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ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: TBT (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 81.43% | Upturn Advisory Performance 5 | Avg. Invested days: 52 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 81.43% | Avg. Invested days: 52 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 5 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 766840 | Beta -4.22 |
52 Weeks Range 27.61 - 37.59 | Updated Date 12/21/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 27.61 - 37.59 | Updated Date 12/21/2024 |
AI Summarization
ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) ETF Overview
Profile:
- Target Sector: Treasury bonds with maturities greater than 20 years.
- Asset Allocation: Primarily invests in Treasury bonds and futures contracts.
- Investment Strategy: Seeks to deliver daily investment results that are -2x the daily performance of the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.
Objective:
- To provide investors with an opportunity to achieve short-term negative returns that are twice the inverse of the performance of the long-term Treasury bond market.
Issuer:
- Company: ProShares
- Reputation and Reliability: ProShares is a well-established ETF issuer with a strong track record and a diverse range of products.
- Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced portfolio managers with expertise in fixed income markets.
Market Share:
- TBT is one of the largest and most popular inverse Treasury bond ETFs, with a significant market share in its sector.
Total Net Assets:
- As of November 1, 2023, TBT has approximately $2.5 billion in assets under management.
Moat:
- Unique Strategy: TBT offers a unique and effective way to gain short-term exposure to the long-term Treasury bond market.
- Liquidity: TBT is a highly liquid ETF with a large average daily trading volume.
- Experience: ProShares has a proven track record in managing inverse and short-term ETFs.
Financial Performance:
- TBT has historically delivered returns that are inversely correlated to the performance of the long-term Treasury bond market.
- The ETF has experienced periods of significant gains and losses depending on market conditions.
Benchmark Comparison:
- TBT's performance is compared to the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, with the goal of delivering returns that are -2x the inverse of the index.
Growth Trajectory:
- The growth trajectory of TBT is dependent on market conditions and investor demand for short-term exposure to the long-term Treasury bond market.
Liquidity:
- Average Trading Volume: High, with over 10 million shares traded daily.
- Bid-Ask Spread: Tight, typically around 0.01%.
Market Dynamics:
- Key factors affecting TBT's market environment include:
- Interest rate changes
- Inflation expectations
- Economic growth prospects
- Investor sentiment
Competitors:
- Key competitors include:
- Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 2X Shares (TMV)
- VelocityShares Daily 20+ Year U.S. Treasury Bear 2x ETN (DTYS)
Expense Ratio:
- 0.95%
Investment approach and strategy:
- Strategy: Inversely track the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.
- Composition: Primarily invests in Treasury bonds and futures contracts.
Key Points:
- TBT offers a unique and effective way to gain short-term exposure to the long-term Treasury bond market.
- The ETF is highly liquid and has a low expense ratio.
- TBT is suitable for investors who believe that long-term Treasury bond prices will decline in the short term.
Risks:
- Volatility: TBT is a volatile ETF, with returns that can fluctuate significantly.
- Market Risk: TBT is exposed to the risks of the long-term Treasury bond market, including interest rate changes and inflation.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors who believe that long-term Treasury bond prices will decline in the short term.
- Investors who are comfortable with high levels of volatility.
- Investors who are seeking a short-term hedge against rising interest rates.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI
7/10
TBT has a strong track record, is highly liquid, and has a low expense ratio. However, its dependence on market conditions and suitability for short-term trading limit its overall score.
Resources and Disclaimers:
- Information for this analysis was gathered from the ProShares website, ETF.com, and Yahoo Finance.
- This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury
The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. The index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than or equal to twenty years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value, excluding amounts held by the Federal Reserve. The fund is non-diversified.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.