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ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/24/2025: TBF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 37.37% | Avg. Invested days 61 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | ETF Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 181947 | Beta -2.17 | 52 Weeks Range 20.90 - 25.17 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 20.90 - 25.17 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
Upturn AI SWOT
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury
ETF Overview
Overview
The ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide inverse exposure to the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It aims to profit from declines in long-term U.S. Treasury bond prices. It is a leveraged fund that seeks to deliver twice the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of its index. It is focused on the bond market and primarily invests to achieve this inverse correlation.
Reputation and Reliability
ProShares is a well-known issuer with a solid reputation for offering sophisticated and leveraged ETFs.
Management Expertise
ProShares has a team of experienced professionals specializing in structured and leveraged investment products.
Investment Objective
Goal
To deliver twice the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: The ETF employs a daily reset leveraged strategy to achieve its inverse objective.
Composition The ETF primarily uses financial instruments like swap agreements to achieve its target, rather than directly holding bonds.
Market Position
Market Share: Details on TBT's market share require access to real-time market data which I do not have.
Total Net Assets (AUM): 1440000000
Competitors
Key Competitors
- Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TMV)
- Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF (PFIX)
- iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
Competitive Landscape
The competitive landscape includes other inverse and leveraged Treasury ETFs. TBT's advantage lies in its established presence and trading volume. A disadvantage includes its daily reset feature, which can lead to performance erosion over longer periods, especially in volatile markets. TLT, while not inverse, competes for investment dollars that could otherwise go to TBT, if an investor chooses a long term strategy. TMV is also leveraged and inverse, making it a closer competitor. PFIX uses options to hedge against interest rate increases.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: Historical performance data can be found on financial websites and should be reviewed before investing.
Benchmark Comparison: Compare the ETF's daily performance to twice the inverse of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.
Expense Ratio: 0.92
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume
TBT has high liquidity, which is generally indicated by average daily trading volume of several million shares.
Bid-Ask Spread
TBT generally has a tight bid-ask spread, reflecting its high liquidity.
Market Dynamics
Market Environment Factors
Interest rate expectations, inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and economic growth all significantly impact TBT's performance.
Growth Trajectory
TBT's growth trajectory depends on investor sentiment regarding interest rates and the overall bond market. There haven't been changes to the strategy or holdings.
Moat and Competitive Advantages
Competitive Edge
TBT's primary advantage lies in providing a straightforward way for investors to profit from declining Treasury bond prices. It is well-established with high trading volume and tight bid-ask spreads. It offers double-leveraged inverse exposure, allowing investors to potentially amplify their returns in a down market. However, this leverage also amplifies losses if Treasury bond prices rise. Investors need to understand the daily reset feature and its potential impact on long-term performance.
Risk Analysis
Volatility
TBT is highly volatile due to its leveraged and inverse nature.
Market Risk
The primary market risk is that Treasury bond prices increase, leading to losses for TBT investors.
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
TBT is suitable for sophisticated investors with a high-risk tolerance who understand leveraged and inverse ETFs. Investors who believe that long-term U.S. Treasury bond prices will decline and seek short-term tactical exposure should invest in it.
Market Risk
TBT is best suited for active traders with a short-term investment horizon, not for long-term investors or passive index followers.
Summary
The ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) offers a leveraged inverse exposure to long-term Treasury bonds, allowing investors to profit from expected declines in bond prices. It is a high-risk, high-reward investment that should be used strategically by sophisticated traders. The daily reset feature and leverage amplify both gains and losses, making it unsuitable for long-term, buy-and-hold investors. TBT's performance is highly sensitive to interest rate movements and economic factors, requiring careful monitoring and a strong understanding of bond market dynamics.
Similar Companies
IEF

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF


IEF

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
PFIX

Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF


PFIX

Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF
SHY

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF


SHY

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF


TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TMV

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares


TMV

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- ProShares Official Website
- SEC Filings
- Bloomberg
- Yahoo Finance
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. The index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than or equal to twenty years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value, excluding amounts held by the Federal Reserve. The fund is non-diversified.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.