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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)TLT

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
$99.59
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY7.89%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 72 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: TLT (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: ETF
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -3.26%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: ETF
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -3.26%
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 34086050
Beta 2.12
52 Weeks Range 79.49 - 101.64
Updated Date 09/19/2024
52 Weeks Range 79.49 - 101.64
Updated Date 09/19/2024

AI Summarization

Overview of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT):

Profile:

  • Focus: TLT invests in U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities of over 20 years.
  • Asset allocation: 100% fixed income, specifically long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.
  • Investment strategy: Passively tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.

Objective:

  • Primary goal: Generate income and capital appreciation by tracking the performance of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.

Issuer:

  • Name: BlackRock Asset Management
  • Reputation and Reliability: BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager, with a strong reputation for financial stability and expertise.
  • Management: BlackRock has a team of experienced investment professionals managing TLT.

Market Share:

  • TLT is the largest and most liquid ETF in the long-term Treasury bond market, with a market share of over 80%.

Total Net Assets:

  • As of November 17, 2023, TLT has approximately $33.21 billion in assets under management.

Moat:

  • TLT has a strong moat due to its:
    • First-mover advantage: It was the first ETF to offer exposure to long-term Treasury bonds.
    • Scale and liquidity: Its large size and high trading volume make it easy for investors to buy and sell shares.
    • Low cost: TLT has an expense ratio of only 0.15%.

Financial Performance:

  • TLT has historically provided positive returns, although the magnitude varies based on interest rate movements.
  • Benchmark comparison: TLT closely tracks its benchmark index, indicating strong performance effectiveness.

Growth Trajectory:

  • The long-term outlook for TLT is positive, driven by the aging U.S. population and the need for safe-haven assets in portfolios.

Liquidity:

  • TLT has an average daily trading volume of over 20 million shares, making it a very liquid ETF.
  • The bid-ask spread is typically very tight, reflecting its high liquidity.

Market Dynamics:

  • TLT is impacted by:
    • Interest rate changes: Rising rates typically decrease the value of long-term bonds, while falling rates increase it.
    • Economic conditions: A strong economy may lead to higher interest rates, while a weak economy may lead to lower rates.

Competitors:

  • Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT): Market share of approximately 10%, expense ratio of 0.07%.
  • Schwab Long-Term Treasury ETF (SCHR): Market share of approximately 4%, expense ratio of 0.03%.

Expense Ratio:

  • TLT's expense ratio is 0.15%.

Investment Approach and Strategy:

  • Strategy: Passively tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.
  • Composition: Holds a diversified portfolio of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.

Key Points:

  • TLT provides investors with low-cost exposure to the long-term U.S. Treasury bond market.
  • It is a highly liquid ETF with a strong track record of performance.
  • TLT is suitable for investors seeking income and capital appreciation with a long-term investment horizon and a moderate risk tolerance.

Risks:

  • Volatility: Interest rate movements can significantly impact TLT's price.
  • Market Risk: The overall performance of the long-term U.S. Treasury bond market can affect TLT.

Who Should Consider Investing:

  • Investors seeking low-cost exposure to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.
  • Investors with a long-term investment horizon and a moderate risk tolerance.
  • Investors looking for income and capital appreciation.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI:

  • Rating: 8/10
  • Justification: TLT has a strong track record, low expense ratio, and high liquidity. Its exposure to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds provides diversification and potential for stable returns. However, its price is sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.

Resources and Disclaimers:

  • Sources: iShares.com, BlackRock.com, Bloomberg Terminal, ETF Database
  • Disclaimer: This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and it will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that the advisor believes will help the fund track the underlying index. The underlying index measures the performance of public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have a remaining maturity greater than or equal to twenty years.

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