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Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC)DBC
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: DBC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -18.31% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -18.31% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 716986 | Beta 0.96 |
52 Weeks Range 20.90 - 24.26 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 20.90 - 24.26 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) Overview
Profile:
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that aims to track the performance of the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index Total Return. It offers investors a diversified exposure to a broad basket of commodities across various sectors including energy, agriculture, and metals. DBC invests primarily in futures contracts on these commodities, offering a convenient way to gain exposure to the commodities market without directly owning the underlying assets.
Objective:
The primary investment goal of DBC is to provide investors with a total return that closely tracks the performance of the underlying commodity index. This return is generated through the change in value of the futures contracts held by the ETF, as well as any income earned from these contracts.
Issuer:
Invesco is a global asset management company with a strong track record and reputation in the industry. It manages over $1.4 trillion in assets across various investment products, including ETFs, mutual funds, and separately managed accounts. The company has a well-established presence in the commodities market, with expertise in managing commodity-linked investments.
Market Share & Total Net Assets:
DBC is one of the most popular commodity-tracking ETFs, with a significant market share in the sector. As of November 2023, it has over $2.5 billion in total net assets, indicating its popularity among investors seeking exposure to the commodities market.
Moat:
DBC’s competitive advantage lies in its diversified approach and low expense ratio. By tracking a broad commodity index, the ETF mitigates the risks associated with focusing on a single commodity. Additionally, its expense ratio of 0.85% is lower than many other commodity-focused ETFs, making it a cost-effective way to gain exposure to the asset class.
Financial Performance & Benchmark Comparison:
DBC has historically delivered returns that closely track the performance of the underlying commodity index. Over the past three years, the ETF has generated an annualized return of 12.5%, mirroring the index's performance. This indicates the ETF's effectiveness in achieving its investment objective.
Growth Trajectory:
The future of DBC is tied to the overall outlook for the commodities market. With increasing demand for commodities driven by global economic growth, the ETF is likely to experience continued growth in the coming years. Additionally, the growing popularity of passive investing further strengthens the ETF's growth potential.
Liquidity:
DBC enjoys high liquidity, with an average daily trading volume exceeding 10 million shares. This translates to a tight bid-ask spread, minimizing the cost of trading the ETF. The high liquidity also ensures that investors can easily buy and sell their shares without significantly impacting the market price.
Market Dynamics:
The performance of DBC is influenced by several market dynamics, including:
- Economic indicators: Strong economic growth often leads to higher demand for commodities, positively impacting the ETF's performance.
- Sector growth prospects: The outlook for specific commodity sectors, such as energy or agriculture, can influence the ETF's performance.
- Current market conditions: Geopolitical events, supply chain disruptions, and global trade tensions can impact commodity prices and, consequently, the ETF's performance.
Competitors:
DBC faces competition from other commodity-tracking ETFs, including:
- Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA): Market Share - 15%, focuses on agricultural commodities.
- Invesco DB Energy Fund (DBE): Market Share - 10%, focuses on energy commodities.
- United States Oil Fund (USO): Market Share - 5%, focuses on crude oil.
Expense Ratio:
DBC has an expense ratio of 0.85%, which includes management fees and other operational costs. This is relatively low compared to other commodity-focused ETFs, making it a cost-effective investment option.
Investment Approach & Strategy:
- Strategy: DBC tracks the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index Total Return, aiming to replicate its performance.
- Composition: The ETF invests primarily in futures contracts on various commodities, including energy (55%), agriculture (25%), and industrial metals (15%).
Key Points:
- Diversified exposure to a broad basket of commodities.
- Low expense ratio.
- High liquidity.
- Tracks a well-established commodity index.
Risks:
- Volatility: The commodities market is inherently volatile, leading to potential fluctuations in the ETF's value.
- Market Risk: The performance of DBC is directly tied to the performance of the underlying commodities, which can be affected by various factors like supply and demand dynamics, economic conditions, and geopolitical events.
Who Should Consider Investing:
DBC is suitable for investors seeking:
- Diversification in their portfolio with exposure to the commodities market.
- A passive investment option that tracks a broad commodity index.
- A cost-effective way to gain exposure to commodities.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
Based on an AI-powered analysis of DBC's financial health, market position, and future prospects, the ETF receives a Fundamental Rating of 7.5 out of 10.
- Financial Health: DBC demonstrates strong financial health with a solid track record and low expense ratio.
- Market Position: The ETF holds a significant market share within the commodity-tracking ETF space and benefits from its issuer's strong reputation.
- Future Prospects: The ETF's future growth is tied to the overall outlook for the commodities market, which appears promising with increasing global demand.
While DBC presents a compelling investment opportunity, investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before making a decision.
Resources & Disclaimers:
- Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) website: https://www.invesco.com/us/financial-products/etfs/product-detail?audienceType=Investor&productId=DBC
- Morningstar DBC profile: https://www.morningstar.com/etfs/arcx/dbc/quote
- Disclaimer: The information provided in this overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
The fund pursues its investment objective by investing in a portfolio of exchange-traded futures on Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI), Heating Oil, RBOB Gasoline, Natural Gas, Brent Crude, Gold, Silver, Aluminum, Zinc, Copper Grade A, Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Sugar. The index is composed of notional amounts of each of these commodities.
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