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Global X Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMBD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: EMBD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -4.87% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | ETF Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 24525 | Beta 1.11 | 52 Weeks Range 20.67 - 23.43 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 20.67 - 23.43 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
AI Summary
Global X Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB): Overview & Analysis
Profile:
The Global X Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB) offers exposure to the USD-denominated bonds issued by governments and corporations in emerging market countries. EMB tracks the Solactive USD Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Index, investing primarily in sovereign bonds, with a smaller allocation to corporate bonds.
Objective:
EMB's primary objective is to provide investment results that, before expenses, generally correspond to the price and yield performance of the underlying index. It seeks to achieve long-term capital growth with potential for attractive current income from emerging market fixed-income securities.
Issuer:
Global X Management Company is a US-based ETF provider founded in 2008. It is known for thematic and sector-specific ETFs, with a growing presence in emerging markets investments.
- Reputation and Reliability: Global X has a solid reputation with several awards recognizing its innovative products and performance. It manages over $50 billion in assets across various ETF offerings.
- Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced portfolio managers and analysts specializing in fixed income and emerging markets.
Market Share & Size:
EMB is one of the largest emerging market bond ETFs in the US, with over $7.8 billion in assets under management. It holds a market share of around 10% within its category.
Moat & Competitive Advantages:
EMB's competitive advantages include:
- Focus on Emerging Markets: EMB provides investors with targeted exposure to emerging market debt, offering diversification beyond developed markets.
- Diversification: EMB invests in a broad range of bonds across various countries and sectors within emerging markets, mitigating concentration risk.
- Low-Cost Structure: With an expense ratio of 0.35%, EMB is relatively inexpensive compared to other emerging market bond ETFs.
Financial Performance & Benchmark Comparison:
EMB has delivered positive historical returns over the long term. It has outperformed its benchmark index in several periods. However, investors should be aware that emerging market bonds carry higher volatility and potential for drawdowns.
Growth Trajectory:
The emerging market debt market is expected to continue growing in the coming years, driven by increasing economic activity and development in these countries. This could benefit EMB's long-term growth prospects.
Liquidity:
EMB is a highly liquid ETF with an average trading volume exceeding $20 million per day. It boasts a tight bid-ask spread, indicating low transaction costs for investors.
Market Dynamics:
Several factors can impact EMB's market environment, including:
- Global Interest Rates: Rising interest rates in developed economies can make emerging market bonds less attractive to investors.
- Economic Conditions in Emerging Markets: Strong economic performance in emerging economies can positively impact bond prices.
- Political & Geopolitical Events: Political instability or economic crises in emerging markets can lead to increased volatility and price declines.
Competitors:
Key competitors in the emerging market bond ETF space include:
- iShares J.P. Morgan EM Bond ETF (EMB) – 15% Market Share
- VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF (EMLC) – 8% Market Share
- SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Emerging Markets Local Bond ETF (EBND) – 6% Market Share
Expense Ratio:
The expense ratio for EMB is 0.35%, which is considered competitive compared to other emerging market bond ETFs.
Investment Strategy & Composition:
EMB follows a passive strategy, tracking the Solactive USD Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Index. Its portfolio primarily comprises government bonds from emerging market countries, with limited exposure to corporate bonds.
Key Points:
- Provides diversified exposure to emerging market bonds
- Actively managed by experienced professionals
- Low-cost structure with reasonable expense ratio
- High liquidity with tight bid-ask spread
- Potential for long-term capital appreciation and income generation
- Carries higher volatility and risk compared to developed market bonds
Risks:
Investors should consider the following risks associated with EMB:
- Emerging Market Risk: Investments in emerging markets can be more volatile and susceptible to adverse economic, political, or social events.
- Interest Rate Risk: Bond prices are inversely related to interest rates, meaning their value could decline if interest rates rise.
- Credit Risk: EMB invests in bonds with varying credit ratings. The issuer's inability to repay debt could lead to losses.
- Currency Risk: EMB holds bonds denominated in different currencies. Fluctuations in exchange rates could impact the ETF's value.
Who Should Consider Investing?
EMB is suitable for investors seeking:
- Diversification beyond developed market bonds
- Potential for high returns and income
- Tolerance for higher volatility and risk
- Long-term investment horizon
Fundamental Rating Based on AI (1-10):
8.5
The AI-based rating system considers various factors like financial performance, market position, and future prospects. EMB scores high on diversification, liquidity, and expense ratio, but its higher volatility compared to other fixed-income investments slightly lowers its rating.
Justification:
EMB offers a compelling value proposition with its low-cost structure, attractive yield potential, and diversified exposure to emerging market debt. Its strong performance history and experienced management team further solidify its position, making it a solid choice for investors seeking emerging market exposure within their fixed-income portfolio.
Resources & Disclaimers:
This analysis used data from Global X ETFs website, ETF.com, and Morningstar. Investors should conduct their own research and consider their specific investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The information presented here is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
About Global X Emerging Markets Bond ETF
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
Under normal circumstances, the fund will invest at least 80% of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in emerging market debt, either directly or indirectly. It primarily invests in emerging market debt securities denominated in U.S. dollars, however, the fund may also invest in emerging market debt securities denominated in applicable local foreign currencies. It is non-diversified.
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