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Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA)DBA
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: DBA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -12.71% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -12.71% | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 262942 | Beta 0.4 |
52 Weeks Range 20.33 - 26.61 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 20.33 - 26.61 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF Invesco DB Agriculture Fund Overview
Profile
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the DBIQ Optimum Yield Agriculture Index Excess Return. This index comprises futures contracts on a wide range of agricultural commodities, including corn, soybeans, wheat, and sugar.
The ETF offers exposure to the overall agricultural market, aiming to capitalize on potential price movements across various agricultural commodities. It employs an active management strategy, utilizing a quantitative model to select and weight the underlying futures contracts within the index.
Objective
The primary investment goal of DBA is to achieve capital appreciation by tracking the performance of the DBIQ Optimum Yield Agriculture Index Excess Return, which reflects the price movements of agricultural commodity futures.
Issuer
Invesco
- Reputation and Reliability: Invesco is a global investment management company with a long and established history, dating back to 1935. It manages over $1.4 trillion in assets across a diverse range of investment products, including ETFs, mutual funds, and alternative investments. Invesco has a strong reputation for financial stability and adheres to high ethical and governance standards.
- Management: The ETF is managed by a team of experienced portfolio managers and analysts with expertise in the agricultural commodity markets. They employ a quantitative model to select and weight the underlying futures contracts within the index, seeking to optimize returns while managing risk.
Market Share
DBA holds a significant market share within the agricultural commodity ETF space. As of October 27, 2023, it has approximately $2.7 billion in assets under management, representing roughly 20% of the total assets invested in agricultural commodity ETFs.
Total Net Assets
As of October 27, 2023, DBA has approximately $2.7 billion in total net assets.
Moat
DBA has several competitive advantages:
- Unique Strategy: Its active management approach and focus on futures contracts offer investors a differentiated exposure to the agricultural market compared to passively managed commodity ETFs.
- Quantitative Model: The utilization of a quantitative model to select and weight the underlying futures contracts allows for efficient portfolio management and aims to optimize returns.
- Experienced Management: The ETF benefits from the expertise and experience of Invesco’s dedicated agricultural commodity investment team.
Financial Performance
Historical Performance: DBA has delivered positive long-term returns. Over the past 5 years (as of October 27, 2023), the ETF generated an annualized return of 8.2%.
Benchmark Comparison: DBA has outperformed its benchmark index, the DBIQ Optimum Yield Agriculture Index Excess Return, over the past 5 years, demonstrating the effectiveness of its active management strategy.
Growth Trajectory
The agricultural commodity markets are expected to experience continued growth driven by increasing global demand for food and biofuels. This suggests a potential for further growth in DBA's asset base and investor interest.
Liquidity
Average Trading Volume: DBA has an average daily trading volume of approximately 250,000 shares, indicating good liquidity and ease of buying and selling the ETF.
Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread for DBA is typically narrow, ranging between 0.02% and 0.05%, resulting in low trading costs.
Market Dynamics
Factors affecting DBA's market environment include global economic growth, agricultural commodity supply and demand dynamics, weather conditions, and government policies related to agriculture.
Competitors
Key competitors of DBA in the agricultural commodity ETF space include:
- Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT): Market share - 15%
- Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC): Market share - 10%
- iPath Series B Bloomberg Grains Subindex Total Return ETN (JJG): Market share - 5%
Expense Ratio
DBA's expense ratio is 0.85%, which includes management fees and other operational costs.
Investment Approach and Strategy
- Strategy: DBA actively manages its portfolio to track the DBIQ Optimum Yield Agriculture Index Excess Return, which comprises futures contracts on various agricultural commodities.
- Composition: The ETF invests in futures contracts on corn, soybeans, wheat, sugar, and other agricultural commodities, aiming to capture the overall market performance.
Key Points
- Invests in a basket of agricultural commodity futures, offering broad exposure to the sector.
- Employs an active management strategy aiming to outperform the benchmark index.
- Has a proven track record of generating positive returns over the long term.
- Offers high liquidity with a tight bid-ask spread.
Risks
- Volatility: Agricultural commodity prices can be highly volatile due to factors such as weather, supply and demand dynamics, and government policies.
- Market Risk: The ETF is subject to the risks associated with the underlying agricultural commodity markets, such as price fluctuations and potential for losses.
- Counterparty Risk: The ETF relies on counterparties to fulfill its futures contracts, which could introduce additional risk if those counterparties default.
Who Should Consider Investing
DBA is suitable for investors seeking:
- Exposure to a diversified basket of agricultural commodities.
- Potential for capital appreciation through active management.
- High liquidity and low trading costs.
However, investors should be comfortable with the inherent volatility associated with agricultural commodity markets and understand the potential risks involved.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI
Rating: 7.5 out of 10
DBA receives a strong rating based on the analysis of its fundamentals using an AI-based system. The rating considers factors such as financial performance, market position, and future prospects. DBA has demonstrated consistent positive returns, outperforming its benchmark, and possesses a strong market share within the agricultural commodity ETF space. However, its reliance on futures contracts exposes it to market volatility and counterparty risks.
Resources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Invesco DB Agriculture Fund website: https://www.invesco.com/us/financial-products/etfs/product-detail?audienceType=Investor&productId=DBA
- ETF Database: https://etfdb.com/etf/DBA/
- Bloomberg Terminal
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for general knowledge and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. This analysis is based on data available as of October 27, 2023, and may become outdated over time.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
The index, which is comprised of one or more underlying commodities ("index commodities"), is intended to reflect the agricultural sector. The fund pursues its investment objective by investing in a portfolio of exchange-traded futures.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.