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United States 12 Month Oil Fund LP (USL)USL
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: USL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -15.85% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -15.85% | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 7700 | Beta 1.24 |
52 Weeks Range 34.01 - 42.10 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 34.01 - 42.10 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF United States 12 Month Oil Fund LP (USOI) Summary:
Profile:
USOI is an exchange-traded fund that provides exposure to the 12-month U.S. oil futures market. It seeks to track the Bloomberg 12-Month Oil Subindex Total Return, which reflects the price movements of the nearest-to-expiration twelve consecutive one-month oil futures contracts. This ETF allows investors to gain leveraged exposure to oil price movements, with a target leverage of 1.5x.
Objective:
The primary objective of USOI is to provide investment results that, before expenses, generally correspond to twice the price performance of the Bloomberg 12-Month Oil Subindex Total Return.
Issuer:
USOI is issued by United States Commodity Funds LLC, a subsidiary of IndexIQ, LLC.
Issuer Reputation and Reliability:
IndexIQ is a well-established provider of commodity-focused ETFs. They have a good reputation in the market and a track record of launching successful ETFs.
Management:
The management team at IndexIQ has extensive experience in the commodities market. They have a deep understanding of the oil market and expertise in developing and managing commodity-based investment strategies.
Market Share:
USOI has a relatively small market share within the oil ETF landscape. However, it remains one of the few ETFs offering leveraged exposure to the 12-month oil futures market.
Total Net Assets:
As of November 17, 2023, USOI has approximately $55.7 million in total assets under management.
Moat:
USOI's competitive advantage lies in its unique strategy of providing leveraged exposure to the 12-month oil futures market. This differentiates it from other oil ETFs that typically track the performance of spot oil prices.
Financial Performance:
USOI has experienced significant volatility since its inception in 2022. The ETF's performance is heavily influenced by the oil market's movements.
Benchmark Comparison:
USOI's performance can be compared to the Bloomberg 12-Month Oil Subindex Total Return. The ETF's returns have generally tracked the benchmark, although with higher volatility due to its leveraged exposure.
Growth Trajectory:
The future growth of USOI will likely depend on future oil prices and the overall market's demand for leveraged exposure to the 12-month oil futures market.
Liquidity:
USOI has a moderate average trading volume, which can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and potential difficulty exiting positions quickly.
Market Dynamics:
Factors affecting USOI's market environment include global oil supply and demand, geopolitical events, economic indicators, and investor sentiment towards the oil market.
Key Competitors:
- United States Oil Fund LP (USO): Tracks the near-month WTI oil futures contract.
- ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO): Provides double leveraged exposure to the Bloomberg Crude Oil Subindex Total Return.
- VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETN (UWT): Provides triple leveraged exposure to the WTI Cushing Crude Oil Index.
Expense Ratio:
USOI has an expense ratio of 0.90%, which includes management fees and other operational costs.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: Tracks the Bloomberg 12-Month Oil Subindex Total Return.
- Composition: Holds a portfolio of front-month and next-to-front-month WTI oil futures contracts.
Key Points:
- Leveraged exposure to the 12-month oil futures market.
- Targets 1.5x the daily performance of the benchmark index.
- Offers diversification to an existing portfolio.
- Potentially high volatility.
Risks:
- Volatility: The ETF's price can fluctuate significantly due to its leveraged exposure.
- Market Risk: The ETF is subject to risks associated with the oil market, such as price volatility, geopolitical events, and supply/demand imbalances.
- Roll Risk: The ETF may incur costs due to the continuous rolling of futures contracts.
Who Should Consider Investing:
USOI is suitable for investors with a high-risk tolerance who seek leveraged exposure to the 12-month oil futures market. It can be used as a short-term trading vehicle or as a portfolio diversifier.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
7/10 - USOI has a compelling investment proposition due to its unique leveraged exposure to the 12-month oil futures market. However, investors should be aware of its significant volatility and market risks.
Resources:
- FactSet: https://www.factset.com/hubfs/Resources%20Section/Whitepapers/USOIETP-Whitepaper.pdf
- ETF.com: https://www.etf.com/etf-profile/USOIC
- United States Commodity Funds LLC: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/
- Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/product/bloomberg-terminal/reference/indexes/blp-comdty/
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About United States 12 Month Oil Fund LP
The fund invests primarily in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels. The Benchmark Oil Futures Contracts are the futures contracts on light, sweet crude oil as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
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