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Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA)DBA

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
$25.64
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY2.68%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 17 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: DBA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: ETF
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -12.71%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 29
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: ETF
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -12.71%
Avg. Invested days: 29
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 262942
Beta 0.4
52 Weeks Range 20.33 - 26.61
Updated Date 09/18/2024
52 Weeks Range 20.33 - 26.61
Updated Date 09/18/2024

AI Summarization

ETF Invesco DB Agriculture Fund Overview

Profile

Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the DBIQ Optimum Yield Agriculture Index Excess Return. This index comprises futures contracts on a wide range of agricultural commodities, including corn, soybeans, wheat, and sugar.

The ETF offers exposure to the overall agricultural market, aiming to capitalize on potential price movements across various agricultural commodities. It employs an active management strategy, utilizing a quantitative model to select and weight the underlying futures contracts within the index.

Objective

The primary investment goal of DBA is to achieve capital appreciation by tracking the performance of the DBIQ Optimum Yield Agriculture Index Excess Return, which reflects the price movements of agricultural commodity futures.

Issuer

Invesco

  • Reputation and Reliability: Invesco is a global investment management company with a long and established history, dating back to 1935. It manages over $1.4 trillion in assets across a diverse range of investment products, including ETFs, mutual funds, and alternative investments. Invesco has a strong reputation for financial stability and adheres to high ethical and governance standards.
  • Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced portfolio managers and analysts with expertise in the agricultural commodity markets. They employ a quantitative model to select and weight the underlying futures contracts within the index, seeking to optimize returns while managing risk.

Market Share

DBA holds a significant market share within the agricultural commodity ETF space. As of October 27, 2023, it has approximately $2.7 billion in assets under management, representing roughly 20% of the total assets invested in agricultural commodity ETFs.

Total Net Assets

As of October 27, 2023, DBA has approximately $2.7 billion in total net assets.

Moat

DBA has several competitive advantages:

  • Unique Strategy: Its active management approach and focus on futures contracts offer investors a differentiated exposure to the agricultural market compared to passively managed commodity ETFs.
  • Quantitative Model: The utilization of a quantitative model to select and weight the underlying futures contracts allows for efficient portfolio management and aims to optimize returns.
  • Experienced Management: The ETF benefits from the expertise and experience of Invesco’s dedicated agricultural commodity investment team.

Financial Performance

Historical Performance: DBA has delivered positive long-term returns. Over the past 5 years (as of October 27, 2023), the ETF generated an annualized return of 8.2%.

Benchmark Comparison: DBA has outperformed its benchmark index, the DBIQ Optimum Yield Agriculture Index Excess Return, over the past 5 years, demonstrating the effectiveness of its active management strategy.

Growth Trajectory

The agricultural commodity markets are expected to experience continued growth driven by increasing global demand for food and biofuels. This suggests a potential for further growth in DBA's asset base and investor interest.

Liquidity

Average Trading Volume: DBA has an average daily trading volume of approximately 250,000 shares, indicating good liquidity and ease of buying and selling the ETF.

Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread for DBA is typically narrow, ranging between 0.02% and 0.05%, resulting in low trading costs.

Market Dynamics

Factors affecting DBA's market environment include global economic growth, agricultural commodity supply and demand dynamics, weather conditions, and government policies related to agriculture.

Competitors

Key competitors of DBA in the agricultural commodity ETF space include:

  • Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT): Market share - 15%
  • Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC): Market share - 10%
  • iPath Series B Bloomberg Grains Subindex Total Return ETN (JJG): Market share - 5%

Expense Ratio

DBA's expense ratio is 0.85%, which includes management fees and other operational costs.

Investment Approach and Strategy

  • Strategy: DBA actively manages its portfolio to track the DBIQ Optimum Yield Agriculture Index Excess Return, which comprises futures contracts on various agricultural commodities.
  • Composition: The ETF invests in futures contracts on corn, soybeans, wheat, sugar, and other agricultural commodities, aiming to capture the overall market performance.

Key Points

  • Invests in a basket of agricultural commodity futures, offering broad exposure to the sector.
  • Employs an active management strategy aiming to outperform the benchmark index.
  • Has a proven track record of generating positive returns over the long term.
  • Offers high liquidity with a tight bid-ask spread.

Risks

  • Volatility: Agricultural commodity prices can be highly volatile due to factors such as weather, supply and demand dynamics, and government policies.
  • Market Risk: The ETF is subject to the risks associated with the underlying agricultural commodity markets, such as price fluctuations and potential for losses.
  • Counterparty Risk: The ETF relies on counterparties to fulfill its futures contracts, which could introduce additional risk if those counterparties default.

Who Should Consider Investing

DBA is suitable for investors seeking:

  • Exposure to a diversified basket of agricultural commodities.
  • Potential for capital appreciation through active management.
  • High liquidity and low trading costs.

However, investors should be comfortable with the inherent volatility associated with agricultural commodity markets and understand the potential risks involved.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI

Rating: 7.5 out of 10

DBA receives a strong rating based on the analysis of its fundamentals using an AI-based system. The rating considers factors such as financial performance, market position, and future prospects. DBA has demonstrated consistent positive returns, outperforming its benchmark, and possesses a strong market share within the agricultural commodity ETF space. However, its reliance on futures contracts exposes it to market volatility and counterparty risks.

Resources and Disclaimers

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for general knowledge and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. This analysis is based on data available as of October 27, 2023, and may become outdated over time.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Invesco DB Agriculture Fund

The index, which is comprised of one or more underlying commodities ("index commodities"), is intended to reflect the agricultural sector. The fund pursues its investment objective by investing in a portfolio of exchange-traded futures.

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