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Alcoa Corp (AA)AA
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/17/2024: AA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -23.75% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/17/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -23.75% | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/17/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.91B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 43.78 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.23% | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.26 |
Volume (30-day avg) 5681588 | Beta 2.42 |
52 Weeks Range 22.76 - 45.33 | Updated Date 09/16/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.91B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 43.78 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.23% | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.26 | Volume (30-day avg) 5681588 | Beta 2.42 |
52 Weeks Range 22.76 - 45.33 | Updated Date 09/16/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -5.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.2% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) -11.72% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.94 |
Enterprise Value 9553221352 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.83 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 41 |
Shares Outstanding 258340000 | Shares Floating 256180416 |
Percent Insiders 0.76 | Percent Institutions 63.68 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.94 | Enterprise Value 9553221352 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.83 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 41 | Shares Outstanding 258340000 | Shares Floating 256180416 |
Percent Insiders 0.76 | Percent Institutions 63.68 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 35.27 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 5 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 35.27 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 5 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Alcoa Corp.: A Comprehensive Overview
Disclaimer: This information is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA) is a global leader in aluminum production and manufacturing, boasting a rich history dating back to 1888. The company was founded by Charles Martin Hall, who revolutionized the aluminum industry with his electrolytic process. Alcoa played a vital role in World War II, supplying the metal for aircraft production. After the war, Alcoa diversified into various areas like packaging, construction, and transportation. In 2016, the company split into two entities: Arconic (industrial products) and Alcoa (aluminum production).
Core Business Areas:
Alcoa focuses on bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum smelting, and the production of value-added aluminum products. The company serves diverse markets, including aerospace, automotive, building and construction, packaging, and consumer durables.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Alcoa's leadership team comprises seasoned professionals with extensive experience in the aluminum industry. John Slaven is the Chairman and CEO, leading the company's strategic direction and operational performance. The executive team comprises experts in finance, operations, human resources, and legal affairs, ensuring effective management across various functions.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
Alcoa's primary products include:
- Primary Aluminum: Ingots, billets, and slabs used in various industries.
- Value-Added Products: Rolled products, extrusions, and forgings with enhanced properties and applications.
- Alumina: Raw material for aluminum production.
- Bauxite: The mineral ore from which alumina is extracted.
Market Share:
Alcoa holds a significant market share in the global aluminum industry. As of 2022, the company's estimated market share for primary aluminum was:
- Global: 5.5%
- North America: 14.2%
- Europe: 4.5%
Product Performance and Competition:
Alcoa's products face competition from other major aluminum producers like Rio Tinto, Rusal, and China Hongqiao. Alcoa differentiates itself through its focus on sustainability, innovation, and customer service. The company invests heavily in research and development to enhance its product portfolio and maintain its competitive edge.
Total Addressable Market:
The global aluminum market is vast, valued at approximately $136 billion in 2022 and expected to reach $158 billion by 2027. The rise in demand for aluminum in various sectors like transportation, construction, and packaging drives this growth.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
Alcoa's recent financial statements (2022) indicated:
- Revenue: $13.8 billion
- Net Income: $697 million
- Profit Margin: 5.1%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $2.68
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Compared to 2021, Alcoa's revenue increased by 12%, net income by 44%, and EPS by 47%. This reflects the company's recovery from pandemic-related challenges and the rising demand for aluminum.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Alcoa maintains a healthy cash flow position and a solid balance sheet. The company generated $1.3 billion in operating cash flow and held $2.5 billion in cash and equivalents as of 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Alcoa has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of 1.5%. The company has maintained a consistent dividend payout ratio, returning value to shareholders.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, Alcoa's stock price has increased by 34%, exceeding the S&P 500's return of 7%. This highlights the company's strong performance and investor confidence.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Alcoa has experienced steady growth in recent years. Revenue has increased by 20% over the past five years, driven by rising aluminum demand and improved operational efficiency.
Future Projections:
Industry analysts project continued growth for Alcoa, with revenue expected to reach $15 billion by 2024. The company's focus on sustainability and innovation is expected to drive further market share gains.
Growth Initiatives:
Alcoa is actively pursuing growth initiatives, including:
- Expanding into new markets: Targeting high-growth regions like Asia and Latin America.
- Developing innovative products: Investing in research and development for lighter and stronger aluminum alloys.
- Partnerships and acquisitions: Collaborating with other companies to expand its product offerings and reach.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The aluminum industry is experiencing strong growth, driven by factors like increasing urbanization, rising demand for lightweight materials, and the shift towards sustainable manufacturing.
Demand-Supply Scenario:
The global aluminum market is currently experiencing a supply shortage, which is expected to continue in the near term. This creates favorable conditions for aluminum producers like Alcoa.
Technological Advancements:
The aluminum industry is witnessing technological advancements, such as the development of more efficient smelting processes and the use of artificial intelligence for optimized production planning.
Alcoa's Positioning:
Alcoa is well-positioned to capitalize on market trends with its focus on sustainability, innovation, and operational efficiency. The company is actively investing in research and development to stay ahead of the curve.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
Alcoa's main competitors include:
- Rio Tinto (RIO): A global mining and metals company with a strong presence in aluminum production.
- Rusal (0486): A Russian aluminum producer with significant market share.
- China Hongqiao (2800): A Chinese aluminum producer with growing international reach.
Market Share Comparison:
- Rio Tinto: 6.5% global market share.
- Rusal: 5.8% global market share.
- China Hongqiao: 5.2% global market share.
Competitive Advantages:
- Leading market position: Alcoa's established brand and global presence provide a competitive advantage.
- Focus on sustainability: Alcoa's commitment to environmental and social responsibility attracts customers and investors.
- Innovation and technology: Alcoa's investment in research and development fosters product differentiation and operational efficiency.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Cyclical industry: The aluminum industry is susceptible to economic downturns, affecting demand and pricing.
- Commodity pricing: Aluminum prices are volatile, impacting profitability.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions: Ongoing supply chain issues pose challenges in securing raw materials and delivering products.
- Technological disruptions: Emerging technologies could challenge traditional aluminum production methods.
- Intensified competition: Competition in the aluminum industry is expected to increase, putting pressure on pricing and market share.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing demand: Rising demand for aluminum in various sectors presents significant growth opportunities.
- New markets: Emerging economies offer potential for market expansion.
- Sustainability focus: Alcoa's commitment to sustainability aligns with global trends and customer preferences.
Recent Acquisitions:
Note: As of November 2023, Alcoa has not made any significant acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of Alcoa's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating considers factors like financial health, market position, and future prospects. The rating indicates that Alcoa is a fundamentally sound company with attractive growth potential.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Alcoa Corporation Investor Relations website
- Bloomberg
- Reuters
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alcoa Corp
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Pittsburgh, PA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2016-11-01 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. William F. Oplinger |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://www.alcoa.com |
Industry | Aluminum | Full time employees | 13600 |
Headquaters | Pittsburgh, PA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. William F. Oplinger | ||
Website | https://www.alcoa.com | ||
Website | https://www.alcoa.com | ||
Full time employees | 13600 |
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alumina and Aluminum. It engages in bauxite mining operations; and processes bauxite into alumina and sells it to customers who process it into industrial chemical products, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company offers primary aluminum in the form of alloy ingot or value-add ingot to customers that produce products for the transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, and other industrial markets; and flat-rolled aluminum in the form of sheet, which is sold primarily to customers that produce beverage and food cans. In addition, it owns hydro power plants that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in October 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
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