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AerCap Holdings NV (AER)AER
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: AER (4-star) is a REGULAR-BUY. BUY since 26 days. Profits (-3.20%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 28.58% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 52 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 28.58% | Avg. Invested days: 52 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 18.23B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.72 | 1Y Target Price 112.38 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.05% | Basic EPS (TTM) 12.4 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1067301 | Beta 1.83 |
52 Weeks Range 65.81 - 99.42 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 18.23B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.72 | 1Y Target Price 112.38 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.05% | Basic EPS (TTM) 12.4 | Volume (30-day avg) 1067301 | Beta 1.83 |
52 Weeks Range 65.81 - 99.42 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-30 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 2.41 | Actual 2.41 |
Report Date 2024-10-30 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 2.41 | Actual 2.41 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 32.41% | Operating Margin (TTM) 46.15% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.48% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.3% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.72 | Forward PE 7.44 |
Enterprise Value 62680038418 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.33 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.58 |
Shares Outstanding 189731008 | Shares Floating 178333928 |
Percent Insiders 3.4 | Percent Institutions 89.84 |
Trailing PE 7.72 | Forward PE 7.44 | Enterprise Value 62680038418 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.33 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.58 | Shares Outstanding 189731008 | Shares Floating 178333928 |
Percent Insiders 3.4 | Percent Institutions 89.84 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 81 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 81 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
AerCap Holdings NV: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
AerCap Holdings NV (AER) is a leading global aviation leasing company with a fleet of over 1,500 aircraft. The company was formed in 2011 through the merger of AerCap and International Lease Finance Corporation (ILFC). AerCap went public in 2014 on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Core Business:
AerCap's primary business is acquiring and leasing out commercial aircraft to airlines worldwide. It offers a diverse portfolio of aircraft, including narrow-body, wide-body, regional jets, and freighters. Additionally, AerCap provides aircraft engine leasing, engine management services, and aircraft sales and trading.
Leadership:
As of October 26, 2023, AerCap's leadership team comprises:
- Chief Executive Officer: Aengus Kelly
- President: Peter Juhas
- Chief Financial Officer: Richard K. Wright
- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer: James Bennett
- Executive Vice President and General Counsel: Mark Ross
Top Products and Market Share:
AerCap's top products are its leased aircraft and engine leasing services. As of June 30, 2023, AerCap had a total of 1,632 leased aircraft in its fleet, including Airbus, Boeing, Embraer, ATR, and De Havilland models. AerCap is the market leader in aircraft leasing, with a global market share of approximately 18%.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market (TAM) for aircraft leasing is estimated to be around $250 billion. This includes both new and used aircraft leasing. The TAM is expected to grow steadily in the coming years due to the increasing demand for air travel and the expanding global airline industry.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $2.3 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $755 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 26.3% (2022)
- EPS: $3.74 (2022)
YoY Performance: AerCap's financial performance has been improving in recent years. Revenue has grown by an average of 8% per year over the past three years. The company has also been profitable in each of the past three years.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
AerCap has a healthy cash flow and strong balance sheet. The company generated $1.7 billion in free cash flow in 2022 and has a net debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: AerCap has a history of paying dividends to its shareholders. The current annual dividend yield is 3.2%, and the payout ratio is 48%.
Shareholder Returns: AerCap has provided strong shareholder returns over the past year. The stock price has appreciated by over 35% during this time.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: AerCap has experienced strong historical growth. Revenue has increased by an average of 10% per year over the past five years.
Future Projections: The company expects continued growth in the future. The global commercial aircraft fleet is expected to double in the next 20 years, which will create significant demand for aircraft leasing.
Recent Initiatives: AerCap is investing in new technologies, such as fuel-efficient aircraft and sustainable aviation fuels, to remain competitive and meet the growing demand for environmentally friendly air travel.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview: The aircraft leasing industry is a highly competitive and fragmented industry. Several large players compete for market share, including AerCap, GE Aviation, and BOC Aviation. However, AerCap maintains its position as the industry leader due to its large fleet, global presence, and strong financial performance.
Technological Advancements: The aviation industry is constantly evolving, with new technologies being introduced all the time. AerCap is actively investing in research and development to stay ahead of the curve in terms of efficiency, fuel savings, and emissions reductions.
Market Positioning: AerCap is well-positioned in the aircraft leasing industry due to its strong market share, diversified fleet, and financial strength. The company is also adapting well to market changes, such as the growing demand for fuel-efficient aircraft, by investing in new technologies.
Competitors:
- GE Aviation (GE): Market share - 15%
- BOC Aviation (BAIL): Market share - 13%
- Avolon Holdings (AVOL): Market share - 7%
- Aircastle Limited (AYR): Market share - 4%
Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties
- Rising interest rates impacting financing costs
- Competition from other aircraft leasing companies
Key Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets, such as Asia and Latin America
- Developing innovative financial solutions for airlines
- Investing in fuel-efficient aircraft and other sustainable aviation technologies
Recent Acquisitions:
2021:
- Nordic Aviation Capital (NAC): This acquisition significantly expanded AerCap's regional aircraft portfolio and strengthened its presence in the Nordic region.
2022:
- GECAS: This acquisition made AerCap the world's largest aircraft leasing company, solidifying its market leadership position.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
AerCap receives a high AI-based fundamental rating due to its strong financial performance, industry leadership, and growth prospects. The company has a diversified fleet, a strong financial profile, and is well-positioned for future growth.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Sources:
- AerCap Holdings NV Investor Relations: https://investors.aercap.com/
- S&P Global Market Intelligence: https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence
- Market Screener: https://www.marketscreener.com/
Important Reminder: This analysis is based on information available as of October 26, 2023. Ensure to verify all data and information before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About AerCap Holdings NV
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2006-11-21 | CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Aengus Kelly A.C.A. |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.aercap.com |
Industry | Rental & Leasing Services | Full time employees | 678 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Aengus Kelly A.C.A. | ||
Website | https://www.aercap.com | ||
Website | https://www.aercap.com | ||
Full time employees | 678 |
AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in China, Hong Kong, Macau, the United States, Ireland, and internationally. The company offers aircraft asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines; collecting rental and maintenance rent payments, monitoring aircraft maintenance, monitoring and enforcing contract compliance, and accepting delivery and redelivery of aircraft and engines; and conducting ongoing lessee financial performance reviews. Its aircraft asset management services also include periodically inspecting the leased aircraft and engines; coordinating technical modifications to aircraft to meet new lessee requirements; conducting restructuring negotiations in connection with lease defaults; repossessing aircraft and engines; arranging and monitoring insurance coverage; registering and de-registering aircraft; arranging for aircraft and engine valuations; and providing market research services. In addition, the company provides cash management services, including treasury services, such as the financing, refinancing, hedging, and ongoing cash management of vehicles; and administrative services comprising accounting and corporate secretarial services consisting of the preparation of budgets and financial statements. Further, it offers airframe and engine parts and supply chain solutions to airlines; maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers; and aircraft parts distributors. The company had a portfolio of owned, managed, or on order aircraft. AerCap Holdings N.V. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
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