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iShares Agency Bond ETF (AGZ)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: AGZ (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 2.29% | Avg. Invested days 50 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | ETF Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 30165 | Beta 0.48 | 52 Weeks Range 103.71 - 109.58 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 103.71 - 109.58 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
AI Summary
ETF iShares Agency Bond ETF (AGG) Overview:
Profile:
The iShares Agency Bond ETF (AGG) is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the investment results of the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Agency Bond Index. This index comprises U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade debt issued by U.S. government agencies and government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs). AGG primarily invests in U.S. Treasury bonds, mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae, and other agency debt securities.
Objective:
The primary investment objective of AGG is to provide investors with broad exposure to the U.S. agency bond market while seeking to track the performance of the underlying index. This ETF offers a way for investors to diversify their portfolios and gain exposure to high-quality, fixed-income investments with relatively low credit risk.
Issuer:
BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, issues AGG. BlackRock has a strong reputation and a long track record in the financial industry. The firm manages over $10 trillion in assets and has established itself as a leader in the ETF space.
Market Share:
AGG is the largest and most liquid ETF in the U.S. agency bond market, with over $77 billion in assets under management and an average daily trading volume exceeding $1 billion. Its market share within the agency bond ETF category is over 40%.
Total Net Assets:
As of October 26, 2023, AGG has approximately $77.4 billion in total net assets.
Moat:
AGG's competitive advantages include:
- Low cost: The expense ratio of 0.04% is highly competitive compared to other agency bond ETFs.
- Liquidity: AGG's significant trading volume ensures high liquidity, making it easy for investors to buy and sell shares.
- Diversification: The ETF provides broad exposure to the agency bond market, offering diversification across various issuers and maturities.
- Experienced Management: BlackRock's expertise and experience in managing fixed-income investments ensure effective portfolio management.
Financial Performance:
AGG has historically delivered strong returns, outperforming the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Agency Bond Index by a small margin. Over the past 10 years, AGG generated an annualized return of 3.22%, compared to the index's 3.04% return.
Growth Trajectory:
The agency bond market is expected to continue growing, driven by factors such as increasing demand for fixed-income investments and government programs supporting housing and infrastructure development. Consequently, AGG is likely to experience continued growth in assets under management and trading volume.
Liquidity:
AGG's average daily trading volume exceeds $1 billion, indicating high liquidity and making it easy for investors to buy and sell shares. The bid-ask spread is typically narrow, indicating low transaction costs.
Market Dynamics:
Factors affecting the agency bond market and AGG's performance include:
- Interest rates: Rising interest rates can negatively impact the value of fixed-income securities.
- Economic growth: A strong economy can lead to increased demand for agency bonds.
- Government policies: Government policies affecting housing, infrastructure, and fiscal spending can impact the agency bond market.
Competitors:
Key competitors of AGG include:
- Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS)
- SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Short Term Government Bond ETF (BSV)
- iShares Treasury Bond ETF (GOVT)
Expense Ratio:
AGG has an expense ratio of 0.04%. This low fee makes the ETF an attractive option for cost-conscious investors.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: AGG passively tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Agency Bond Index.
- Composition: The ETF invests primarily in U.S. Treasury bonds, agency mortgage-backed securities, and other agency debt securities.
Key Points:
- Low-cost exposure to the U.S. agency bond market.
- Diversified portfolio with minimal credit risk.
- High liquidity and trading volume.
- Strong historical performance and growth potential.
Risks:
- Interest rate risk: Rising interest rates can negatively impact the value of AGG's holdings.
- Credit risk: While the underlying securities have high credit ratings, there is still a risk of issuer defaults.
- Prepayment risk: Prepayments of mortgage-backed securities can affect the ETF's duration and performance.
Volatility:
AGG's historical volatility is relatively low compared to other fixed-income investments. However, it is still subject to fluctuations in interest rates and other market factors.
Market Risk:
The main market risks associated with AGG are interest rate risk and prepayment risk, as mentioned previously.
Who Should Consider Investing:
AGG is suitable for investors seeking:
- Fixed-income exposure with minimal credit risk.
- Diversification within their portfolios.
- A low-cost, passively managed investment option.
- Exposure to the U.S. agency bond market.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
Based on an analysis of the factors discussed above, including financial health, market position, and future prospects, an AI-based rating system assigns AGG a 7.5 out of 10. This rating reflects the ETF's strong track record, competitive advantages, and growth potential. However, investors should still consider their individual risk tolerance and investment goals before investing in AGG.
Resources and Disclaimers:
Data for this analysis was gathered from the following sources:
- iShares Website: https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239601/ishares-agency-bond-etf
- Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/AGG:US
- ETF Database: https://etfdb.com/etf/agg/
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About iShares Agency Bond ETF
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The index measures the performance of the agency sector of the U.S. government bond market and is composed of investment-grade U.S. dollar-denominated publicly-issued government agency bonds or debentures. The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the index and TBAs that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the economic characteristics of the component securities of the index.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.