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Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TMV)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/18/2025: TMV (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 56.56% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | ETF Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 1782174 | Beta -6.32 | 52 Weeks Range 25.77 - 43.49 | Updated Date 02/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 25.77 - 43.49 | Updated Date 02/22/2025 |
AI Summary
Overview of DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X SHARES (DRIP)
Profile: DRIP is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to deliver three times the inverse (-3x) daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It primarily focuses on the fixed income market, specifically long-term U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities exceeding 20 years. DRIP utilizes a leveraged strategy to amplify its returns, aiming to provide investors with exposure to potential declines in long-term Treasury prices.
Objective: The primary investment goal of DRIP is to generate returns that are inversely proportional to the performance of the long-term U.S. Treasury bond market. This means that when long-term Treasury prices fall, DRIP aims to deliver triple the daily returns, and conversely, when prices rise, DRIP aims to deliver triple the daily losses.
Issuer: DRIP is issued by Direxion Shares, a leading provider of leveraged and inverse ETFs.
Reputation and Reliability: Direxion has established a strong reputation in the ETF industry, known for its innovative product offerings and commitment to transparency.
Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced portfolio managers with expertise in fixed income markets and leveraged investment strategies.
Market Share: DRIP holds a significant market share within the leveraged and inverse Treasury ETF space.
Total Net Assets: As of November 10, 2023, DRIP has approximately $275 million in total net assets.
Moat: DRIP's unique leveraged approach and its focus on long-term Treasuries provide a distinct advantage over traditional Treasury ETFs. This niche market focus allows DRIP to cater to investors seeking amplified exposure to potential declines in long-term Treasury prices.
Financial Performance: DRIP has experienced significant volatility in line with its leveraged nature. Over the past year, the ETF has delivered negative returns, reflecting the overall rise in long-term Treasury prices. However, in periods of falling Treasury prices, DRIP has historically delivered amplified gains.
Benchmark Comparison: DRIP's performance should be compared to the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, aiming to achieve a return that is three times the inverse of the index's daily performance.
Growth Trajectory: The growth prospects for DRIP depend heavily on the future direction of long-term Treasury prices. Anticipation of rising interest rates and declining Treasury prices could attract investors seeking to capitalize on potential declines.
Liquidity: DRIP has a relatively high average trading volume, ensuring efficient buying and selling in the market. The bid-ask spread is also typically tight, indicating low transaction costs.
Market Dynamics: Factors like economic growth, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy significantly impact the long-term Treasury market and, consequently, DRIP's performance.
Competitors: Key competitors in the leveraged and inverse Treasury ETF space include:
- RYN (ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury)
- TBF (ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury)
Expense Ratio: DRIP's expense ratio is 0.95%, which includes management fees and other operational costs.
Investment Approach and Strategy: DRIP utilizes a leveraged investment approach, employing financial instruments like swaps and futures contracts to amplify its exposure to the underlying Treasury index. The ETF primarily invests in short-term U.S. Treasury securities to generate returns.
Composition: DRIP's portfolio mainly comprises U.S. Treasury securities with maturities exceeding 20 years. The specific holdings are subject to change based on market conditions and the management team's outlook.
Key Points:
- Inversely tracks long-term U.S. Treasury performance with 3x leverage.
- Focuses on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities exceeding 20 years.
- Issued by Direxion Shares, a reputable ETF provider.
- Offers amplified exposure to potential declines in long-term Treasury prices.
- High liquidity and relatively tight bid-ask spread.
Risks:
- High volatility due to leveraged nature.
- Subject to market risks associated with long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.
- Potential for significant losses if long-term Treasury prices rise.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors seeking to capitalize on short-term declines in long-term U.S. Treasury prices.
- Investors with a high-risk tolerance and understanding of leveraged investment strategies.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI: 6.5/10
DRIP's fundamental analysis through an AI-based system yields a rating of 6.5 out of 10. This rating considers factors like the ETF's performance volatility, market liquidity, expense ratio, and management team's experience. While DRIP offers potential for amplified gains, its high volatility and sensitivity to market movements make it a suitable investment only for experienced investors with a high-risk tolerance.
Resources and Disclaimers:
- Direxion Shares website: https://www.direxion.com/
- ETF Database: https://etfdb.com/etf/DRIP/direxion-daily-20-year-treasury-bear-3x-shares/
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80% of the fund"s net assets in financial instruments, that, in combination, provide 3X daily inverse (opposite) or short exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index, consistent with the fund"s investment objective. The index is a market value weighted index that includes publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than 20 years. It is non-diversified.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.