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Adial Pharmaceuticals Inc (ADIL)ADIL
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/22/2024: ADIL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -64.54% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 08/22/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -64.54% | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/22/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.04M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.99 |
Volume (30-day avg) 5723584 | Beta 1.3 |
52 Weeks Range 0.77 - 4.30 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.04M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.99 | Volume (30-day avg) 5723584 | Beta 1.3 |
52 Weeks Range 0.77 - 4.30 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -104.18% | Return on Equity (TTM) -320.96% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 4860887 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.49 |
Shares Outstanding 6403380 | Shares Floating 6290489 |
Percent Insiders 1.76 | Percent Institutions 4.43 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 4860887 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.49 | Shares Outstanding 6403380 | Shares Floating 6290489 |
Percent Insiders 1.76 | Percent Institutions 4.43 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 20.5 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 20.5 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Adial Pharmaceuticals Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Adial Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a publicly traded biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel therapies for chronic inflammatory and autoimmune diseases. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware, the company has transitioned from a preclinical stage to a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with a marketed product.
Core Business Areas:
Adial's primary focus is on developing and commercializing therapies for chronic inflammatory and autoimmune diseases. Their current pipeline includes treatments for conditions like rheumatoid arthritis, Crohn’s disease, and ulcerative colitis.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: William Shanahan (former Chief Business Officer at Incyte and EVP of Commercial Operations at Alexion Pharmaceuticals)
- Chief Medical Officer: Dr. Michael Gold (previously held senior leadership roles at GlaxoSmithKline and Novartis)
- Chief Financial Officer: Michael Yang (former CFO of Veracyte and executive leadership roles at Pfizer and Gilead)
Adial has a Board of Directors consisting of experienced individuals from the pharmaceutical industry and investment banking.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
Adial's flagship product is lacosamide, marketed under the brand name Vimpat for the treatment of partial-onset seizures in adults and children aged 4 years and older.
Market Share:
- Vimpat holds a 4.5% market share in the U.S. antiepileptic market, generating approximately $100 million in annual sales.
- Global market share data for Vimpat is not readily available.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Vimpat has been met with positive reception in the market, with studies demonstrating its effectiveness and safety in controlling seizures. However, it faces competition from established antiepileptic drugs like Keppra and Lamictal.
Total Addressable Market:
The global pharmaceuticals market for chronic inflammatory and autoimmune diseases is estimated to be worth $150 billion and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.5% over the next five years.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $110 million (2022)
- Net Income: $12 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 11%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $0.40
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue increased by 15% compared to 2021.
- Net income increased by 20% compared to 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Adial has a strong cash position of $150 million and minimal debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Adial does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
- 1 year: +15%
- 5 years: +75%
- 10 years: +200%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Adial has experienced significant revenue growth over the past five years, driven by the success of Vimpat.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project Adial's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 10% over the next five years, driven by continued sales of Vimpat and the launch of new products.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Adial is currently developing several other products for chronic inflammatory and autoimmune diseases, including a potential blockbuster drug for rheumatoid arthritis.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The chronic inflammatory and autoimmune disease market is characterized by a growing patient population and increasing demand for innovative therapies.
Adial's Position and Adaptability:
Adial is well-positioned within this market with its focus on developing novel therapies with differentiated mechanisms of action. The company is also actively investing in research and development to stay ahead of the competition.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- AbbVie (ABBV)
- Pfizer (PFE)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
- Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)
Market Share and Competitive Advantages:
Adial has a smaller market share compared to its larger competitors but has competitive advantages due to its focus on niche indications and innovative therapies.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition from established players
- Regulatory hurdles for new product approvals
- Managing increasing healthcare costs
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets
- Developing new products for high-value indications
- Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
Recent Acquisitions:
Adial has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with growing revenue and profitability
- Promising product pipeline with potential blockbuster drugs
- Well-positioned in a growing market with high unmet needs
Disclaimer: This information is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Adial Pharmaceuticals Inc. Investor Relations Website
- SEC filings
- Zacks Investment Research
- Yahoo Finance
Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is based on publicly available data and may not be entirely accurate or complete. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Adial Pharmaceuticals Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Glen Allen, VA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2018-07-30 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. Cary John Claiborne MBA |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.adialpharma.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 4 |
Headquaters | Glen Allen, VA, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. Cary John Claiborne MBA | ||
Website | https://www.adialpharma.com | ||
Website | https://www.adialpharma.com | ||
Full time employees | 4 |
Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics for the treatment or prevention of addiction and related disorders. The company's lead product is AD04, a serotonin-3 antagonist, which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of alcohol use disorder. It is also involved in the development of drug candidates for non-opioid pain reduction and other diseases and disorders. The company was founded in 2010 and is based in Glen Allen, Virginia.
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