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DB Gold Short ETN (DGZ)DGZ
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: DGZ (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -3.66% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 60 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -3.66% | Avg. Invested days: 60 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 447 | Beta -0.16 |
52 Weeks Range 8.27 - 11.05 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 8.27 - 11.05 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
AI Summarization
U.S. ETF DB Gold Short ETN
Profile
DB Gold Short ETN (DZZ) is an exchange-traded note (ETN) that provides short exposure to the price of gold. This means that the ETN aims to deliver the opposite performance of the price of gold.
Target Sector: Precious Metals Asset Allocation: 100% Gold Futures Contracts Investment Strategy: Inversely tracks the price of gold through shorting gold futures contracts.
Objective
The primary objective of DZZ is to generate returns for investors when the price of gold declines. It is an ideal tool for hedging against potential declines in gold prices or for investors who have a negative outlook on the precious metal.
Issuer
Issuer: Deutsche Bank AG (DB)
Reputation and Reliability: Deutsche Bank is a global investment bank with a long history and established reputation. The bank is regulated by various financial authorities and adheres to strict regulatory standards.
Management: The ETN is managed by a team of experienced professionals within Deutsche Bank's Commodity & Foreign Exchange division.
Market Share
DZZ has a relatively small market share within the gold ETN space. However, it is one of the few inverse gold ETNs available, which provides a unique offering for investors seeking short exposure to gold.
Total Net Assets
DZZ has approximately $44.8 million in total net assets as of November 2023.
Moat
Competitive Advantages:
- Inverse exposure to gold: Offers a unique opportunity to profit from declining gold prices.
- Liquidity: DZZ trades on a major exchange with decent trading volume.
- Issuer reputation: Backed by the established reputation of Deutsche Bank.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: DZZ has experienced volatility in its performance, mirroring the fluctuations in gold prices. The ETN has delivered positive returns during periods of declining gold prices and negative returns when gold prices have risen.
Benchmark Comparison: DZZ's performance is inversely correlated to the price of gold. Therefore, it will typically perform oppositely to gold-tracking ETFs and the price of gold itself.
Growth Trajectory
The future performance of DZZ is dependent on the direction of gold prices. If gold prices are expected to decline, DZZ may offer potential for positive returns. However, if gold prices are expected to rise, DZZ may experience losses.
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume: DZZ has an average daily trading volume of approximately 25,000 shares.
Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread for DZZ is typically around 0.10%.
Market Dynamics
Factors affecting DZZ's market environment:
- Global economic conditions: Economic slowdowns or recessions can lead to decreased demand for gold, potentially driving prices down.
- Inflation: Rising inflation can erode the value of gold, potentially leading to price declines.
- Interest rates: Increases in interest rates can make gold less attractive as an investment, potentially leading to price declines.
- Geopolitical events: Political and economic instability can create uncertainty and increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold, potentially driving prices up.
Competitors
Key competitors of DZZ include:
- ProShares UltraShort Gold (GLL)
- VelocityShares 3x Inverse Gold ETN (DUST)
- Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 2x Shares (DUG)
Expense Ratio
The expense ratio for DZZ is 0.85%.
Investment Approach and Strategy
Investment Strategy: DZZ aims to deliver the opposite performance of the price of gold by shorting gold futures contracts.
Composition: The ETN holds a portfolio of gold futures contracts, which are contracts to sell gold at a predetermined price on a future date.
Key Points
- Provides inverse exposure to gold prices.
- Offers a hedging tool against declining gold prices.
- Relatively small market share with decent liquidity.
- Backed by the reputation of Deutsche Bank.
- Historical performance has been volatile and inversely correlated to gold prices.
Risks
- Volatility: DZZ is a leveraged ETN, which amplifies the volatility of gold price movements.
- Market Risk: The ETN is subject to risks associated with the gold market, such as economic conditions, inflation, and interest rates.
- Counterparty Risk: DZZ is an ETN, which means that Deutsche Bank is obligated to pay investors the returns based on the underlying gold contracts. If Deutsche Bank were to default, investors could lose their investment.
Who Should Consider Investing
DZZ is suitable for investors who:
- Have a negative outlook on gold prices.
- Seek to hedge against potential declines in gold prices.
- Understand the risks associated with leverage and volatility.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI
Rating: 6.5 out of 10
Justification: DZZ offers a unique inverse exposure to gold, backed by the reputation of Deutsche Bank and decent liquidity. However, it has a relatively small market share, high volatility, and is subject to various market risks. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before investing in DZZ.
Resources and Disclaimers
Sources:
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing involves risk, and you could lose money. Before making any investment decisions, it is essential to do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About DB Gold Short ETN
The index is intended to reflect changes in the market value of certain gold futures contracts and is comprised of a single unfunded gold futures contract.
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