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Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TMV)TMV

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares
$37.05
Delayed price
Today's Top Picks Today’s top pick
Profit since last BUY17.43%
Strong Buy
upturn advisory
BUY since 27 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

11/13/2024: TMV (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 27 days. Profits (17.43%). Updated daily EoD!

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: ETF
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Strong Buy
Historic Profit: 86.96%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4
Avg. Invested days: 39
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5
Last Close 11/13/2024
Type: ETF
Today’s Advisory: Strong Buy
Historic Profit: 86.96%
Avg. Invested days: 39
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/13/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 2409316
Beta -6.23
52 Weeks Range 25.87 - 41.36
Updated Date 11/21/2024
52 Weeks Range 25.87 - 41.36
Updated Date 11/21/2024

AI Summarization

ETF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TMV)

Profile

TMV is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to deliver three times the daily inverse performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. This means it aims to offer a 300% return if the index falls 1%, and vice versa. TMV invests primarily in short-term Treasury futures contracts, utilizing a leveraged strategy to magnify returns.

Objective

The primary investment goal of TMV is to provide short-term exposure to the inverse performance of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds. This makes it suitable for investors who anticipate a decline in long-term Treasury bond prices and want to profit from it.

Issuer

TMV is issued by Direxion Investments, a leading provider of leveraged and inverse ETFs.

Reputation and Reliability: Direxion has a solid reputation in the ETF industry, known for its innovative products and commitment to transparency.

Management: Direxion's team comprises experienced professionals with a deep understanding of the financial markets and expertise in managing leveraged and inverse ETFs.

Market Share

TMV holds a small market share within the leveraged and inverse ETF space. However, it remains a popular choice for investors seeking exposure to the inverse performance of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.

Total Net Assets

As of October 26, 2023, TMV's total net assets are approximately $27 million.

Moat

TMV's competitive advantage lies in its unique strategy. By offering three times the inverse exposure, it caters to investors seeking amplified returns in a falling long-term Treasury bond market. Additionally, Direxion's experience and expertise in managing leveraged and inverse ETFs provide a level of trust and confidence for investors.

Financial Performance

Historical Performance: TMV has experienced significant volatility in its performance due to its leveraged nature. However, it has generally achieved its objective of providing inverse exposure to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.

Benchmark Comparison: TMV's performance is inversely correlated to the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. When the index falls, TMV typically delivers a threefold return, and vice versa.

Growth Trajectory

The growth trajectory of TMV is highly dependent on market conditions and investor sentiment towards long-term U.S. Treasury bonds. Periods of rising interest rates and expectations of falling bond prices could lead to increased demand for TMV.

Liquidity

Average Trading Volume: TMV's average daily trading volume is moderate, indicating sufficient liquidity for most investors.

Bid-Ask Spread: TMV's bid-ask spread is relatively low, suggesting minimal transaction costs associated with buying or selling the ETF.

Market Dynamics

Economic Indicators: Rising inflation and interest rate hikes can negatively impact long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, potentially driving demand for TMV.

Sector Growth Prospects: The growth prospects of the leveraged and inverse ETF sector are influenced by market volatility and investor risk appetite.

Current Market Conditions: Current market conditions, including geopolitical events and economic data releases, can impact investor sentiment towards long-term U.S. Treasury bonds and consequently, TMV.

Competitors

Key competitors of TMV include:

  • ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TTT)
  • VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short-Term ETN (TVIX)
  • Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TYO)

Expense Ratio

TMV's expense ratio is 0.95%, which includes management fees and other operational costs.

Investment Approach and Strategy

Strategy: TMV employs a leveraged strategy to deliver three times the inverse daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.

Composition: TMV primarily invests in short-term Treasury futures contracts to achieve its investment objective.

Key Points

  • TMV provides leveraged exposure to the inverse performance of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.
  • It is suitable for short-term investors anticipating a decline in long-term Treasury bond prices.
  • Direxion's experience and expertise in managing leveraged and inverse ETFs provide a level of trust and confidence for investors.
  • The ETF's performance is highly dependent on market conditions and investor sentiment.
  • TMV has a moderate average daily trading volume and a low bid-ask spread.

Risks

  • Volatility: TMV is a leveraged ETF, making it inherently more volatile than its underlying index.
  • Market Risk: TMV's performance is directly tied to the performance of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, exposing it to market risks.

Who Should Consider Investing

TMV is suitable for experienced investors with a high tolerance for risk and a short-term investment horizon. It aligns with investors who anticipate a decline in long-term U.S. Treasury bond prices and seek to profit from it.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI

Rating: 7/10

Justification: TMV offers a unique strategy with the potential for magnified returns in a declining long-term Treasury bond market. Direxion's expertise and experience in managing leveraged and inverse ETFs provide a level of trust and confidence for investors. However, the ETF's high volatility and dependence on market conditions require careful consideration before investing.

Resources and Disclaimers

Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80% of the fund"s net assets in financial instruments, that, in combination, provide 3X daily inverse (opposite) or short exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index, consistent with the fund"s investment objective. The index is a market value weighted index that includes publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than 20 years. It is non-diversified.

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