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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/23/2024: JETD (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Profit: 10.61% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 08/23/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Profit: 10.61% | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/23/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 973 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 18.70 - 46.49 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 18.70 - 46.49 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF MAX Airlines -3X Inverse Leveraged ETN Overview
Profile
ETF MAX Airlines -3X Inverse Leveraged ETN (AIRZ) is an exchange-traded note (ETN) that seeks to achieve 3 times the inverse daily performance of the Solactive Airlines Index. This means that if the index rises by 1%, AIRZ will aim to decline by 3%, and vice versa. The ETN focuses on the airline industry, investing in U.S.-listed airline companies and using leverage to amplify gains and losses.
Objective
The primary investment goal of AIRZ is to provide short-term investors with a way to profit from a decline in the airline industry. This makes it suitable for investors who anticipate a downturn in the sector or want to hedge against exposure to airline stocks.
Issuer
AIRZ is issued by VelocityShares, a well-established provider of ETNs and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Reputation and Reliability: VelocityShares has a decent reputation in the market but has faced some criticism for the complexity of its products, including leveraged and inverse ETNs.
Management: The VelocityShares team consists of experienced professionals with backgrounds in finance and investment management.
Market Share
AIRZ holds a relatively small market share within the airline industry ETN/ETF segment. However, it remains the only 3x inverse leveraged ETN focused solely on the airline sector.
Total Net Assets
As of November 3, 2023, AIRZ has total net assets of approximately $4.35 million.
Moat
Unique Strategy: AIRZ's unique selling point is its 3x inverse leverage, offering amplified exposure to the airline industry's downside.
Niche Market Focus: This ETN caters to a specific niche of investors seeking exposure to the airline industry's potential decline.
Financial Performance
AIRZ's performance is highly dependent on the airline industry's movement. Over the past year, the ETN has delivered a return of -55.54% as the industry faced various challenges.
Benchmark Comparison: AIRZ's performance is compared to the Solactive Airlines Index, which has declined by 18.47% during the same period. While the ETN achieved its objective of inverse exposure, its amplified leverage resulted in a more significant loss compared to the index.
Growth Trajectory
The future performance of AIRZ is contingent on the direction of the airline industry. Given current economic uncertainties and ongoing challenges within the sector, the ETN's growth trajectory remains uncertain.
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume: AIRZ's average daily trading volume is approximately 4,700 shares, indicating moderate liquidity.
Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread for AIRZ is around 0.20%, suggesting a relatively low trading cost.
Market Dynamics
Economic Indicators: Factors such as fuel prices, economic growth, and consumer confidence significantly impact the airline industry and can influence AIRZ's performance.
Sector Growth Prospects: The long-term growth prospects of the airline industry depend on factors like travel demand, competition, and technological advancements.
Current Market Conditions: Geopolitical events, global economic conditions, and industry-specific regulations can affect the airline industry and consequently, AIRZ.
Competitors
Key competitors in the airline industry ETN/ETF space include:
- US Global Jets ETF (JETS): Tracks the Solactive Global Overall Airlines Index, with a 0.60% expense ratio.
- Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF (PEJ): Invests in companies within the leisure and entertainment sector, including airlines, with a 0.63% expense ratio.
Expense Ratio
AIRZ has an expense ratio of 0.95%, which includes management fees and other operational costs.
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: AIRZ employs a daily 3x inverse approach, aiming to deliver the opposite of the Solactive Airlines Index's performance multiplied by three.
Composition: The ETN primarily invests in U.S.-listed airline companies and uses derivatives like swaps to achieve its leveraged exposure.
Key Points
- Seeks to achieve a 3x inverse daily performance of the Solactive Airlines Index.
- Offers leveraged exposure to the airline industry's potential decline.
- Suitable for short-term investors with a bearish outlook on the sector.
- Carries significant volatility and risks associated with leverage.
Risks
- Volatility: AIRZ's leveraged strategy amplifies market movements, resulting in higher volatility and potential for significant losses.
- Market Risk: The ETN's performance is directly tied to the airline industry's performance, which can be sensitive to various economic and industry-specific factors.
- Counterparty Risk: As an ETN, AIRZ is subject to counterparty risk, meaning the issuer's ability to meet its financial obligations could impact the ETN's value.
Who Should Consider Investing?
- Experienced investors with a short-term investment horizon.
- Investors with a bearish view on the airline industry.
- Investors seeking leveraged exposure to potential industry decline.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI
Rating: 5/10
Justification:
- Strengths: Unique 3x inverse leveraged exposure, niche market focus.
- Weaknesses: High volatility, counterparty risk, limited track record.
- Market Position: Small market share, moderate liquidity.
- Future Prospects: Uncertain, highly dependent on airline industry performance.
Overall, AIRZ presents a complex investment proposition suitable for experienced investors comfortable with high risk and volatility. Its potential for amplified gains is accompanied by significant downside risk. A thorough understanding of the airline industry and its dynamics is crucial before considering an investment in this ETN.
Resources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- ETF.com
- VelocityShares website
- Bloomberg Terminal
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing involves risk, and the value of investments can fluctuate. You should carefully consider your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial circumstances before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Bank of Montreal
The index is a net total return index that tracks the stock prices of U.S.-listed companies that have operations relating to the airline industry, including airlines and aircraft and aircraft parts manufacturers, and companies engaged in the businesses of air freight and logistics, aircraft leasing and airline and airport operations.
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