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Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (SMST)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: SMST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -46.7% | Avg. Invested days 14 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | ETF Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 26128543 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 1.71 - 23.68 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.71 - 23.68 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Upturn AI SWOT
Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF
ETF Overview
Overview
The Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (MSTY) aims to deliver 1.5 times the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) stock. It employs a leveraged short strategy, designed for sophisticated investors seeking short-term gains or hedging against potential declines in MSTR. Due to its leveraged nature, it is not suitable for long-term investments.
Reputation and Reliability
Defiance ETFs is a relatively new player in the ETF market, known for its thematic and innovative ETF offerings. Their reliability is still being established compared to larger, more established ETF providers.
Management Expertise
Defiance ETFs' management team possesses experience in developing and managing specialized ETFs. Their expertise lies in creating and managing leveraged and thematic investment products.
Investment Objective
Goal
To seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, corresponding to one and one-half times (1.5x) the inverse (-1.5x) of the daily performance of the common stock of MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR).
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: The ETF employs a leveraged strategy to achieve its investment objective, using financial instruments such as swap agreements, futures contracts, and options to magnify the inverse daily performance of MSTR.
Composition The ETF's assets primarily consist of financial instruments designed to create leveraged short exposure to MSTR. It does not directly hold MSTR shares.
Market Position
Market Share: MSTY holds a small market share within the leveraged inverse single-stock ETF category.
Total Net Assets (AUM): 3686000
Competitors
Key Competitors
- GraniteShares 1.75x Short Tesla Daily ETF (TSDD)
- Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X ETF (TSLS)
- GraniteShares 1.25x Long Tesla Daily ETF (TSLY)
Competitive Landscape
The leveraged ETF market is highly competitive, with numerous providers offering various levels of leverage and exposure to different assets. MSTY's competitive advantage lies in its specific focus on providing leveraged short exposure to MicroStrategy. However, it faces competition from other leveraged and inverse ETFs, and its success depends on MSTR's performance and investor demand for short exposure. The high volatility and inherent risks of leveraged ETFs make it a challenging market for all participants.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: Historical performance is highly dependent on MSTR's price movements. Due to the leveraged nature, returns can be significantly amplified, both positively and negatively. Data is limited due to the relatively new inception date of the ETF.
Benchmark Comparison: The ETF's benchmark is -1.5x the daily performance of MSTR. Tracking error can occur due to fees, expenses, and the complexities of leveraged investing.
Expense Ratio: 1.15
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume
The average daily trading volume for MSTY is relatively moderate, indicating sufficient liquidity for most retail investors.
Bid-Ask Spread
The bid-ask spread can be wider than more liquid ETFs, reflecting the leveraged nature and the underlying asset's volatility.
Market Dynamics
Market Environment Factors
Economic indicators, cryptocurrency market sentiment (given MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings), and overall market volatility all significantly impact MSTY's performance. Any news or events affecting MicroStrategy directly influence the ETF.
Growth Trajectory
The ETF's growth trajectory is directly tied to the demand for leveraged short exposure to MSTR. Changes in investor sentiment towards MicroStrategy and Bitcoin will drive fluctuations in assets under management and trading volume. The strategy and holdings are unlikely to change significantly unless the ETF undergoes a fundamental restructuring.
Moat and Competitive Advantages
Competitive Edge
MSTY's primary advantage is its targeted exposure, offering a direct and leveraged way to bet against MicroStrategy's stock. This specificity can attract investors who have a strong conviction about MSTR's future performance. Its leveraged inverse exposure to a specific company differentiates it from broader market or sector ETFs. The ETF provides a tool for sophisticated investors seeking short-term tactical positions and hedging strategies related to MSTR.
Risk Analysis
Volatility
MSTY exhibits high volatility due to its leveraged nature and the underlying volatility of MSTR. Investors should expect significant price swings.
Market Risk
The primary market risk is tied to MSTR's performance, which is influenced by the cryptocurrency market (particularly Bitcoin), technology sector trends, and overall economic conditions. Leveraged ETFs are subject to increased risk of losses due to compounding and daily reset mechanisms.
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
MSTY is suitable for sophisticated investors with a high-risk tolerance who understand the complexities of leveraged ETFs and have a short-term negative outlook on MSTR. This is not for beginners.
Market Risk
MSTY is designed for active traders seeking short-term gains or hedging opportunities, not for long-term investors or passive index followers.
Summary
The Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (MSTY) is a leveraged inverse ETF designed to provide 1.5 times the inverse daily return of MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock. It is a high-risk, high-reward investment vehicle suitable for sophisticated traders with a short-term bearish outlook on MSTR. The ETF's performance is highly dependent on the volatility and price movements of MicroStrategy. Due to its leveraged nature, it is not appropriate for long-term investors and should be used with caution. Investors should carefully consider the risks and potential rewards before investing in MSTY.
Similar Companies
- TSDD
- TSLS
- SQQQ
- UVIX
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Defiance ETFs Website
- ETF.com
- SEC Filings
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in ETFs involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Leveraged ETFs are inherently risky and should be thoroughly understood before investing.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The fund advisor has adopted a policy to have at least 80% of its investment exposure to financial instruments with economic characteristics that should provide 2 times the inverse exposure to the daily performance of the underlying security. The fund is non-diversified.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.