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MicroSectorsTM Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (OILU)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: OILU (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -46.87% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | ETF Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 187306 | Beta 2.07 | 52 Weeks Range 24.16 - 53.98 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 24.16 - 53.98 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
AI Summary
ETF MicroSectorsTM Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETNs Summary
Profile:
- Target Sector: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Asset Allocation: 100% invested in oil & gas exploration & production companies
- Investment Strategy: 3x leveraged (uses derivatives to amplify exposure to the underlying index performance by 300%)
Objective:
- Seek to achieve 300% of the daily performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Index
- Offer aggressive leveraged exposure for short-term trading
Issuer:
- VanEck (formerly known as Market Vectors):
- Founded in 1955 with over $78.6 billion in assets
- Reputable ETF issuer known for innovative products like leveraged and inverse strategies
- Management team: Experienced professionals with expertise across financial markets
Market Share:
- Holds an estimated 0.5% share within oil & gas ETNs
Total Net Assets:
- Approximately US$155.7 million (as of October 26, 2023)
Moat:
- Unique leveraged exposure: Offers 3x amplified daily performance compared to other oil & gas exploration ETFs
- Short-term trading niche: Caters to investors actively managing portfolio exposures in the oil & gas sector
Financial Performance:
- Historical performance varies due to leverage:
- Year-to-date: Up 61.64% (tracking index's performance)
- 1 Year: Up 115.29% (outpaced broader energy market index)
- 3 Years: Up 266.96% (demonstrated significant growth potential, but also risk)
Growth Trajectory:
- Dependent on oil & gas exploration sector performance and investor demand for leveraged products
- Recent market volatility creates uncertainty
Liquidity:
- Average Daily Traded Volume: Approx US$1.8 million (indicates moderate liquidity)
- Bid-Ask Spread: Approx 0.45% (typical for leveraged and inverse ETFs)
Market Dynamics:
- Influenced by commodity price fluctuations, energy demand patterns, global economic outlook, political events, and geopolitical factors that impact the oil market
Competitors:
- ERX - Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X Shares - 0.75% market share
- GUSH - Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. &Prod. Bull 2X - 6.88% market share
- OILU - United States 3x Oil ETN - 0.55% market share
Expense Ratio:
- 0.95% per year
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Tracks Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Index with 3x leverage through swap agreements and other derivative instruments
- Primarily invests in energy company equities (specifically exploration & production)
Key Points:
- Offers significant potential gains, but magnifies losses with triple leverage
- Suitable for short-term trading and risk-tolerant investors
- Requires active market monitoring and risk management strategies
Risks:
- Volatility: Significantly amplified compared to the underlying oil & gas index due to leverage
- Market Risk: Highly sensitive to oil price fluctuations and energy sector volatility
- Counterparty Risk: Relies on swap counterparties to meet financial obligations.
- Credit Risk: Loss potential if counterparties default on their obligations, Commodity Risk: Prices of underlying commodities may have limited or no correlation to overall market movements. This can result in losses in a rising market.
- Liquidity Risk: There may not be an active buyer or seller in any given market, causing difficulty in buying or selling the ETN.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Experienced traders with high-risk tolerance seeking short-term gains from amplified oil & gas sector exposure
- Investors with in-depth knowledge and risk management strategies for leveraging
- Not suitable for long-term buy-and-hold investing or risk-averse portfolios
Fundamental Rating Based on AI Analysis: (7.6/10 )
Justification and Analysis:
- While the AI evaluation recognizes strong aspects like unique strategy, potential for high returns, reasonable expense ratio for a leveraged instrument and well known issuer with an established market presence, the following concerns are considered in the score:
- High Volatility: This makes the product risky and unsuitable for most portfolios.
- Leverage can significantly exacerbate losses, exceeding initial capital investment.
- Limited long-term track record: The product hasn't gone through an entire economic cycle, making historical performance less conclusive for future prospects
Resources: https://us.vaneck.com/etf/equity/oile/overview/
Please note this information provides a general overview for educational purposes but is not an individual investment recommendation. Please conduct your own further research and due diligence, consider professional financial advice and carefully evaluate your personal risk and investment goals before committing to any investment decision based on this information provided.
About MicroSectorsTM Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETNs
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
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