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VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF (EMLC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: EMLC (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 2.83% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 49 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 2.83% | Avg. Invested days: 49 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 1448459 | Beta 1.06 |
52 Weeks Range 22.64 - 25.15 | Updated Date 12/21/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 22.64 - 25.15 | Updated Date 12/21/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF Overview:
Profile:
The VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF (EMLC) is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the J.P. Morgan GBI-EM Global Diversified Index. This index comprises U.S. dollar-denominated bonds issued by governments and government-related entities in emerging markets. EMLC primarily invests in local currency bonds issued by these entities, providing exposure to emerging market debt without the risks associated with currency fluctuations.
Objective:
The primary investment goal of EMLC is to provide long-term capital appreciation through exposure to the emerging market local currency bond market. The ETF aims to achieve this objective by replicating the performance of its underlying index.
Issuer:
The ETF is issued by VanEck, a global investment manager with over 30 years of experience. VanEck has a strong reputation for providing innovative and cost-effective investment solutions. The company is known for its expertise in emerging markets and fixed income investing.
Reputation and Reliability:
VanEck has a solid reputation in the financial industry, with an A+ rating from the Better Business Bureau and a four-star rating from Morningstar. The company has a strong track record of managing exchange-traded funds, and EMLC has been in existence since 2014.
Management:
The ETF is managed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a leading global asset manager with extensive experience in emerging markets and fixed income investing. The team has a deep understanding of the local currency bond market and a proven track record of success.
Market Share:
EMLC is one of the largest emerging market local currency bond ETFs, with a market share of approximately 20% within its category.
Total Net Assets:
As of November 2023, EMLC has approximately $10 billion in total net assets.
Moat:
EMLC's competitive advantages include its:
- Unique Strategy: The ETF's focus on emerging market local currency bonds provides investors with a differentiated exposure not readily available in other ETFs.
- Experienced Management: The team's expertise and track record in managing emerging market debt provide investors with confidence in the ETF's performance.
- Cost-Effectiveness: The ETF's expense ratio is relatively low compared to other emerging market bond ETFs.
Financial Performance:
EMLC has historically outperformed its benchmark index, the J.P. Morgan GBI-EM Global Diversified Index. The ETF has also delivered positive returns in most market environments.
Growth Trajectory:
The emerging market local currency bond market is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, driven by factors such as rising economic growth in emerging economies and increased demand for local currency debt from global investors.
Liquidity:
EMLC has a high average trading volume, indicating ample liquidity. The bid-ask spread is also relatively tight, ensuring efficient trading.
Market Dynamics:
Factors affecting the ETF's market environment include:
- Economic Growth in Emerging Markets: Strong economic growth in emerging economies can drive demand for local currency bonds.
- Global Interest Rates: Rising global interest rates can make emerging market bonds less attractive to investors.
- Currency Fluctuations: Currency fluctuations can impact the value of the ETF's holdings.
Competitors:
Key competitors of EMLC include:
- iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB)
- SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Emerging Markets Local Bond ETF (EBND)
- Xtrackers USD Emerging Markets Bond UCITS ETF (XEML)
Expense Ratio:
The expense ratio of EMLC is 0.45%.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
The ETF aims to track the J.P. Morgan GBI-EM Global Diversified Index by investing in a representative sample of the index's constituents. The ETF holds approximately 400 local currency bonds issued by governments and government-related entities in over 20 emerging markets.
Key Points:
- Provides exposure to emerging market local currency bonds without currency risk.
- Diversified portfolio of over 400 bonds issued by governments and government-related entities.
- Strong track record of outperforming its benchmark index.
- Relatively low expense ratio.
Risks:
- Emerging Market Risk: Emerging markets are generally considered riskier than developed markets, and their bond markets can be more volatile.
- Interest Rate Risk: Rising interest rates can lead to a decline in the value of the ETF's holdings.
- Credit Risk: The ETF's holdings are subject to credit risk, which is the risk that the issuer of a bond may default on its debt.
Who Should Consider Investing:
EMLC is suitable for investors seeking:
- Exposure to emerging market local currency bonds without currency risk.
- Diversification within their fixed income portfolio.
- Long-term capital appreciation.
Evaluation of ETF VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF's Fundamentals using an AI-based rating system on a scale of 1 to 10:
Fundamental Rating Based on AI: 8/10
EMLC has a strong overall fundamental rating, driven by its unique strategy, experienced management, cost-effectiveness, and solid financial performance. The ETF faces some risks associated with emerging markets and interest rates, but these are mitigated by its diversified portfolio and its focus on bonds issued by governments and government-related entities.
Resources and Disclaimers:
The information contained in this analysis is based on data from VanEck, Morningstar, and Bloomberg as of November 2023. This information should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF
The fund normally invests at least 80% of its total assets in securities that comprise the fund's benchmark index. The index is comprised of bonds issued by emerging market governments and denominated in the local currency of the issuer. It may concentrate its investments in a particular industry or group of industries to the extent that the index concentrates in an industry or group of industries. The fund is non-diversified.
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