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TMV
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TMV)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$33.84
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: TMV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type ETF
Historic Profit 56.57%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 1071352
Beta -6.38
52 Weeks Range 25.47 - 42.98
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 25.47 - 42.98
Updated Date 04/2/2025

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

stock logo

ETF Overview

overview logo Overview

The Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TMV) seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the inverse (or opposite) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It offers leveraged exposure to declines in long-term Treasury bond prices.

reliability logo Reputation and Reliability

Direxion is a well-known provider of leveraged and inverse ETFs, recognized for innovation and risk management expertise.

reliability logo Management Expertise

Direxion has a dedicated team with expertise in managing complex ETF strategies.

Investment Objective

overview logo Goal

To seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the inverse (or opposite) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.

Investment Approach and Strategy

Strategy: Tracks the inverse of a specific index with 3x leverage on a daily basis.

Composition Primarily invests in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, repurchase agreements and reverse repurchase agreements, that provide leveraged exposure to the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.

Market Position

Market Share: Limited market share within the leveraged inverse treasury ETF category.

Total Net Assets (AUM): 168962776.45

Competitors

overview logo Key Competitors

  • ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)
  • ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF)

Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape includes other leveraged and inverse ETFs targeting treasury bonds. TMV offers higher leverage than some competitors, increasing potential returns but also risk. Competitors may offer less leveraged options for investors with lower risk tolerance.

Financial Performance

Historical Performance: Historical performance is highly volatile and dependent on daily movements of treasury bond prices.

Benchmark Comparison: The ETF aims to deliver 3x the inverse of the daily performance of its benchmark index.

Expense Ratio: 0.95

Liquidity

Average Trading Volume

The average daily trading volume for TMV is moderate, indicating reasonable liquidity.

Bid-Ask Spread

The bid-ask spread can fluctuate depending on market conditions and trading volume.

Market Dynamics

Market Environment Factors

Interest rate changes, inflation expectations, and economic growth prospects significantly impact TMV's performance.

Growth Trajectory

Growth depends on the direction of interest rates, with potential for gains during periods of rising rates. The ETF's strategy and holdings remain consistent; however, due to daily resetting, long-term returns can significantly deviate from the inverse performance of the underlying index.

Moat and Competitive Advantages

Competitive Edge

TMV offers a highly leveraged way to bet against long-term treasury bonds. Its main advantage lies in providing a high level of inverse exposure (3x) compared to other less leveraged products, enabling investors to magnify potential returns in a rising interest rate environment. This concentrated focus and leverage differentiate it, attracting investors seeking aggressive short-term strategies. However, the leveraged nature also amplifies risks, making it crucial for sophisticated investors understanding the ETF's daily reset mechanism and potential compounding effects.

Risk Analysis

Volatility

TMV is highly volatile due to its leveraged nature.

Market Risk

Significant market risk exists related to interest rate fluctuations and the potential for large losses.

Investor Profile

Ideal Investor Profile

Sophisticated investors with a high-risk tolerance and a short-term outlook who understand the risks of leveraged ETFs and are looking to profit from declines in long-term Treasury bond prices.

Market Risk

Best suited for active traders seeking short-term tactical opportunities, not long-term investors.

Summary

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TMV) provides a leveraged inverse exposure to long-term Treasury bonds. The ETF is designed for sophisticated, high-risk-tolerant investors who aim to profit from short-term declines in bond prices. Due to its daily reset feature and high leverage, it is not suitable for long-term buy-and-hold strategies. Investors should carefully consider the risks associated with leveraged ETFs before investing, recognizing the potential for significant losses.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Direxion Investments
  • Yahoo Finance
  • ETF.com

Disclaimers:

The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing in leveraged ETFs involves significant risks, including the potential for substantial losses.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

Exchange NYSE ARCA
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date -
CEO -
Sector -
Industry -
Full time employees -
Website
Full time employees -
Website

The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80% of the fund"s net assets in financial instruments, that, in combination, provide 3X daily inverse (opposite) or short exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index, consistent with the fund"s investment objective. The index is a market value weighted index that includes publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than 20 years. It is non-diversified.

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