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SMST
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (SMST)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$3.59
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: SMST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type ETF
Historic Profit -46.7%
Avg. Invested days 14
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 26128543
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 1.71 - 23.68
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.71 - 23.68
Updated Date 04/1/2025

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF

stock logo

ETF Overview

overview logo Overview

The Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (MSTY) aims to deliver 1.5 times the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) stock. It employs a leveraged short strategy, designed for sophisticated investors seeking short-term gains or hedging against potential declines in MSTR. Due to its leveraged nature, it is not suitable for long-term investments.

reliability logo Reputation and Reliability

Defiance ETFs is a relatively new player in the ETF market, known for its thematic and innovative ETF offerings. Their reliability is still being established compared to larger, more established ETF providers.

reliability logo Management Expertise

Defiance ETFs' management team possesses experience in developing and managing specialized ETFs. Their expertise lies in creating and managing leveraged and thematic investment products.

Investment Objective

overview logo Goal

To seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, corresponding to one and one-half times (1.5x) the inverse (-1.5x) of the daily performance of the common stock of MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR).

Investment Approach and Strategy

Strategy: The ETF employs a leveraged strategy to achieve its investment objective, using financial instruments such as swap agreements, futures contracts, and options to magnify the inverse daily performance of MSTR.

Composition The ETF's assets primarily consist of financial instruments designed to create leveraged short exposure to MSTR. It does not directly hold MSTR shares.

Market Position

Market Share: MSTY holds a small market share within the leveraged inverse single-stock ETF category.

Total Net Assets (AUM): 3686000

Competitors

overview logo Key Competitors

  • GraniteShares 1.75x Short Tesla Daily ETF (TSDD)
  • Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X ETF (TSLS)
  • GraniteShares 1.25x Long Tesla Daily ETF (TSLY)

Competitive Landscape

The leveraged ETF market is highly competitive, with numerous providers offering various levels of leverage and exposure to different assets. MSTY's competitive advantage lies in its specific focus on providing leveraged short exposure to MicroStrategy. However, it faces competition from other leveraged and inverse ETFs, and its success depends on MSTR's performance and investor demand for short exposure. The high volatility and inherent risks of leveraged ETFs make it a challenging market for all participants.

Financial Performance

Historical Performance: Historical performance is highly dependent on MSTR's price movements. Due to the leveraged nature, returns can be significantly amplified, both positively and negatively. Data is limited due to the relatively new inception date of the ETF.

Benchmark Comparison: The ETF's benchmark is -1.5x the daily performance of MSTR. Tracking error can occur due to fees, expenses, and the complexities of leveraged investing.

Expense Ratio: 1.15

Liquidity

Average Trading Volume

The average daily trading volume for MSTY is relatively moderate, indicating sufficient liquidity for most retail investors.

Bid-Ask Spread

The bid-ask spread can be wider than more liquid ETFs, reflecting the leveraged nature and the underlying asset's volatility.

Market Dynamics

Market Environment Factors

Economic indicators, cryptocurrency market sentiment (given MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings), and overall market volatility all significantly impact MSTY's performance. Any news or events affecting MicroStrategy directly influence the ETF.

Growth Trajectory

The ETF's growth trajectory is directly tied to the demand for leveraged short exposure to MSTR. Changes in investor sentiment towards MicroStrategy and Bitcoin will drive fluctuations in assets under management and trading volume. The strategy and holdings are unlikely to change significantly unless the ETF undergoes a fundamental restructuring.

Moat and Competitive Advantages

Competitive Edge

MSTY's primary advantage is its targeted exposure, offering a direct and leveraged way to bet against MicroStrategy's stock. This specificity can attract investors who have a strong conviction about MSTR's future performance. Its leveraged inverse exposure to a specific company differentiates it from broader market or sector ETFs. The ETF provides a tool for sophisticated investors seeking short-term tactical positions and hedging strategies related to MSTR.

Risk Analysis

Volatility

MSTY exhibits high volatility due to its leveraged nature and the underlying volatility of MSTR. Investors should expect significant price swings.

Market Risk

The primary market risk is tied to MSTR's performance, which is influenced by the cryptocurrency market (particularly Bitcoin), technology sector trends, and overall economic conditions. Leveraged ETFs are subject to increased risk of losses due to compounding and daily reset mechanisms.

Investor Profile

Ideal Investor Profile

MSTY is suitable for sophisticated investors with a high-risk tolerance who understand the complexities of leveraged ETFs and have a short-term negative outlook on MSTR. This is not for beginners.

Market Risk

MSTY is designed for active traders seeking short-term gains or hedging opportunities, not for long-term investors or passive index followers.

Summary

The Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF (MSTY) is a leveraged inverse ETF designed to provide 1.5 times the inverse daily return of MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock. It is a high-risk, high-reward investment vehicle suitable for sophisticated traders with a short-term bearish outlook on MSTR. The ETF's performance is highly dependent on the volatility and price movements of MicroStrategy. Due to its leveraged nature, it is not appropriate for long-term investors and should be used with caution. Investors should carefully consider the risks and potential rewards before investing in MSTY.

Similar Companies

  • TSDD
  • TSLS
  • SQQQ
  • UVIX

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Defiance ETFs Website
  • ETF.com
  • SEC Filings

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in ETFs involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Leveraged ETFs are inherently risky and should be thoroughly understood before investing.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Defiance Daily Target 1.5x Short MSTR ETF

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date -
CEO -
Sector -
Industry -
Full time employees -
Website
Full time employees -
Website

The fund advisor has adopted a policy to have at least 80% of its investment exposure to financial instruments with economic characteristics that should provide 2 times the inverse exposure to the daily performance of the underlying security. The fund is non-diversified.

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