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VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)GDX
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2024: GDX (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 18.06% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 40 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 09/16/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 18.06% | Avg. Invested days: 40 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/16/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 17341844 | Beta 0.99 |
52 Weeks Range 25.21 - 40.99 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 25.21 - 40.99 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
AI Summarization
Overview of VanEck Merk Gold Trust (GDX)
Profile:
- VanEck Merk Gold Trust (GDX) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that invests in major gold mining companies around the world.
- The ETF seeks to track the performance of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index, which includes companies involved in gold exploration, mining, and refining.
- GDX mainly focuses on large-cap companies and maintains a 70% allocation to U.S.-based firms.
Objective:
- The primary investment goal of GDX is to provide investors with a convenient way to gain exposure to the gold mining industry and potentially benefit from the price movements of gold and gold mining stocks.
Issuer:
- Company: VanEck
- Reputation and Reliability: VanEck is a reputable asset management firm with over 35 years of experience. It has a strong track record of managing ETFs and other investment products.
- Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced professionals with expertise in the mining industry and financial markets.
Market Share:
- GDX is the largest and most actively traded gold-mining ETF, with a market share of around 40% in the gold-mining ETF sector.
Total Net Assets:
- GDX has approximately $17.5 billion in total net assets as of October 26, 2023.
Moat:
- First-mover advantage: GDX was the first gold-mining ETF launched in the US, giving it a head start in terms of brand recognition and investor familiarity.
- Liquidity: GDX's high trading volume and tight bid-ask spread make it a highly liquid investment, allowing for easy entry and exit from positions.
- Diversification: GDX provides exposure to a broad range of gold miners, mitigating the risk associated with focusing on a single company or region.
Financial Performance:
- GDX's performance is closely tied to the price of gold and gold mining stocks. It has historically outperformed the broader market during periods of rising gold prices and underperformed during periods of declining prices.
- Over the past five years, GDX has returned approximately 120%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's return of 70%.
Benchmark Comparison:
- GDX generally tracks the performance of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index closely, with minimal tracking error.
Growth Trajectory:
- The future growth of GDX is tied to the outlook for the gold mining industry and the price of gold.
- Factors like rising inflation, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions could potentially drive investors towards gold as a safe-haven asset, boosting the demand for gold miners and GDX.
Liquidity:
- GDX has an average daily trading volume of over 15 million shares, making it a highly liquid investment.
- The ETF has a tight bid-ask spread, which minimizes the cost of trading.
Market Dynamics:
- Economic indicators: Rising inflation and interest rates could negatively impact the gold mining industry, as they increase operating costs and reduce the attractiveness of gold as an investment.
- Sector growth prospects: The demand for gold is expected to remain strong due to its role as a safe-haven asset and its increasing use in technology and jewelry.
- Current market conditions: Geopolitical tensions, global economic uncertainty, and potential recessions could drive investors towards gold and gold mining companies, benefiting GDX.
Competitors:
- iShares Gold Trust (IAU): Market share - 25%
- VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ): Market share - 10%
- Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM): Market share - 5%
Expense Ratio:
- GDX has an expense ratio of 0.55%.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: GDX passively tracks the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index.
- Composition: The ETF invests in the stocks of companies included in the index, with the largest holdings being Barrick Gold (GOLD), Newmont (NEM), and Franco-Nevada (FNV).
Key Points:
- Large and liquid: GDX is the largest and most liquid gold-mining ETF, providing investors with easy access to the sector.
- Diversified: The ETF offers exposure to a broad range of gold miners, mitigating company-specific risks.
- High potential returns: GDX has historically outperformed the broader market during periods of rising gold prices.
Risks:
- Volatility: GDX's performance is closely tied to the price of gold, which can be volatile.
- Market risk: The ETF is subject to the risks associated with the gold mining industry, such as changes in commodity prices, regulations, and geopolitical events.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors looking for exposure to the gold mining industry and potentially benefit from rising gold prices.
- Investors who want to diversify their portfolios with a commodity-related asset.
- Investors with a higher risk tolerance who are comfortable with the volatility of the gold market.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
- 8.5/10: GDX scores high due to its strong track record, market dominance, liquidity, and potential for growth. However, the ETF's dependence on the gold price and the risks associated with the mining industry warrant some caution.
Resources and Disclaimers:
- VanEck website: https://www.vaneck.com/us/en/investments/gold/gdx/overview
- Morningstar: https://www.morningstar.com/etfs/arcx/gdx
- Investopedia: https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/042015/gld-vs-gdx-gold-etfs.asp
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About VanEck Gold Miners ETF
The fund normally invests at least 80% of its total assets in common stocks and depositary receipts of companies involved in the gold mining industry. The index is a modified market-capitalization weighted index primarily comprised of publicly traded companies involved in the mining for gold and silver. The fund is non-diversified.
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