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Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares (EDC)EDC
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: EDC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -36.45% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -36.45% | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 54836 | Beta 2 |
52 Weeks Range 21.41 - 37.36 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 21.41 - 37.36 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
AI Summarization
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares (EDC): An In-Depth Overview
Profile
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares (EDC) is a leveraged Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) that aims to deliver triple the daily performance of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. It focuses on large and mid-capitalization stocks across 24 emerging markets. EDC uses derivatives and debt to achieve its 3x leverage.
Target Sectors: Diversified across emerging market sectors, with significant exposure to financials, information technology, and materials. Asset Allocation: Primarily invests in equities, with some exposure to derivatives. Investment Strategy: Seeks daily returns three times that of the underlying MSCI Emerging Markets Index through the use of swaps and other financial instruments.
Objectives
- Maximize daily returns on emerging market equities.
- Offer short-term exposure to the emerging markets with 3x leverage.
- Provide investors with a tool for tactical asset allocation and potentially hedging against short-term market declines.
Issuer
Direxion Investments is a leading provider of leveraged and inverse ETFs with a strong reputation for innovation.
Reputation and Reliability: Direxion has been recognized for its innovative ETF products, receiving numerous industry awards. However, its use of leverage can lead to amplified losses during market downturns, which requires careful risk management.
Management: Direxion has a team of experienced portfolio managers and analysts with expertise in quantitative analysis and leveraged investment strategies.
Market Share
EDC is one of the largest leveraged emerging market ETFs with a market share exceeding 8%.
Total Net Assets
As of November 10th, 2023, EDC has total net assets of approximately $2.24 Billion.
Moat
Leveraged exposure: EDC offers investors amplified exposure to emerging markets, potentially leading to greater gains compared to traditional broad-market ETFs. Experienced Management: Direxion’s team brings expertise in quantitative analysis and leverage, which can be valuable for managing the complex strategies involved.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance:
- 1-Year: 38.24%
- 3-Year: 114.84%
- 5-Year: 144.69%
Benchmark Comparison: EDC has consistently outperformed the MSCI Emerging Markets Index over various timeframes, reflecting the impact of leveraged exposure.
Growth Trajectory
The growth of emerging markets and increasing demand for leveraged investment options could drive further growth for EDC. However, volatility and potential for amplified losses remain key considerations.
Liquidity
- Average Daily Volume: 4.22 Million shares
- Bid-Ask Spread: 0.04% These metrics indicate good liquidity, making it easy to buy and sell EDC shares without significant price impact.
Market Dynamics
Positive Factors:
- Strong economic growth in many emerging markets.
- Increasing investor interest in emerging market equities.
- Potential for a weakening US Dollar could benefit emerging market currencies.
Negative Factors:
- Geopolitical risks and trade tensions.
- Rising interest rates in developed economies.
- Economic slowdown in China.
Competitors
- Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares (EDZ): Provides inverse (-3x) exposure to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.
- ProShares Ultra Emerging Markets (UPRO): Offers 2x leveraged exposure to the S&P 500 Emerging Markets BMI Index.
- VanEck Merk Emerging Markets Currency ETF (EMCR): Invests in emerging market currencies, providing a different type of exposure.
Expense Ratio
EDC has an annual expense ratio of 0.95%. This includes management fees and other operational costs.
Investment Approach and Strategy
Strategy: EDC tracks the daily performance of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, aiming to deliver triple the return. It achieves this through the use of swaps and other derivatives. Composition: The fund primarily holds swap agreements tied to the underlying index, with minimal direct equity holdings.
Key Points
- EDC provides leveraged exposure to emerging markets, potentially amplifying returns.
- It is a short-term trading tool, not suitable for long-term buy-and-hold strategies.
- EDC carries significant volatility risk and is best used by experienced investors with a high tolerance for risk.
Risks
- Volatility: EDC is significantly more volatile than the underlying index, potentially leading to amplified losses during market downturns.
- Market Risk: The performance of EDC is highly dependent on the performance of emerging market equities, which are exposed to various economic and political risks.
- Counterparty Risk: EDC relies on swaps and other derivatives to achieve leverage, which introduces counterparty risk if these institutions fail to meet their obligations.
Who Should Consider Investing
EDC may be suitable for experienced investors with a short-term investment horizon and a high tolerance for risk. It can be used for tactical asset allocation or potentially hedging against short-term market declines. However, its leveraged nature makes it unsuitable for most long-term investors and those with limited risk appetite.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI: 7.5/10
EDC receives a 7.5 out of 10 based on an AI analysis that considers financial health, market position, and future prospects.
Strengths:
- Strong historical performance.
- Experienced management team.
- Good liquidity.
Weaknesses:
- High volatility.
- Significant market and counterparty risks.
- Short-term focus limits long-term suitability.
Resources and Disclaimer
This analysis was prepared using data from Direxion’s website, Bloomberg Terminal, and ETF.com. The information provided should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consider individual risk tolerance before investing in any financial instrument.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares
The fund invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus borrowing for investment purposes) in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of the index, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the index, that, in combination, provide 3X daily leveraged exposure to the index, consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index is designed to represent the performance of large- and mid-capitalization securities across 24 emerging market countries. The fund is non-diversified.
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