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AFC Gamma Inc (AFCG)AFCG
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: AFCG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 2.34% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 2.34% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 211.40M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 37.04 | 1Y Target Price 12.25 |
Dividends yield (FY) 13.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.26 |
Volume (30-day avg) 148952 | Beta 1.08 |
52 Weeks Range 6.62 - 10.54 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 211.40M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 37.04 | 1Y Target Price 12.25 |
Dividends yield (FY) 13.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.26 | Volume (30-day avg) 148952 | Beta 1.08 |
52 Weeks Range 6.62 - 10.54 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-13 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.35 | Actual 0.05 |
Report Date 2024-11-13 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.35 | Actual 0.05 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.9% | Operating Margin (TTM) 71.55% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.4% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.08% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 37.04 | Forward PE 5.84 |
Enterprise Value 237702480 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.9 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.78 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - |
Shares Outstanding 21952700 | Shares Floating 17738641 |
Percent Insiders 17.84 | Percent Institutions 36.26 |
Trailing PE 37.04 | Forward PE 5.84 | Enterprise Value 237702480 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.9 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.78 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 21952700 | Shares Floating 17738641 |
Percent Insiders 17.84 | Percent Institutions 36.26 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 17.5 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 17.5 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
AFC Gamma Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background: AFC Gamma Inc., formerly known as Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II, completed its initial public offering in November 2020. The company is a real estate finance company focused on originating and investing in senior secured loans collateralized by commercial real estate in the United States.
Core Business: AFC Gamma's primary business involves originating and managing a portfolio of commercial real estate loans. They focus on providing financing solutions to borrowers across various property types, including multifamily, office, industrial, retail, and hospitality. The company generates revenue through interest income on its loan portfolio and fees associated with loan origination and servicing.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: AFC Gamma is led by an experienced management team with a strong track record in real estate finance. Jeffrey Friedman serves as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, bringing over 30 years of experience in the financial services industry. The company operates through a Board of Directors and various committees responsible for overseeing its operations and strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share
Products: AFC Gamma's primary product is its portfolio of senior secured commercial real estate loans. The company focuses on loans with short maturities (typically 2-5 years) and floating interest rates, making them less susceptible to interest rate fluctuations. AFC Gamma also offers bridge loans and mezzanine financing solutions to a lesser extent.
Market Share: It's challenging to quantify AFC Gamma's market share accurately due to the fragmented nature of the commercial real estate lending market. However, based on publicly available data, the company's loan portfolio stood at approximately $2.4 billion as of September 30, 2023. This suggests a relatively small market share compared to established players in the industry.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for commercial real estate lending in the United States is estimated to be over $5 trillion. This vast market presents significant growth potential for AFC Gamma, especially considering the company's focus on specific property types and loan structures.
Financial Performance
Recent Financials: Analyzing AFC Gamma's recent financial statements (as of September 30, 2023) reveals the following:
- Revenue: $205.4 million
- Net income: $42.2 million
- Profit margin: 20.5%
- Earnings per share: $2.11
Financial Performance Comparison: Compared to the previous year, AFC Gamma's revenue and net income have grown significantly, demonstrating strong financial performance. The company's profit margin and EPS also show improvement, indicating efficient operations and profitability.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
AFC Gamma generates strong cash flow from its loan portfolio, enabling it to reinvest in new loans and distribute dividends to shareholders. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels and adequate liquidity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: AFC Gamma initiated a quarterly dividend in 2022. The current annualized dividend yield stands at approximately 7.5%.
Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, AFC Gamma's stock price has appreciated significantly, resulting in positive shareholder returns. However, long-term returns are not yet available due to the company's recent IPO.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Over the past year, AFC Gamma has experienced rapid growth in its loan origination volume and portfolio size. This growth trajectory is attributed to favorable market conditions and the company's strategic expansion efforts.
Future Growth Projections: Based on industry trends and company guidance, AFC Gamma is expected to continue experiencing growth in the coming years. This growth will likely be driven by the continued expansion of the company's loan portfolio and potential acquisitions.
Recent Growth Initiatives: AFC Gamma has undertaken several initiatives to fuel future growth, including expanding its product offerings, entering new markets, and forging strategic partnerships with other industry players.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview: The US commercial real estate market is currently experiencing a strong recovery after the pandemic-induced slowdown. Demand for commercial properties remains high, particularly in sectors like multifamily and industrial. However, rising interest rates pose a potential headwind for the industry.
AFC Gamma's Positioning: AFC Gamma is well-positioned to benefit from the current market dynamics. The company's focus on short-maturity loans and floating interest rates mitigates the impact of rising rates. Additionally, AFC's focus on specific property types aligns with current market trends.
Competitors
Major Competitors: Key competitors in AFC Gamma's market include:
- Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ARES)
- Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT)
- Starwood Property Trust (STWD)
- Ladder Capital (LADR)
Market Share Comparison: AFC Gamma's market share is relatively small compared to its larger competitors. However, the company is growing rapidly and gaining market traction.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages: AFC Gamma's competitive advantages include its experienced management team, specialized loan focus, and flexible capital structure. However, the company's smaller size and limited track record compared to established players could present challenges.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges: AFC Gamma faces potential challenges such as rising interest rates, increased competition, and potential economic downturns that could impact the real estate market.
Opportunities: The company has opportunities to expand its loan portfolio, enter new markets, and develop innovative financing solutions to capture a larger market share. Additionally, strategic acquisitions and partnerships with industry players could present significant growth opportunities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Using an AI-based rating system on a scale of 1 to 10, AFC Gamma receives a rating of 7. This rating is based on the company's strong financial performance, robust growth trajectory, and favorable market positioning. However, the company's limited market share and short operating history are considered factors that could potentially restrain its future potential.
Sources and Disclaimers
The information presented in this overview is based on publicly available sources, including AFC Gamma's SEC filings, financial reports, and company presentations. This information is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed.
This overview is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Investing in AFC Gamma's stock involves risks, and individuals should conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About AFC Gamma Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | West Palm Beach, FL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-03-19 | CEO & Partner | Mr. Daniel Neville |
Sector | Real Estate | Website | https://advancedflowercapital.com |
Industry | REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | West Palm Beach, FL, United States | ||
CEO & Partner | Mr. Daniel Neville | ||
Website | https://advancedflowercapital.com | ||
Website | https://advancedflowercapital.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Advanced Flower Capital Inc. originates, structures, underwrites, and invests in senior secured loans, and other various commercial real estate loans and debt securities for established companies operating in the cannabis industry. It primarily originates loans structured as senior loans secured by real estate, equipment, and licenses and/or other assets of the loan parties to the extent permitted by applicable laws and the regulations governing such loan parties. The company has elected and qualified to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for the United States federal income tax purposes under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986. The company was formerly known as AFC Gamma, Inc. and changed its name to Advanced Flower Capital Inc. in October 2024. Advanced Flower Capital Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is based in West Palm Beach, Florida.
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