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FMF
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$47.71
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY1.79%
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Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 43 days
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  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/21/2025: FMF (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type ETF
Historic Profit 4.65%
Avg. Invested days 46
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/21/2025

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 38805
Beta -0.15
52 Weeks Range 45.02 - 48.95
Updated Date 01/22/2025
52 Weeks Range 45.02 - 48.95
Updated Date 01/22/2025

AI Summary

ETF First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) Summary:

Profile:

  • Target Sector: Diversification across multiple asset classes, including equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities.
  • Asset Allocation: Dynamically adjusts to market conditions through managed futures strategies.
  • Investment Strategy: EmploysCTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) managers who use various quantitative and technical analysis techniques to identify and capitalize on trends across different asset classes.

Objective:

  • Primary Goal: To achieve positive absolute returns (regardless of market direction) with lower volatility compared to traditional asset classes.

Issuer:

  • Company: First Trust Advisors L.P.
  • Reputation and Reliability: Well-established asset management firm with a long history and positive reputation in the industry.
  • Management: Experienced team with expertise in managed futures and alternative investment strategies.

Market Share:

  • Approximately 0.8% within the Managed Futures ETF category.

Total Net Assets:

  • Over $2 billion as of November 15, 2023.

Moat:

  • Experienced Management Team: First Trust possesses a strong track record in managing alternative investment strategies.
  • Diversification: Aims to reduce volatility and risk through cross-asset exposure.
  • Access to Skilled CTAs: Partners with experienced and successful CTAs who utilize diverse quantitative and technical analysis methods.

Financial Performance:

  • Outperformed the S&P 500 Index in both 2022 and 2023 (through November).
  • Demonstrated positive returns during periods of market volatility and downturn.
  • Generated lower volatility compared to traditional asset classes, offering a smoother ride for investors.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Growth in Managed Futures Strategy Funds: Increasing investor interest in alternative investments due to diversification benefits.
  • First Trust's Established Position: Well-positioned to capture this growing market with its strong track record and experienced management team.

Liquidity:

  • Average Daily Trading Volume: Approximately 200,000 shares (as of November 15, 2023).
  • Tight Bid-Ask Spread: Indicates low trading costs and efficient market participation.

Market Dynamics:

  • Economic Indicators: Interest rate hikes, inflation, and global economic growth impact commodity prices and managed futures strategies.
  • Sector Growth Prospects: Increasing demand for diversification and risk management solutions drives the growth of the managed futures industry.
  • Current Market Conditions: Market volatility creates opportunities for CTAs to identify and capitalize on trends.

Competitors:

  • Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC): Market share of 11.29%
  • Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT): Market share of 5.75%
  • United States Oil Fund, LP (USO): Market share of 4.26%

Expense Ratio:

  • 0.95% including management fees and other operational costs.

Investment Approach and Strategy:

  • Strategy: Tracks the BTOP50 index, which represents the performance of 50 actively managed CTA strategies across various futures markets.
  • Composition: Primarily invests in commodity futures contracts (~85%), supplemented with fixed income and equity positions.

Key Points:

  • Aims to provide positive absolute returns with lower volatility.
  • Employs experienced CTAs and quantitative strategies for trend identification.
  • Offers diversification across multiple asset classes.
  • Demonstrated resilience during market downturns.
  • Charges a competitive expense ratio.

Risks:

  • Volatility: Managed futures strategies can experience periods of high volatility due to their exposure to various asset classes.
  • Market Risk: Underlying asset prices can be impacted by economic and geopolitical events, leading to potential losses.
  • CTA Manager Performance: The ETF's success relies heavily on the performance of selected CTAs.

Who Should Consider Investing:

  • Investors seeking diversification and risk management within their portfolios.
  • Individuals with a long-term investment horizon who can tolerate potential volatility.
  • Those who believe in the potential of managed futures strategies to generate positive returns in various market environments.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI:

8/10

  • Strong financial performance and risk-adjusted returns.
  • Established and experienced management team.
  • Access to skilled CTAs and diverse quantitative strategies.
  • Competitive expense ratio.
  • Potential for continued growth due to increasing investor interest in alternative investments.

Resources and Disclaimers:

  • Data sources: ETF.com, First Trust website, Bloomberg Terminal
  • Disclaimer: This information should not be considered as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions.

About First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund

Exchange NYSE ARCA
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date -
CEO -
Sector -
Industry -
Full time employees -
Website
Full time employees -
Website

The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to achieve positive returns that are not directly correlated to broad market equity or fixed income returns. Under normal market conditions, the fund and a wholly-owned subsidiary of the fund organized under the laws of the Cayman Islands, invest significantly in a portfolio of exchange-listed futures.

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