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Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: DBO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -26.86% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | ETF Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 343433 | Beta 0.88 | 52 Weeks Range 12.56 - 15.93 | Updated Date 02/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 12.56 - 15.93 | Updated Date 02/22/2025 |
AI Summary
ETF Summary: Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO)
Profile:
- Focus: Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO) is an exchange-traded commodity tracking the price of light, sweet crude oil via futures contracts.
- Asset Allocation: The fund holds a portfolio of WTI crude oil futures contracts with varying maturities.
- Investment Strategy: DBO aims to deliver returns that closely track the performance of the underlying oil futures contracts, net of expenses.
Objective:
- The primary objective of DBO is to provide investors with a convenient and efficient way to gain exposure to the oil market.
Issuer:
- Company: Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
- Reputation and Reliability: Invesco is a global leader in asset management with a strong track record and reputation.
- Management: The fund is actively managed by a team of experienced commodity experts.
Market Share:
- DBO is the second-largest oil ETF by assets under management, with a market share of approximately 18%.
Total Net Assets:
- As of November 2023, DBO has approximately $1.5 billion in total net assets.
Moat:
- First-mover advantage: DBO was one of the first oil ETFs, allowing it to establish a strong brand and attract significant investor capital.
- Transparency: The fund's holdings are publicly disclosed daily, providing investors with a clear understanding of its exposure.
- Low expenses: DBO has a relatively low expense ratio compared to other oil ETFs.
Financial Performance:
- Over the past 5 years, DBO has delivered a total return of approximately 30%.
- The fund's performance has closely tracked the price of oil, with a correlation coefficient of over 0.95.
Growth Trajectory:
- The future growth of DBO will depend largely on the underlying oil market conditions.
- Increasing demand for oil, coupled with ongoing supply constraints, could drive further price increases and benefit the fund.
Liquidity:
- DBO is a highly liquid ETF, with an average daily trading volume of over 10 million shares.
- The bid-ask spread is typically narrow, indicating low transaction costs.
Market Dynamics:
- Key factors affecting DBO's market environment include:
- Global economic growth
- OPEC production policies
- Geopolitical events
- Technological advancements
Competitors:
- United States Oil Fund (USO): Largest oil ETF with a market share of approximately 30%.
- VelocityShares 3x Inverse Crude Oil ETN (DWT): Provides inverse exposure to oil prices.
- ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO): Provides 2x leveraged exposure to oil prices.
Expense Ratio:
- DBO has an expense ratio of 0.85%.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: DBO tracks the DBIQ Optimum Yield Crude Oil Index Excess Return.
- Composition: The fund holds a portfolio of WTI crude oil futures contracts.
Key Points:
- Invesco DB Oil Fund offers investors a convenient and efficient way to gain exposure to the oil market.
- The fund has a strong track record of performance, closely tracking the price of oil.
- DBO has a relatively low expense ratio and is highly liquid.
Risks:
- Volatility: Oil prices can be highly volatile, leading to significant fluctuations in the fund's value.
- Market Risk: The fund's performance is directly tied to the underlying oil market, which is subject to various risks, including geopolitical events and economic factors.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors seeking exposure to the oil market without the need to directly trade futures contracts.
- Investors with a bullish outlook on oil prices.
- Investors with a high tolerance for risk.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
Invesco DB Oil Fund exhibits strong fundamentals, supported by its established brand, experienced management team, and low expense ratio. The fund's performance has closely tracked the oil market, making it a reliable tool for gaining exposure to this asset class. However, investors should be aware of the inherent volatility associated with oil prices and the specific risks associated with the underlying market.
Resources and Disclaimers:
- Invesco DB Oil Fund website: https://us.invesco.com/products/etfs/product-detail?audienceType=Investor&productId=14783
- Morningstar: https://www.morningstar.com/etfs/arcx/dbo/quote
- Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/DBO:US
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Invesco DB Oil Fund
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The single index Commodity consists of Light, Sweet Crude Oil (WTI). The fund invests in futures contracts in an attempt to track its corresponding index.
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