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Direxion Daily S&P500® Bull 3X Shares (SPXL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/13/2025: SPXL (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 19.76% | Avg. Invested days 50 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | ETF Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/13/2025 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 3694236 | Beta 3 | 52 Weeks Range 98.88 - 189.99 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 98.88 - 189.99 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
AI Summary
ETF Overview: Direxion Daily S&P500® Bull 3X Shares (SPXL)
Profile:
- Target Sector: Broad Market (S&P 500 Index)
- Asset Allocation: Invests in S&P 500 index futures contracts to achieve 3x daily leverage to the index's performance.
- Investment Strategy: Uses leverage to amplify daily returns of the S&P 500, aiming to deliver triple the index's performance (before fees and expenses).
Objective:
- Primary Goal: To provide investors with an opportunity to magnify their daily returns based on the S&P 500's performance.
Issuer:
- Company: Direxion Shares
- Reputation & Reliability: Direxion has a strong reputation in the leveraged and inverse ETF space, with over $30 billion in assets under management. However, their funds are known for their volatility and complexity.
- Management: The firm employs experienced portfolio managers specializing in developing and managing leveraged and inverse ETFs.
Market Share & Assets:
- Market Share: SPXL holds a significant market share within the leveraged S&P 500 ETF space.
- Total Net Assets: Approximately $2.4 billion (as of November 2023)
Moat:
- Leveraged Exposure: Offers 3x exposure to the S&P 500, potentially providing amplified returns compared to traditional S&P 500 ETFs.
- Experienced Management: Direxion's team has expertise in managing leveraged and inverse ETFs.
Financial Performance:
- Historical Performance: SPXL has historically outperformed the S&P 500 during periods of rising markets but has underperformed during periods of decline. This is due to the compounding effect of leverage.
- Benchmark Comparison: SPXL's performance is closely tied to the S&P 500, with amplified returns both positive and negative.
Growth Trajectory:
- Growth Potential: The ETF's growth is directly tied to the S&P 500's performance and investor demand for leveraged exposure.
Liquidity:
- Average Trading Volume: High, indicating good liquidity.
- Bid-Ask Spread: Relatively tight, suggesting low trading costs.
Market Dynamics:
- Economic Indicators: SPXL is sensitive to economic factors influencing the S&P 500, such as interest rates, inflation, and economic growth.
- Sector Growth Prospects: The ETF benefits from positive growth prospects in the overall stock market.
- Current Market Conditions: Market volatility can significantly impact SPXL's performance.
Competitors:
- ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (UPRO): Market share: 20.34%
- TQQQ (3x Long Nasdaq 100 Index Tracking Fund): Market share: 15.25%
Expense Ratio:
- Expense Ratio: 0.95%
Investment Approach & Strategy:
- Strategy: Tracks the S&P 500 with 3x leverage using S&P 500 index futures contracts.
- Composition: Primarily holds S&P 500 index futures contracts.
Key Points:
- Amplifies daily returns of the S&P 500.
- Suitable for short-term, aggressive investors seeking magnified exposure to the S&P 500.
- High volatility and complex structure.
Risks:
- Volatility: SPXL experiences significantly higher volatility than the S&P 500.
- Market Risk: The ETF's value is directly tied to the S&P 500's performance, exposing investors to potential losses during market downturns.
- Tracking Error: SPXL may not perfectly track the S&P 500's 3x daily return due to factors like compounding and fees.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Experienced, aggressive investors with a high-risk tolerance.
- Investors seeking short-term exposure to the S&P 500 with magnified returns.
- Investors comfortable with complex financial instruments and volatility.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI: 6.5/10
While SPXL offers the potential for amplified returns, its high volatility and complexity make it a risky investment. The AI rating reflects these factors, acknowledging the ETF's potential but also highlighting the associated risks.
Resources:
- Direxion Website: https://www.direxion.com/etfs/spxl
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPXL/?guccounter=1
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Conduct thorough research and consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
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The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus borrowing for investment purposes) in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of the index, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the index, that, in combination, provide 3X daily leveraged exposure to the index, consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index is designed to be comprised of stocks that are the 500 leading, large-cap U.S.-listed issuers. The fund is non-diversified.
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