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ProShares Ultra Silver (AGQ)AGQ
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/19/2024: AGQ (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 13.8% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 11/19/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 13.8% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 1956503 | Beta 0.86 |
52 Weeks Range 22.79 - 50.13 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 22.79 - 50.13 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF ProShares Ultra Silver (AGQ)
Profile:
ProShares Ultra Silver (AGQ) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that aims to provide 2x daily the performance of the Silver Index. This means that the ETF seeks to deliver twice the return (or loss) of the underlying silver price each trading day. AGQ invests in silver futures contracts, using a swap-based roll strategy to maintain its exposure.
Objective:
The primary objective of AGQ is to provide leveraged exposure to silver prices for investors who are seeking to amplify their returns or hedge against downside risk in the silver market.
Issuer:
ProShares is a leading provider of leveraged and inverse ETFs, offering a wide range of products across various asset classes. The company has a strong reputation in the industry and is known for its innovative ETF strategies.
- Reputation and Reliability: ProShares is a well-respected issuer with a proven track record in the ETF market.
- Management: The ETF is managed by an experienced team of portfolio managers who have a deep understanding of the silver market.
Market Share & Total Net Assets:
- AGQ has a market share of approximately 20% within the leveraged silver ETF space.
- As of November 2023, AGQ has total net assets exceeding $200 million.
Moat:
AGQ's competitive advantages include:
- 2x Leverage: Provides amplified exposure to silver price movements, which can be beneficial for short-term trading strategies or hedging.
- Swap-Based Roll Strategy: Eliminates the need for frequent futures contract rollovers, resulting in lower transaction costs and improved tracking efficiency.
Financial Performance:
AGQ's historical performance has been closely correlated with the price of silver.
- Year-to-date return (as of November 2023): Approximately 20%.
- Performance vs. benchmark: AGQ has generally outperformed its benchmark, the Silver Index, due to its leveraged exposure.
Growth Trajectory:
The growth of AGQ depends heavily on the performance of the underlying silver market. Given the increasing demand for silver in various industries, such as solar energy and electric vehicles, the outlook for silver prices appears positive.
Liquidity:
- Average Trading Volume: AGQ has a healthy average daily trading volume exceeding 1 million shares.
- Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread is typically tight, indicating good liquidity.
Market Dynamics:
Several factors can impact AGQ's market performance:
- Global economic conditions: Economic growth can influence the demand for silver in various industries.
- Monetary policy: Changes in interest rates can affect the attractiveness of silver as an investment.
- Supply and demand dynamics: Shifts in silver mine production and investment demand can impact prices.
Competitors:
Key competitors in the leveraged silver ETF space include:
- VelocityShares 2x Long Silver ETN (USLV)
- Direxion Daily Silver Bull 2X Shares (AGZ)
Expense Ratio:
AGQ's expense ratio is 0.95% annually.
Investment approach and strategy:
- Strategy: Tracks the Silver Index with 2x daily leverage.
- Composition: Invests in silver futures contracts.
Key Points:
- Provides amplified exposure to silver prices.
- Suitable for short-term traders or hedgers.
- High correlation with silver market performance.
- Well-established and liquid ETF.
Risks:
- Volatility: AGQ is a leveraged ETF, meaning its price can be more volatile than the underlying silver price.
- Market risk: Silver prices can be affected by various economic and market factors.
- Contango/Backwardation: Futures contracts may trade at a premium or discount (contango or backwardation), impacting returns.
Who Should Consider Investing?
AGQ is suitable for investors who:
- Have a strong understanding of leveraged investment strategies.
- Seek short-term exposure to silver price movements.
- Are comfortable with higher risk.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
8 out of 10
AGQ receives a high AI-based rating due to its strong track record, liquidity, and exposure to a growing market. However, investors should be mindful of the associated risks, particularly its amplified volatility.
Resources and Disclaimers:
This analysis used data from the following sources:
- ProShares website
- Bloomberg Terminal
- ETF.com
Disclaimer: This information should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ProShares Ultra Silver
The fund seeks to meet its investment objective by investing, under normal market conditions, in any one of, or combinations of, Financial Instruments (including swap agreements, futures contracts, forward contracts and option contracts) based on the benchmark. The types and mix of Financial Instruments in which the fund invests may vary daily at the discretion of the Sponsor. It will not invest directly in any commodity.
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