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Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/17/2024: NAIL (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 69.83% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 12/17/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 69.83% | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/17/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 308174 | Beta 4.37 |
52 Weeks Range 81.69 - 178.00 | Updated Date 12/21/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 81.69 - 178.00 | Updated Date 12/21/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL)
Profile
NAIL is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to deliver three times the daily performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index. It invests in financial instruments like swaps and futures contracts to achieve its leveraged objective. NAIL is designed for short-term, aggressive investors seeking amplified exposure to the U.S. homebuilding and supplies sector.
Objective
The primary objective of NAIL is to provide investors with leveraged exposure to the daily performance of the homebuilding and supplies sector. This means that the ETF aims to generate returns that are three times the daily movement of the underlying index.
Issuer
Direxion Investments
- Reputation and Reliability: Direxion Investments is a leading provider of leveraged and inverse ETFs, with a strong reputation for innovation and product development.
- Management: The firm boasts a seasoned investment team with extensive experience in managing leveraged and inverse products.
Market Share
NAIL holds a significant share of the leveraged homebuilding and supplies ETF market.
Total Net Assets
As of October 26, 2023, NAIL has approximately $122.27 million in total net assets.
Moat
- Leveraged Exposure: NAIL provides investors with amplified exposure to the homebuilding and supplies sector, offering potential for higher returns.
- Target Sector Focus: The ETF's specific focus on a single sector allows for concentrated exposure and potentially higher returns compared to broader market ETFs.
- Experienced Management: Direxion's expertise in managing leveraged and inverse ETFs provides investors with confidence in the ETF's execution.
Financial Performance
- Historical Performance: NAIL has experienced periods of strong performance, particularly during rallies in the housing market. However, due to its leveraged nature, the ETF has also experienced significant drawdowns during market downturns.
- Benchmark Comparison: NAIL has generally outperformed its benchmark index, the Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index, but with increased volatility.
Growth Trajectory
The growth trajectory of NAIL is heavily dependent on the performance of the underlying homebuilding and supplies sector. Positive trends in housing starts, construction spending, and overall economic growth could drive the ETF higher.
Liquidity
- Average Trading Volume: NAIL has a relatively high average trading volume, indicating good liquidity.
- Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread for NAIL is typically tight, signifying low trading costs.
Market Dynamics
Factors affecting NAIL's market environment include:
- Economic Indicators: Interest rates, housing starts, and consumer confidence play a crucial role in the performance of the homebuilding and supplies sector.
- Sector Growth Prospects: The overall outlook for the housing market and construction industry significantly impacts the ETF's performance.
- Current Market Conditions: Market volatility and investor sentiment can significantly impact the ETF's performance.
Competitors
- 3x Long Homebuilders ETF (DRV): 12.7% market share
- ProShares Ultra Homebuilders ETF (HOMZ): 6.4% market share
- Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 2X Shares (DBL): 5.2% market share
Expense Ratio
NAIL has an expense ratio of 0.95%.
Investment Approach and Strategy
- Strategy: NAIL aims to track three times the daily performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index using swaps and futures contracts.
- Composition: The ETF primarily invests in financial instruments linked to the underlying index instead of directly holding stocks.
Key Points
- NAIL offers leveraged exposure to the homebuilding and supplies sector, aiming for triple the daily return of the underlying index.
- The ETF is designed for short-term, aggressive investors with a high risk tolerance.
- NAIL's performance is heavily influenced by the housing market and economic conditions.
- Investors should be aware of the amplified volatility associated with leveraged ETFs.
Risks
- Volatility: Due to its leverage, NAIL experiences significantly higher volatility than the underlying index, leading to potential for amplified losses.
- Market Risk: The ETF's performance is directly tied to the homebuilding and supplies sector, which can be susceptible to economic downturns and market fluctuations.
- Tracking Error: NAIL might not perfectly replicate the triple daily performance of its benchmark index due to factors like fees and trading costs.
Who Should Consider Investing
NAIL is suitable for investors seeking:
- Short-term exposure to the homebuilding and supplies sector
- Amplified returns through leverage
- High-risk tolerance
Fundamental Rating Based on AI
Based on an AI analysis, NAIL receives a 7 out of 10 rating. The ETF's strong market position, experienced management, and potential for high returns contribute to its positive rating. However, the inherent volatility and risk associated with leveraged products warrant a cautious approach.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Investing involves risk, and you could lose money. It is crucial to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares
The fund invests at least 80% of its net assets in financial instruments, that, in combination, provide 3X daily leveraged exposure to the index, consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index measures U.S. companies in the home construction sector that provide a wide range of products and services related to homebuilding, including home construction and producers, sellers and suppliers of building materials, furnishings and fixtures and etc. It is non-diversified.
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