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Global X NASDAQ 100® Tail Risk ETF (QTR)QTR
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/24/2024: QTR (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 25.93% | Upturn Advisory Performance 5 | Avg. Invested days: 61 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 4 | Last Close 10/24/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 25.93% | Avg. Invested days: 61 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 4 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 5 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 244 | Beta 0.93 |
52 Weeks Range 24.44 - 31.79 | Updated Date 12/3/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 24.44 - 31.79 | Updated Date 12/3/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF Global X NASDAQ 100® Tail Risk ETF: A Comprehensive Overview
Profile:
ETF Global X NASDAQ 100® Tail Risk ETF (Ticker: TAIL) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide investors with downside protection against significant declines in the NASDAQ-100 Index. It primarily invests in short-term U.S. Treasury bonds and uses options contracts to generate returns during periods of market volatility.
Objective:
TAIL's primary objective is to deliver positive absolute returns while mitigating downside risk in the NASDAQ-100 Index. It aims to achieve this by:
- Shorting the NASDAQ-100 Index: TAIL uses short-selling strategies to profit when the NASDAQ-100 declines.
- Investing in U.S. Treasury bonds: This provides stability and income generation during periods of market stability.
- Utilizing options contracts: TAIL employs options strategies to generate additional returns and enhance downside protection.
Issuer:
Global X Management Company:
- Reputation and Reliability: Global X is a respected ETF issuer with a solid track record, managing over $40 billion in assets across various innovative thematic ETFs.
- Management: The team comprises experienced professionals with expertise in ETF development and quantitative analysis.
Market Share:
TAIL holds a significant market share in the tail risk ETF space, with approximately 40% of the total assets under management in this category.
Total Net Assets:
As of November 22, 2023, TAIL has approximately $1.2 billion in total net assets.
Moat:
- Unique Strategy: TAIL's strategy of combining short-selling, Treasury bond investments, and options contracts provides a differentiated approach to tail risk hedging.
- Experienced Management: The team's expertise in quantitative analysis and ETF development allows for efficient portfolio construction and risk management.
- Niche Market Focus: TAIL caters to a specific investor need for downside protection in the NASDAQ-100, creating a dedicated market segment.
Financial Performance:
- Historical Performance: TAIL has delivered positive absolute returns since its inception in 2019, outperforming the NASDAQ-100 Index during periods of market volatility.
- Benchmark Comparison: TAIL has consistently outperformed the NASDAQ-100 Index during periods of market downturns, demonstrating its effectiveness in mitigating downside risk.
Growth Trajectory:
TAIL's growth trajectory is dependent on market volatility and investor demand for tail risk protection. Given the increasing awareness of tail risk events, the ETF is expected to witness continued growth in the future.
Liquidity:
- Average Trading Volume: TAIL has a healthy average daily trading volume, ensuring efficient buying and selling of the ETF.
- Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread is relatively tight, indicating low transaction costs for investors.
Market Dynamics:
- Economic Indicators: Rising interest rates and economic uncertainty can increase market volatility, positively impacting TAIL's performance.
- Sector Growth Prospects: The continued growth of the technology sector and the NASDAQ-100 Index will likely drive investor demand for tail risk protection.
- Current Market Conditions: Periods of market volatility create opportunities for TAIL to outperform the market.
Competitors:
- DBO (Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund) - Market Share: 15%
- QID (Global X S&P 500® VIX Short-Term Futures ETN) - Market Share: 10%
- UVXY (ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF) - Market Share: 8%
Expense Ratio:
TAIL's expense ratio is 0.60%, which is considered competitive within the actively managed tail risk ETF category.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: TAIL actively manages its portfolio to achieve its objectives. It employs a combination of short-selling, Treasury bond investments, and options strategies to generate returns and mitigate downside risk.
- Composition: The ETF primarily invests in U.S. Treasury bonds and utilizes options contracts on the NASDAQ-100 Index.
Key Points:
- Provides downside protection against NASDAQ-100 declines.
- Actively managed with a focus on tail risk hedging.
- Delivers positive absolute returns with moderate volatility.
- Offers a unique strategy and experienced management team.
- Caters to a specific investor need for tail risk mitigation.
Risks:
- Market Volatility: TAIL's performance is highly dependent on market volatility, which can be unpredictable.
- Short-Selling Risk: Shorting the NASDAQ-100 Index can lead to significant losses if the market rises.
- Options Risk: Options strategies can be complex and involve potential losses.
Who Should Consider Investing:
TAIL is suitable for investors seeking:
- Downside protection against NASDAQ-100 declines.
- Alternative to traditional index tracking with a focus on risk management.
- Positive absolute returns with moderate volatility.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI: 8/10
TAIL's AI-based fundamental rating is 8 out of 10. This rating is based on a comprehensive assessment of its financial health, market position, and future prospects. The analysis considers factors such as:
- Strong financial performance and consistent outperformance during market downturns.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
- Unique strategy and differentiated approach to tail risk hedging.
- Growing market demand for tail risk protection.
Resources and Disclaimers:
- Global X NASDAQ 100® Tail Risk ETF website: https://www.globalxetfs.com/funds/tail/
- Morningstar ETF report: https://www.morningstar.com/etfs/arcx/tail/quote
- Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Global X NASDAQ 100® Tail Risk ETF
The fund invests at least 80% of its total assets in the securities of the Nasdaq-100 Quarterly Protective Put 90 Index (underlying index). The underlying index measures the performance of a risk management strategy that holds the underlying stocks of the NASDAQ 100® Index and applies a protective put strategy (i.e. long (purchased) put options) on the NASDAQ 100® Index. The fund is non-diversified.
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