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TMV
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TMV)

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$38.74
Delayed price
Today's Top Performer Top performer
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/18/2025: TMV (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type ETF
Historic Profit 56.56%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/18/2025

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 1782174
Beta -6.32
52 Weeks Range 25.77 - 43.49
Updated Date 02/22/2025
52 Weeks Range 25.77 - 43.49
Updated Date 02/22/2025

AI Summary

Overview of DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X SHARES (DRIP)

Profile: DRIP is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to deliver three times the inverse (-3x) daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It primarily focuses on the fixed income market, specifically long-term U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities exceeding 20 years. DRIP utilizes a leveraged strategy to amplify its returns, aiming to provide investors with exposure to potential declines in long-term Treasury prices.

Objective: The primary investment goal of DRIP is to generate returns that are inversely proportional to the performance of the long-term U.S. Treasury bond market. This means that when long-term Treasury prices fall, DRIP aims to deliver triple the daily returns, and conversely, when prices rise, DRIP aims to deliver triple the daily losses.

Issuer: DRIP is issued by Direxion Shares, a leading provider of leveraged and inverse ETFs.

Reputation and Reliability: Direxion has established a strong reputation in the ETF industry, known for its innovative product offerings and commitment to transparency.

Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced portfolio managers with expertise in fixed income markets and leveraged investment strategies.

Market Share: DRIP holds a significant market share within the leveraged and inverse Treasury ETF space.

Total Net Assets: As of November 10, 2023, DRIP has approximately $275 million in total net assets.

Moat: DRIP's unique leveraged approach and its focus on long-term Treasuries provide a distinct advantage over traditional Treasury ETFs. This niche market focus allows DRIP to cater to investors seeking amplified exposure to potential declines in long-term Treasury prices.

Financial Performance: DRIP has experienced significant volatility in line with its leveraged nature. Over the past year, the ETF has delivered negative returns, reflecting the overall rise in long-term Treasury prices. However, in periods of falling Treasury prices, DRIP has historically delivered amplified gains.

Benchmark Comparison: DRIP's performance should be compared to the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, aiming to achieve a return that is three times the inverse of the index's daily performance.

Growth Trajectory: The growth prospects for DRIP depend heavily on the future direction of long-term Treasury prices. Anticipation of rising interest rates and declining Treasury prices could attract investors seeking to capitalize on potential declines.

Liquidity: DRIP has a relatively high average trading volume, ensuring efficient buying and selling in the market. The bid-ask spread is also typically tight, indicating low transaction costs.

Market Dynamics: Factors like economic growth, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy significantly impact the long-term Treasury market and, consequently, DRIP's performance.

Competitors: Key competitors in the leveraged and inverse Treasury ETF space include:

  • RYN (ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury)
  • TBF (ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury)

Expense Ratio: DRIP's expense ratio is 0.95%, which includes management fees and other operational costs.

Investment Approach and Strategy: DRIP utilizes a leveraged investment approach, employing financial instruments like swaps and futures contracts to amplify its exposure to the underlying Treasury index. The ETF primarily invests in short-term U.S. Treasury securities to generate returns.

Composition: DRIP's portfolio mainly comprises U.S. Treasury securities with maturities exceeding 20 years. The specific holdings are subject to change based on market conditions and the management team's outlook.

Key Points:

  • Inversely tracks long-term U.S. Treasury performance with 3x leverage.
  • Focuses on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities exceeding 20 years.
  • Issued by Direxion Shares, a reputable ETF provider.
  • Offers amplified exposure to potential declines in long-term Treasury prices.
  • High liquidity and relatively tight bid-ask spread.

Risks:

  • High volatility due to leveraged nature.
  • Subject to market risks associated with long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.
  • Potential for significant losses if long-term Treasury prices rise.

Who Should Consider Investing:

  • Investors seeking to capitalize on short-term declines in long-term U.S. Treasury prices.
  • Investors with a high-risk tolerance and understanding of leveraged investment strategies.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI: 6.5/10

DRIP's fundamental analysis through an AI-based system yields a rating of 6.5 out of 10. This rating considers factors like the ETF's performance volatility, market liquidity, expense ratio, and management team's experience. While DRIP offers potential for amplified gains, its high volatility and sensitivity to market movements make it a suitable investment only for experienced investors with a high-risk tolerance.

Resources and Disclaimers:

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

Exchange NYSE ARCA
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date -
CEO -
Sector -
Industry -
Full time employees -
Website
Full time employees -
Website

The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80% of the fund"s net assets in financial instruments, that, in combination, provide 3X daily inverse (opposite) or short exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index, consistent with the fund"s investment objective. The index is a market value weighted index that includes publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than 20 years. It is non-diversified.

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