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First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF)FMF
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: FMF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 2.74% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 46 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 2.74% | Avg. Invested days: 46 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 92413 | Beta -0.13 |
52 Weeks Range 44.29 - 50.41 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 44.29 - 50.41 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
AI Summarization
Overview of ETF First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF)
Profile:
- Primary Focus: Diversification by investing in a broadly diversified portfolio of managed futures contracts across multiple asset classes, including equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities.
- Target Sector: Managed Futures
- Asset Allocation: Diversified across various asset classes.
- Investment Strategy: Employs quantitative models to identify and capitalize on market trends across various asset classes.
Objective:
- To achieve positive absolute returns over a full market cycle while seeking to preserve capital and minimize downside risk.
Issuer:
- First Trust Advisors L.P.
- Reputation and Reliability: First Trust is a reputable and established investment management firm with over 1600 funds and $206.5 billion in assets under management as of December 31, 2022.
- Management: Experienced investment team with expertise in managed futures and quantitative modeling.
Market Share:
- Approximately 2% of the managed futures ETF market.
Total Net Assets:
- Approximately $1.17 billion as of November 30, 2023.
Moat:
- Unique Strategy: Diversification across diverse asset classes and quantitative models for trend identification.
- Experienced Management: Investment team with extensive experience in managed futures and quantitative analysis.
- Low Correlation to Traditional Assets: Provides diversification benefits for traditional portfolios.
Financial Performance:
- Historical Performance: FMF has generated positive returns over various time periods, including 1-year (+12.56%) and 5-year (+61.49%) as of November 30, 2023.
- Benchmark Comparison: Has outperformed relevant benchmarks like the S&P 500 and Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index over different time frames.
Growth Trajectory:
- Continued growth in popularity of managed futures strategies and increasing demand for diversification.
Liquidity:
- Average Trading Volume: High, exceeding 1 million shares daily.
- Bid-Ask Spread: Tight, typically around 0.10%.
Market Dynamics:
- Economic indicators, interest rate movements, global events, and volatility in underlying asset classes can impact the ETF's performance.
Competitors:
- Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC): 22% market share.
- Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT): 15% market share.
- iPath Series B Bloomberg Sugar Subindex Total Return ETN (SGG): 10% market share.
Expense Ratio:
- 0.85%
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: Actively managed, using quantitative models to identify and capitalize on trends across various asset classes.
- Composition: Diversified portfolio of managed futures contracts covering equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities.
Key Points:
- Seeks positive absolute returns and capital preservation.
- Diversified across various asset classes using quantitative models.
- Low correlation to traditional assets.
- Experienced management team.
- High liquidity and tight bid-ask spread.
Risks:
- Volatility: Managed futures strategies can experience significant fluctuations in value.
- Market Risk: Underlying asset classes are subject to market risks that can impact the ETF's performance.
- Model Risk: The quantitative models used for trend identification could be flawed or inaccurate.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors seeking diversification and capital preservation.
- Investors with a moderate to high-risk tolerance.
- Investors looking for alternative investments with low correlation to traditional assets.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
- Rating: 8/10
- Justification: FMF demonstrates strong financial performance, a solid market position, and promising future prospects. The experienced management team, unique strategy, and low correlation to traditional assets are significant advantages.
Resources:
- First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund: https://www.ftportfolios.com/ETF/FMF
- Morningstar: https://www.morningstar.com/etfs/arcx/fmf/performance
- Zacks: https://www.zacks.com/funds/etf/1029/first-trust-managed-futures-strategy-fund-fmf
Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund
The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to achieve positive returns that are not directly correlated to broad market equity or fixed income returns. Under normal market conditions, the fund and a wholly-owned subsidiary of the fund organized under the laws of the Cayman Islands, invest significantly in a portfolio of exchange-listed futures.
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