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TBF
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$24.09
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

03/24/2025: TBF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type ETF
Historic Profit 37.37%
Avg. Invested days 61
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/24/2025

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 181947
Beta -2.17
52 Weeks Range 20.90 - 25.17
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 20.90 - 25.17
Updated Date 04/2/2025

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury

stock logo

ETF Overview

overview logo Overview

The ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide inverse exposure to the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It aims to profit from declines in long-term U.S. Treasury bond prices. It is a leveraged fund that seeks to deliver twice the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of its index. It is focused on the bond market and primarily invests to achieve this inverse correlation.

reliability logo Reputation and Reliability

ProShares is a well-known issuer with a solid reputation for offering sophisticated and leveraged ETFs.

reliability logo Management Expertise

ProShares has a team of experienced professionals specializing in structured and leveraged investment products.

Investment Objective

overview logo Goal

To deliver twice the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.

Investment Approach and Strategy

Strategy: The ETF employs a daily reset leveraged strategy to achieve its inverse objective.

Composition The ETF primarily uses financial instruments like swap agreements to achieve its target, rather than directly holding bonds.

Market Position

Market Share: Details on TBT's market share require access to real-time market data which I do not have.

Total Net Assets (AUM): 1440000000

Competitors

overview logo Key Competitors

  • Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TMV)
  • Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF (PFIX)
  • iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape includes other inverse and leveraged Treasury ETFs. TBT's advantage lies in its established presence and trading volume. A disadvantage includes its daily reset feature, which can lead to performance erosion over longer periods, especially in volatile markets. TLT, while not inverse, competes for investment dollars that could otherwise go to TBT, if an investor chooses a long term strategy. TMV is also leveraged and inverse, making it a closer competitor. PFIX uses options to hedge against interest rate increases.

Financial Performance

Historical Performance: Historical performance data can be found on financial websites and should be reviewed before investing.

Benchmark Comparison: Compare the ETF's daily performance to twice the inverse of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.

Expense Ratio: 0.92

Liquidity

Average Trading Volume

TBT has high liquidity, which is generally indicated by average daily trading volume of several million shares.

Bid-Ask Spread

TBT generally has a tight bid-ask spread, reflecting its high liquidity.

Market Dynamics

Market Environment Factors

Interest rate expectations, inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and economic growth all significantly impact TBT's performance.

Growth Trajectory

TBT's growth trajectory depends on investor sentiment regarding interest rates and the overall bond market. There haven't been changes to the strategy or holdings.

Moat and Competitive Advantages

Competitive Edge

TBT's primary advantage lies in providing a straightforward way for investors to profit from declining Treasury bond prices. It is well-established with high trading volume and tight bid-ask spreads. It offers double-leveraged inverse exposure, allowing investors to potentially amplify their returns in a down market. However, this leverage also amplifies losses if Treasury bond prices rise. Investors need to understand the daily reset feature and its potential impact on long-term performance.

Risk Analysis

Volatility

TBT is highly volatile due to its leveraged and inverse nature.

Market Risk

The primary market risk is that Treasury bond prices increase, leading to losses for TBT investors.

Investor Profile

Ideal Investor Profile

TBT is suitable for sophisticated investors with a high-risk tolerance who understand leveraged and inverse ETFs. Investors who believe that long-term U.S. Treasury bond prices will decline and seek short-term tactical exposure should invest in it.

Market Risk

TBT is best suited for active traders with a short-term investment horizon, not for long-term investors or passive index followers.

Summary

The ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) offers a leveraged inverse exposure to long-term Treasury bonds, allowing investors to profit from expected declines in bond prices. It is a high-risk, high-reward investment that should be used strategically by sophisticated traders. The daily reset feature and leverage amplify both gains and losses, making it unsuitable for long-term, buy-and-hold investors. TBT's performance is highly sensitive to interest rate movements and economic factors, requiring careful monitoring and a strong understanding of bond market dynamics.

Similar Companies

IEFratingrating

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PFIXratingrating

Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF

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SHYratingrating

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SHYratingrating

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF

$82.48
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TLTratingrating

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

$91.49
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Consider higher Upturn Star rating
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TLTratingrating

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

$91.49
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Consider higher Upturn Star rating

TMVratingrating

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

$33.84
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0%
PASS

TMVratingrating

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

$33.84
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0%
PASS

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • ProShares Official Website
  • SEC Filings
  • Bloomberg
  • Yahoo Finance

Disclaimers:

The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury

Exchange NYSE ARCA
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date -
CEO -
Sector -
Industry -
Full time employees -
Website
Full time employees -
Website

The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. The index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than or equal to twenty years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value, excluding amounts held by the Federal Reserve. The fund is non-diversified.

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