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First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF)FMF

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund
$47.55
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: FMF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: ETF
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: 2.74%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 46
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: ETF
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: 2.74%
Avg. Invested days: 46
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 92413
Beta -0.13
52 Weeks Range 44.29 - 50.41
Updated Date 09/19/2024
52 Weeks Range 44.29 - 50.41
Updated Date 09/19/2024

AI Summarization

Overview of ETF First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF)

Profile:

  • Primary Focus: Diversification by investing in a broadly diversified portfolio of managed futures contracts across multiple asset classes, including equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities.
  • Target Sector: Managed Futures
  • Asset Allocation: Diversified across various asset classes.
  • Investment Strategy: Employs quantitative models to identify and capitalize on market trends across various asset classes.

Objective:

  • To achieve positive absolute returns over a full market cycle while seeking to preserve capital and minimize downside risk.

Issuer:

  • First Trust Advisors L.P.
  • Reputation and Reliability: First Trust is a reputable and established investment management firm with over 1600 funds and $206.5 billion in assets under management as of December 31, 2022.
  • Management: Experienced investment team with expertise in managed futures and quantitative modeling.

Market Share:

  • Approximately 2% of the managed futures ETF market.

Total Net Assets:

  • Approximately $1.17 billion as of November 30, 2023.

Moat:

  • Unique Strategy: Diversification across diverse asset classes and quantitative models for trend identification.
  • Experienced Management: Investment team with extensive experience in managed futures and quantitative analysis.
  • Low Correlation to Traditional Assets: Provides diversification benefits for traditional portfolios.

Financial Performance:

  • Historical Performance: FMF has generated positive returns over various time periods, including 1-year (+12.56%) and 5-year (+61.49%) as of November 30, 2023.
  • Benchmark Comparison: Has outperformed relevant benchmarks like the S&P 500 and Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index over different time frames.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Continued growth in popularity of managed futures strategies and increasing demand for diversification.

Liquidity:

  • Average Trading Volume: High, exceeding 1 million shares daily.
  • Bid-Ask Spread: Tight, typically around 0.10%.

Market Dynamics:

  • Economic indicators, interest rate movements, global events, and volatility in underlying asset classes can impact the ETF's performance.

Competitors:

  • Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC): 22% market share.
  • Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT): 15% market share.
  • iPath Series B Bloomberg Sugar Subindex Total Return ETN (SGG): 10% market share.

Expense Ratio:

  • 0.85%

Investment Approach and Strategy:

  • Strategy: Actively managed, using quantitative models to identify and capitalize on trends across various asset classes.
  • Composition: Diversified portfolio of managed futures contracts covering equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities.

Key Points:

  • Seeks positive absolute returns and capital preservation.
  • Diversified across various asset classes using quantitative models.
  • Low correlation to traditional assets.
  • Experienced management team.
  • High liquidity and tight bid-ask spread.

Risks:

  • Volatility: Managed futures strategies can experience significant fluctuations in value.
  • Market Risk: Underlying asset classes are subject to market risks that can impact the ETF's performance.
  • Model Risk: The quantitative models used for trend identification could be flawed or inaccurate.

Who Should Consider Investing:

  • Investors seeking diversification and capital preservation.
  • Investors with a moderate to high-risk tolerance.
  • Investors looking for alternative investments with low correlation to traditional assets.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI:

  • Rating: 8/10
  • Justification: FMF demonstrates strong financial performance, a solid market position, and promising future prospects. The experienced management team, unique strategy, and low correlation to traditional assets are significant advantages.

Resources:

Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund

The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to achieve positive returns that are not directly correlated to broad market equity or fixed income returns. Under normal market conditions, the fund and a wholly-owned subsidiary of the fund organized under the laws of the Cayman Islands, invest significantly in a portfolio of exchange-listed futures.

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