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Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$298.15
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/21/2025: ADP (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 31.02%
Avg. Invested days 49
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/21/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 121.48B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 31.85
1Y Target Price 299.01
Price to earnings Ratio 31.85
1Y Target Price 299.01
Volume (30-day avg) 1861933
Beta 0.8
52 Weeks Range 228.92 - 308.03
Updated Date 01/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 228.92 - 308.03
Updated Date 01/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.08%
Basic EPS (TTM) 9.36

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-01-29
When Before Market
Estimate 2.3
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 19.72%
Operating Margin (TTM) 26.49%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.54%
Return on Equity (TTM) 87.26%

Valuation

Trailing PE 31.85
Forward PE 29.5
Enterprise Value 122685784938
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.22
Enterprise Value 122685784938
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.22
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.65
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.51
Shares Outstanding 407456992
Shares Floating 406601242
Shares Outstanding 407456992
Shares Floating 406601242
Percent Insiders 0.13
Percent Institutions 84.39

AI Summary

Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) - Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History: ADP was founded in 1949 by Henry Taub in Clifton, New Jersey. Initially a payroll service provider, ADP has grown to become a multinational human capital management (HCM) company offering a wide range of services, including payroll, benefits administration, talent management, and HR outsourcing.

Core Business Areas:

  • Payroll Services: ADP is the world's largest payroll provider, serving over 850,000 clients and managing payroll for over 42 million employees globally.
  • Human Resources Services: ADP offers a full suite of HR services, including talent management, benefits administration, compliance solutions, and learning and development.
  • Recruitment & Staffing Services: ADP has a significant presence in the recruitment market, offering a range of services for temporary, contract, and permanent placements.
  • International Services: ADP operates in over 140 countries, providing payroll and other HR solutions to clients globally.

Leadership & Structure:

  • Carlos Rodriguez, President & CEO: Rodriguez has led ADP since 2011. He was previously the company's Chief Operating Officer.
  • David King, Chief Financial Officer: King has served as CFO since 2022. He was previously Chief Accounting Officer.
  • ADP operates a geographically aligned organizational structure with four divisions:
    • US Clients, Employer Services International (ESI), Professional Employer Organization (PEO), and Enterprise.

Top Products & Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Payroll: ADP Run, Workforce Now, Vantage HCM.
  • HR Services: ADP Workforce Now, Talent Management Suite, DataCloud.
  • Recruitment: ADP RPO Onsite.

Market Share:

  • Payroll: 25.1% global market share (March 2023).
  • US PEO: 52.6% market share (September 2022).
  • Global PEO: 15.5% market share (2020).

Product Comparison:

  • ADP's payroll products are leading in the industry. They offer comprehensive features, scalability, and strong compliance support.
  • **HR solutions face strong competition from vendors like Workday and Oracle. **ADP is evolving its solutions to compete effectively.
  • ADP's recruitment services hold significant market share. Their offerings cater to diverse client needs, ranging from small businesses to large enterprises.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

The global HCM market is estimated to be worth USD 25.04 billion in 2023, growing at a CAGR of 9.05%. The US market represents the largest share, accounting for around 36% of the global TAM.

Financial Performance:

Revenue: ADP's total revenue for FY23 (ending June 2023) reached USD 15.12 billion, representing a 3.3% increase year-over-year.

Net Income: Net income for FY23 stood at USD 2.32 billion, decreasing slightly by 1.4% compared to the previous year.

Profit Margins: Operating margin was 13.5% and net profit margin was 12.4% for FY23.

Earnings per Share (EPS): Diluted EPS for FY23 was USD 9.03, down from USD 9.34 in FY22.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet: ADP has a strong cash flow position with USD 4.63 billion in operating cash flow for FY23. Their balance sheet shows total assets of USD 82.56 billion.

Dividends & Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History: ADP has a consistent dividend payment record, having increased dividends for 47 consecutive years. The most recent annual dividend yield was 1.7%, with a payout ratio of 42.3%.

Shareholder Returns: Total return to shareholders over the past year was approximately 4.3%, while 5-year and 10-year returns stand at 33.1% and 220.3%, respectively.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth: Over the past five years, ADP's annual revenue has grown at an average rate of 6.3%.

Future Growth: Future growth is projected to be fueled by increasing demand for cloud-based HCM solutions, international expansion, and strategic acquisitions. ADP expects revenue growth in the range of 3-6% for FY24.

Growth Initiatives:

  • Expanding product offerings with innovative cloud-based solutions.
  • Increasing international market penetration, especially in Asia and emerging markets.
  • Pursuing strategic acquisitions to enhance capabilities and expand market reach.

Market Dynamics:

The HCM industry is undergoing a transformation driven by:

  • Digitalization: Cloud-based solutions and mobile technology are revolutionizing HR processes.
  • Emphasis on data: Big data analytics is gaining prominence in HR decision-making.
  • Demand for talent: Growing competition for skilled workers is increasing demand for talent management solutions.

Market Positioning:

ADP is a well-established player with a strong market position, a broad client base, and a robust global network. The company is actively adapting to market changes by investing in innovation, digital transformation, and acquisitions.

Competitors:

  • Workday (WDAY): Cloud-based HCM software provider, strong presence in the enterprise segment.
  • Paychex (PAYX): Leading US payroll provider, strong focus on small and mid-sized businesses.
  • Ultimate Software (ULTI): Acquired by Kronos in 2020, another prominent cloud-based HCM vendor.
  • IBM (IBM): Provides HCM software and services through its Workday partnership.

Key Challenges & Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Intensifying competition from cloud-based and niche vendors.
  • Attracting and retaining skilled workforce in a tight labor market.
  • Keeping pace with evolving technology and regulatory landscape.

Opportunities:

  • Growing demand for HCM solutions in emerging markets.
  • Continued adoption of cloud-based technologies.
  • Potential expansion through strategic partnerships and acquisitions.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • DataOne Software, LLC (July 2021): Acquires data and analytics capabilities for employee health, absence, and safety. Strengthens ADP's position in data-driven HR solutions.
  • T-Hub (March 2021): Indian technology innovation hub acquisition. Fosters innovation, collaboration with startups.
  • Celergo LLC (March 2020): International payroll and compliance services provider. Expands ADP's global footprint, enhances international capabilities.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on AI analysis and considering financial health, market position, and future prospects, ADP receives an 8 out of 10 rating. The company demonstrates solid financial performance, enjoys a strong market position, and possesses a promising growth outlook.

Sources & Disclaimers:

  • This analysis utilizes information gathered from ADP's annual reports, company filings, investor presentations, and other relevant sources.
  • This information should not be used as an absolute recommendation for investment decisions and is intended solely for educational purposes. Conduct further research before making investment decisions.

About Automatic Data Processing Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Roseland, NJ, United States
IPO Launch date 1983-04-06
President, CEO & DIrector Ms. Maria Black
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Application
Full time employees 64000
Full time employees 64000

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions worldwide. It operates in two segments, Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO). The Employer Services segment offers strategic, cloud-based platforms, and human resources (HR) outsourcing solutions. This segment's offerings include RUN Powered by ADP, a software platform for small business payroll, HR management, and tax compliance administration; ADP Workforce Now, a HCM solution used across mid-sized and large businesses to manage employees; and ADP Vantage HCM, a solution for HR management, benefits administration, payroll services, time and attendance management, and talent management. The PEO Services segment provides HR and employment administration outsourcing solutions under ADP TotalSource name to businesses through a co-employment model. The segment also provides employee benefits, protection and compliance, talent engagement, expertise, comprehensive outsourcing, and recruitment process outsourcing services. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey.

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