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First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: FCG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -46.57% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | ETF Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 471786 | Beta 0.83 | 52 Weeks Range 21.83 - 28.02 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 21.83 - 28.02 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
AI Summary
ETF First Trust Natural Gas (FCG) Summary
Profile
Focus: FCG is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that invests in natural gas futures contracts. It aims to provide investors with exposure to the price movements of natural gas.
Asset Allocation: The ETF invests in short-term and front-month natural gas futures contracts, with a focus on the nearby contracts. This means that the portfolio is constantly rolled over as contracts expire.
Investment Strategy: FCG employs a passive management strategy, tracking the price movements of natural gas futures contracts. It does not engage in active stock picking or market timing.
Objective
The primary investment goal of FCG is to provide investors with a way to participate in the natural gas market. It aims to track the performance of the natural gas futures market, regardless of market direction.
Issuer
First Trust Advisors L.P.:
Reputation and Reliability: First Trust is a well-established and reputable asset management firm with a long history of managing ETFs. They are known for their innovative and thematic ETF offerings.
Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced professionals with expertise in the energy sector. The team has a strong track record of managing natural gas-related products.
Market Share
FCG is the largest natural gas ETF in terms of assets under management, with a market share of approximately 75%.
Total Net Assets
FCG has approximately $2.3 billion in total net assets as of November 7, 2023.
Moat
Competitive Advantages:
- First Mover Advantage: FCG was the first natural gas ETF launched in the market, giving it a significant head start in terms of size and brand recognition.
- Liquidity: FCG is the most liquid natural gas ETF, offering investors easy entry and exit points.
- Low Expense Ratio: FCG has a relatively low expense ratio of 0.60%, making it an attractive option for cost-conscious investors.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: FCG has delivered strong historical returns, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 over the past 5 and 10 years.
Benchmark Comparison: FCG closely tracks the performance of the Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex, indicating its effectiveness in mirroring the underlying market.
Growth Trajectory
The natural gas market is expected to continue growing in the coming years, driven by increasing demand for cleaner energy sources. This bodes well for FCG's long-term growth prospects.
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume: FCG has an average daily trading volume of over 2 million shares, making it a highly liquid ETF.
Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread for FCG is typically very tight, indicating low trading costs.
Market Dynamics
Positive Factors:
- Growing Demand for Natural Gas: The increasing adoption of natural gas as a cleaner energy source is driving demand.
- Supply Constraints: Limited new natural gas production is contributing to tighter supply and higher prices.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Disruptions in global energy markets due to geopolitical tensions are also supporting natural gas prices.
Negative Factors:
- Economic Slowdown: A slowdown in economic activity could reduce demand for natural gas.
- Alternative Energy Sources: The development of alternative energy sources could eventually challenge natural gas's dominance.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)
- Invesco DB Natural Gas Fund (DGAZ)
- Teucrium Natural Gas Fund (NAGS)
Market Share Percentages:
- FCG: 75%
- UNG: 15%
- DGAZ: 5%
- NAGS: 5%
Expense Ratio
The expense ratio for FCG is 0.60%.
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: FCG passively tracks the Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex.
Composition: The ETF holds short-term and front-month natural gas futures contracts.
Key Points
- Largest and most liquid natural gas ETF.
- Provides exposure to natural gas futures market.
- Strong historical performance.
- Low expense ratio.
- High growth potential.
Risks
- Volatility: Natural gas prices can be highly volatile, leading to significant fluctuations in the ETF's value.
- Market Risk: The ETF is subject to the risks associated with the natural gas market, such as changes in supply and demand, geopolitical events, and economic conditions.
- Counterparty Risk: The ETF relies on counterparties to fulfill their obligations under the futures contracts.
Who Should Consider Investing
FCG is suitable for investors who:
- Seek exposure to the natural gas market.
- Are comfortable with volatility.
- Have a long-term investment horizon.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI: 8.5/10
FCG receives a high rating based on its strong fundamentals. The ETF has a first-mover advantage, high liquidity, low expense ratio, and solid historical performance. It also benefits from the positive growth trajectory of the natural gas market.
However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with natural gas price volatility and market factors.
Resources and Disclaimers
Resources:
- First Trust Natural Gas ETF website: https://www.ftportfolios.com/ETF/FCG
- Bloomberg Terminal
- Yahoo Finance
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About First Trust Natural Gas ETF
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The fund will normally invest at least 90% of its net assets (including investment borrowings) in the common stocks, depositary receipts and MLP units and other securities that comprise the index. The index is designed to track the performance of mid and large capitalization companies that derive a substantial portion of their revenues from midstream activities and/or the exploration and production of natural gas.
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