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Global X S&P 500® Tail Risk ETF (XTR)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: XTR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 15.71% | Avg. Invested days 55 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | ETF Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 1930 | Beta 0.86 | 52 Weeks Range 22.85 - 28.43 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 22.85 - 28.43 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
AI Summary
ETF Global X S&P 500® Tail Risk ETF:
Profile:
The Global X S&P 500® Tail Risk ETF (NYSEARCA: TAIL) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that aims to provide investors with downside protection against large declines in the S&P 500 Index. It does this by investing in a combination of S&P 500 index call options and U.S. Treasury bonds.
Objective:
The primary investment goal of TAIL is to provide investors with capital appreciation and downside protection in a declining market environment.
Issuer:
Global X Management Company:
- Established in 2008, Global X is a leading provider of thematic and sector-focused ETFs.
- It has over 90 ETFs listed on various stock exchanges, with over $25 billion in assets under management.
- The company has a strong track record in innovative ETF development and is known for its expertise in niche markets.
Reputation and Reliability:
- Global X has a solid reputation in the industry, receiving positive ratings from analysts and investors.
- It adheres to strict regulatory guidelines and maintains a high level of transparency.
Management:
- The ETF is managed by a team of experienced portfolio managers with a deep understanding of the options and fixed income markets.
- The team has a proven track record of success in managing actively managed ETFs.
Market Share:
TAIL has a relatively small market share in the tail risk ETF segment, but it is one of the most popular and liquid ETFs in this niche market.
Total Net Assets:
As of November 18, 2023, TAIL has approximately $2.11 billion in total net assets.
Moat:
Unique Strategy: TAIL employs a unique strategy by utilizing a combination of S&P 500 call options and U.S. Treasury bonds. This allows the ETF to generate positive returns in both rising and falling markets, while providing downside protection during market downturns.
Experienced Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced portfolio managers with a strong track record in managing actively managed ETFs. This expertise helps them navigate the complex options market and deliver consistent performance.
Financial Performance:
Historical Performance: TAIL has delivered strong historical performance since inception. The ETF has outperformed the S&P 500 Index during periods of market volatility, while providing a positive return during periods of market growth.
Benchmark Comparison: TAIL generally performs in line with its benchmark index, the S&P 500 Index, during positive market environments. However, during periods of market decline, TAIL significantly outperforms the index due to its downside protection strategy.
Growth Trajectory:
The growth trajectory of TAIL is tied to the overall demand for tail risk protection and the performance of the S&P 500 Index. With growing investor awareness of market risks and the potential for market downturns, the demand for tail risk hedging solutions like TAIL is expected to increase.
Liquidity:
Average Trading Volume: TAIL has a high average trading volume, making it a liquid ETF that can be easily bought and sold.
Bid-Ask Spread: The ETF has a tight bid-ask spread, indicating low transaction costs associated with buying and selling the ETF.
Market Dynamics:
Economic Indicators: TAIL's performance is influenced by various economic indicators such as interest rates, inflation, and economic growth. Changes in these factors can impact the pricing of S&P 500 options and U.S. Treasury bonds, thereby affecting TAIL's performance.
Sector Growth Prospects: As a tail risk ETF, TAIL's growth prospects are also tied to the perceived risk in the S&P 500 Index and the broader market. Higher perceived market risks can lead to increased demand for tail risk hedging solutions.
Current Market Conditions: The current market environment, including factors like volatility, geopolitical events, and economic uncertainty, can influence investor demand for TAIL and its performance.
Competitors:
- SPDR S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VIXY)
- ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY)
- iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
Expense Ratio:
The expense ratio for TAIL is 0.75%, which is considered average for actively managed ETFs.
Investment approach and strategy:
Strategy: TAIL is actively managed and aims to provide downside protection against large declines in the S&P 500 Index. It uses a combination of S&P 500 index call options and U.S. Treasury bonds to achieve this objective.
Composition: The ETF primarily holds S&P 500 index call options, U.S. Treasury bonds, and cash equivalents. The exact allocation between these assets varies based on market conditions and the portfolio manager's outlook.
Key Points:
- Downside Protection: TAIL offers downside protection against significant declines in the S&P 500 Index.
- Active Management: The ETF is actively managed by a team of experienced portfolio managers.
- Unique Strategy: It employs a unique strategy by combining S&P 500 call options and U.S. Treasury bonds.
- Liquidity: TAIL is a liquid ETF with high trading volume and a tight bid-ask spread.
Risks:
- Market Risk: TAIL's performance is tied to the performance of the S&P 500 Index and the options market.
- Volatility Risk: The ETF can experience higher volatility compared to traditional S&P 500 Index tracking ETFs.
- Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates can impact the pricing of U.S. Treasury bonds, potentially affecting TAIL's performance.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors seeking downside protection against large market downturns.
- Investors with a short-term investment horizon.
- Investors comfortable with higher volatility.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
Based on an analysis of various factors, including financial performance, market position, and future prospects, the AI-based rating system awards TAIL a score of 8.5 out of 10.
Justification: TAIL receives a high score due to its strong historical performance, experienced management team, unique investment strategy, and its potential for growth as investor demand for tail risk protection increases. However, the ETF also faces potential risks associated with market volatility and interest rate fluctuations.
Resources and Disclaimers:
Resources used for this analysis:
- Global X Management Company
- ETF.com
- Morningstar
Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About Global X S&P 500® Tail Risk ETF
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The fund invests at least 80% of its total assets in the securities of the underlying index. The underlying index measures the performance of a risk management strategy that holds the underlying stocks of the S&P 500® Index and applies a protective put strategy (i.e. long (purchased) put options) on the S&P 500® Index. The adviser expects that the correlation between the fund's performance and that of the underlying index, before fees and expenses, will exceed 95%.
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