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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: TLT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -7.58% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | ETF Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 34741897 | Beta 2.13 | 52 Weeks Range 84.41 - 99.88 | Updated Date 02/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 84.41 - 99.88 | Updated Date 02/22/2025 |
AI Summary
US ETF iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
Profile:
- TLT is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that invests in U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities of over 20 years.
- It aims to track the performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, offering exposure to long-term government debt.
- The ETF's asset allocation is primarily focused on U.S. Treasury bonds, with minimal exposure to other fixed-income securities.
Objective:
- The primary investment goal of TLT is to provide investors with long-term capital appreciation and income generation through exposure to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.
Issuer:
- BlackRock:
- Reputation and Reliability: BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager, renowned for its strong reputation and long-standing track record in the financial industry.
- Management: BlackRock boasts a team of experienced and highly qualified professionals managing its ETF portfolio, including TLT.
Market Share:
- TLT is the largest and most actively traded ETF in the long-term Treasury bond category, with a market share exceeding 80%.
Total Net Assets:
- As of October 26, 2023, TLT has approximately $35 billion in total net assets.
Moat:
- TLT benefits from several competitive advantages:
- 规模和流动性: Its large size and high trading volume ensure tight bid-ask spreads and easy entry and exit for investors.
- 低成本: The ETF's expense ratio of 0.15% is significantly lower than comparable funds, making it a cost-effective investment option.
- 跟踪记录: TLT has a long and consistent track record of closely tracking its benchmark index, providing investors with reliable exposure to the long-term Treasury market.
Financial Performance:
- Historical Performance: TLT has generally delivered positive returns over the long term, with an average annual return of around 5% since its inception in 2002.
- Benchmark Comparison: TLT has consistently outperformed its benchmark index, the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, demonstrating its effectiveness in tracking the target market.
Growth Trajectory:
- The long-term outlook for TLT remains positive, driven by the continued demand for safe-haven assets like long-term Treasury bonds.
- Factors such as rising interest rates and economic uncertainty could further increase investor interest in TLT as a hedge against inflation and market volatility.
Liquidity:
- Average Trading Volume: TLT has a high average daily trading volume exceeding 10 million shares, ensuring high liquidity and ease of trading.
- Bid-Ask Spread: The ETF boasts a tight bid-ask spread, typically less than 0.01%, minimizing trading costs for investors.
Market Dynamics:
- Economic Indicators: Monetary policy decisions, inflation rates, and economic growth prospects significantly impact TLT's performance.
- Sector Growth Prospects: The long-term Treasury bond market is expected to remain stable and resilient, providing TLT with a solid foundation for growth.
- Current Market Conditions: Market volatility and uncertainty can drive increased demand for TLT as a safe-haven asset.
Competitors:
- Key competitors include Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) and SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF (SPTL).
Expense Ratio:
- TLT has an expense ratio of 0.15%, which is considered low compared to other ETFs in its category.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: TLT aims to track the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, providing investors with broad exposure to the long-term Treasury market.
- Composition: The ETF primarily holds U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities exceeding 20 years, offering investors a diversified portfolio of long-term government debt.
Key Points:
- TLT is the largest and most liquid ETF in the long-term Treasury bond category.
- It offers investors low-cost exposure to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.
- TLT has a strong track record of performance and is well-positioned for future growth.
Risks:
- Volatility: TLT's price can fluctuate due to changes in interest rates, economic conditions, and market sentiment.
- Market Risk: The ETF is subject to risks associated with the underlying bond market, such as interest rate risk and credit risk.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors seeking long-term capital appreciation and income generation.
- Investors looking for a safe-haven asset to hedge against inflation and market volatility.
- Investors with a long-term investment horizon.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
Based on an AI-based rating system, TLT receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is driven by the ETF's strong financial performance, market leadership, low expense ratio, and robust liquidity. However, investors should be aware of the potential risks associated with long-term Treasury bonds, such as interest rate volatility.
Resources and Disclaimers:
- Resources: Data and information used in this analysis were gathered from the following sources:
- iShares website
- BlackRock website
- Bloomberg Terminal
- Yahoo Finance
- Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and it will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that the advisor believes will help the fund track the underlying index. The underlying index measures the performance of public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have a remaining maturity greater than or equal to twenty years.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.