oil Price Volatility: The company's earnings are highly dependent on oil price fluctuations, creating uncertainty and challenges for financial planning and investments.
- Competition: Forafric faces intense competition from international and domestic players with greater resources and market access.
- Operational Challenges: Challenges like pipeline infrastructure limitations, security issues, and community conflicts can disrupt operations and increase costs.
Potential Opportunities:
- New Exploration and Development: Successful exploration and development projects can significantly boost reserves and production, contributing to growth.
- Technological Advancements: Adoption of new technologies can optimize production, reduce costs, and improve efficiency.
- Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with larger companies or international entities can provide access to capital, technology, and expertise for expanding operations.
- Focus on Domestic Demand: Leveraging the growing domestic energy demand in Nigeria can present potential market opportunities.
Recent Acquisitions
Forafric Global PLC has not undertaken any acquisitions in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-powered analysis of Forafric Global PLC's fundamentals, including financial health, market position, and growth prospects, the company receives a rating of 6 out of 10.
Justification:
The rating is attributed to the company's:
- Moderate financial performance: While showing some inconsistency, Forafric demonstrates profitability and generates cash flow.
- Competitive market position: Although facing strong competition, Forafric holds a position in the Nigerian market and benefits from local expertise.
- Future growth potential: Opportunities for expansion through exploration and development exist, but success relies on strategic execution and external factors.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview utilizes information from publicly available sources, including Forafric Global PLC's website, financial reports, industry data, and news articles. It serves for informative purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this analysis is based on publicly available information and is subject to change. It is not intended to be a substitute for professional financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2022-06-10 | CEO | - |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://forafric.com |
Industry | Farm Products | Full time employees | 600 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://forafric.com | ||
Website | https://forafric.com | ||
Full time employees | 600 |
Forafric Global PLC engages in the purchase, storage, transport, processing, and sale of agricultural commodities and commodity products in Morocco, Burkina, Mali, Angola, and internationally. The company provides wheat flours and semolina; and secondary processing products, such as pasta and couscous under the TRIA and MayMouna brand names. It serves wholesale foods manufacturers and distributors. The company also exports its products to approximately 45 countries. Forafric Global PLC was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Gibraltar.
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