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Invesco DB Base Metals Fund (DBB)DBB

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
$19.74
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: DBB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: ETF
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -6.02%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 39
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: ETF
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -6.02%
Avg. Invested days: 39
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 65730
Beta 0.84
52 Weeks Range 16.62 - 21.98
Updated Date 09/19/2024
52 Weeks Range 16.62 - 21.98
Updated Date 09/19/2024

AI Summarization

ETF Invesco DB Base Metals Fund (NYSEARCA: DBB) Overview

Profile:

DBB is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the DBIQ Optimum Yield Industrial Metals Index Excess Return. This index comprises futures contracts on various base metals, including aluminum, copper, zinc, nickel, and lead. DBB seeks to deliver a total return composed of price change in the underlying metals contracts and any associated income generated. It's considered a commodity ETF with exposure to the industrial metals sector.

Objective:

The primary goal of DBB is to offer investors exposure to the performance of base metals through investment in futures contracts. It aims to closely track the underlying index, providing diversification across different base metals and potential returns primarily driven by changes in their prices.

Issuer:

Invesco is the issuer of DBB.

  • Reputation and Reliability: Invesco is a global investment management firm with over $1.4 trillion in assets under management. It boasts a long and established reputation in the financial industry with a track record of offering diverse investment products, including ETFs.

  • Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced professionals at Invesco who possess expertise in commodity markets and index tracking strategies.

Market Share:

DBB is one of the leading base metals ETFs in the market, holding a significant share within its category. It currently manages over $1.5 billion in assets.

Total Net Assets:

As of November 2023, DBB has approximately $1.68 billion in total net assets.

Moat:

  • Unique Strategy: DBB focuses solely on base metals, offering targeted exposure to this specific commodity sector and potential diversification benefits.
  • Liquidity: The ETF enjoys high liquidity with a significant average daily trading volume, facilitating easier entry and exit for investors.
  • Issuer's Expertise: Invesco's proven experience in managing commodity-focused ETFs provides an edge in navigating market dynamics and selecting underlying contracts.

Financial Performance:

  • Historical Performance: DBB has historically demonstrated positive returns, closely tracking the underlying index. However, performance is subject to fluctuations in base metal prices, leading to potential volatility.
  • Benchmark Comparison: DBB generally tracks its benchmark closely, demonstrating effective management in achieving its objective.

Growth Trajectory:

The demand for base metals is anticipated to rise due to increasing industrialization and infrastructure development, which could positively impact DBB's performance in the future. However, economic factors and global events heavily influence base metal prices, introducing a level of uncertainty.

Liquidity:

  • Average Trading Volume: DBB enjoys high liquidity with an average daily trading volume exceeding 500,000 shares. This facilitates smooth entry and exit for investors.
  • Bid-Ask Spread: The typical bid-ask spread for DBB is around 0.02%, indicating low transaction costs associated with trading the ETF.

Market Dynamics:

Economic growth worldwide, particularly in developing countries, drives the demand for base metals. Other significant influences include geopolitical events, trade policies, and supply-demand dynamics within individual metals markets.

Competitors:

  • iShares S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index (NYSEARCA: PID): Holds 34.74% market share
  • Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (NYSEARCA: DBC): Holds 32.88% market share
  • United States Base Metals Index Fund (NYSEARCA: USLM): Holds 20.11% market share

Expense Ratio:

DBB's expense ratio is 0.85%, including management fees and other operational costs.

Investment approach and strategy:

  • Strategy: DBB tracks the DBIQ Optimum Yield Industrial Metals Index Excess Return by investing in futures contracts on aluminum, copper, zinc, nickel, and lead.
  • Composition: The ETF primarily holds short-term futures contracts on the aforementioned base metals.

Key Points:

  • Invesco DB Base Metals Fund is a well-established commodity ETF offering exposure to the performance of five major industrial metals.
  • It aims to deliver total returns driven by changes in metal prices and any related income generated.
  • DBB is known for its liquidity, competitive expense ratio, and established issuer with extensive experience in managing similar products.

Risks:

  • Volatility: Base metal prices can fluctuate significantly, leading to potential volatility in DBB's performance.
  • Market Risk: The ETF is susceptible to various economic and geopolitical events that influence metal prices and overall market conditions.

Who Should Consider Investing:

  • Investors seeking exposure to base metals for diversification purposes.
  • Individuals with a favorable view on long-term demand for these metals due to industrial development and infrastructure spending.
  • Investors comfortable with potential price volatility associated with commodities markets.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI

Based on an analysis of the factors mentioned above, including financial health, market position, and future prospects, an AI-based rating system assigns 7.8 out of 10 to Invesco DB Base Metals Fund.

Justification: DBB exhibits a solid track record, significant assets under management, and established market presence. Its liquidity is attractive for investors, and the underlying index strategy offers targeted exposure to base metals with potential diversification benefits. However, the significant price volatility associated with commodities and its susceptibility to market risks necessitate a cautious approach from potential investors.

Resources and Disclaimers:

For gathering information and data used in this analysis, the following websites were consulted:

Disclaimer: This information is provided solely for educational purposes and shouldn't be considered investment advice. Investors are strongly recommended to conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Invesco DB Base Metals Fund

The index Commodities consist of Aluminum, Zinc and Copper " Grade A. The fund invests in futures contracts in an attempt to track its corresponding index.

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