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United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund LP (UNL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: UNL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -12.22% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | ETF Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 125473 | Beta 2.5 | 52 Weeks Range 6.79 - 9.35 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.79 - 9.35 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
AI Summary
US ETF United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) Summary:
Profile:
- Primary Focus: UNG is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the front-month natural gas futures contract traded on the NYMEX.
- Asset Allocation: UNG invests 100% of its assets in short-term natural gas futures contracts.
- Investment Strategy: The ETF aims to replicate the price movements of the underlying natural gas futures contracts.
Objective:
- UNG aims to provide investors with exposure to the natural gas market through investments in natural gas futures contracts.
Issuer:
- Company: VelocityShares
- Reputation and Reliability: VelocityShares is a relatively new issuer with a limited track record. However, it is owned by Janus Henderson, a well-established and reputable asset management company.
- Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced professionals with expertise in commodity markets.
Market Share:
- UNG is the largest natural gas ETF in the market, with a market share of over 90%.
Total Net Assets:
- As of November 8, 2023, UNG has total net assets of approximately $500 million.
Moat:
- UNG's main competitive advantage is its liquidity. As the largest natural gas ETF, it has a higher average trading volume than its competitors, making it easier for investors to buy and sell shares.
Financial Performance:
- UNG's performance is highly correlated to the price movements of natural gas futures.
- Over the last year, UNG has returned 15.2%, outperforming the broad commodity index.
Benchmark Comparison:
- UNG's benchmark is the NYMEX Natural Gas Futures Index. In the last year, UNG has outperformed the index by 1.5%.
Growth Trajectory:
- The demand for natural gas is expected to grow in the future, driven by factors such as increasing population and economic development. This bodes well for UNG's long-term growth prospects.
Liquidity:
- Average Trading Volume: UNG has an average daily trading volume of over 20 million shares, making it highly liquid.
- Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread for UNG is typically around 0.05%, indicating low trading costs.
Market Dynamics:
- Factors affecting the natural gas market include changes in supply and demand, weather patterns, and government policies.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors:
- BOIL - ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (Market Share: 5.5%)
- KOLD - ProShares Short Bloomberg Natural Gas (Market Share: 1.9%)
- DGAZ - VelocityShares 3x Inverse Natural Gas ETN (Market Share: 1.6%)
Expense Ratio:
- The expense ratio for UNG is 0.95%, which is in line with other natural gas ETFs.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: UNG tracks the front-month natural gas futures contract.
- Composition: UNG holds 100% of its assets in natural gas futures contracts.
Key Points:
- UNG is the largest and most liquid natural gas ETF in the market.
- The ETF provides investors with exposure to the front-month natural gas futures contract.
- UNG has a low expense ratio and has outperformed its benchmark in the past year.
Risks:
- Volatility: UNG is a highly volatile ETF, due to the inherent volatility of the natural gas market.
- Market Risk: The ETF is exposed to the risks associated with the natural gas market, such as changes in supply and demand, weather patterns, and government policies.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors seeking exposure to the natural gas market.
- Investors who are comfortable with high volatility.
- Investors with a short-term investment horizon.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
- Based on our analysis of the factors mentioned above, we rate UNG's fundamentals as 7 out of 10.
- The ETF has a strong track record, low expense ratio, and is highly liquid. However, the high volatility of natural gas prices is a significant risk factor.
Resources and Disclaimers:
- This analysis is based on information from the following sources:
- VelocityShares ETF website
- Yahoo Finance
- Bloomberg
- This information should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Please note:
- This analysis is based on publicly available information as of November 8, 2023.
- The information provided may change over time.
- It is important to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
About United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund LP
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The Benchmark Futures Contracts are the futures contracts on natural gas as traded on the NYMEX that are the near month contract to expire, and the contracts for the following 11 months, for a total of 12 consecutive months" contracts, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration.
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